Submitted:
20 May 2024
Posted:
20 May 2024
You are already at the latest version
Abstract
Keywords:
1. Introduction
2. Literature Review and Theoretical Framework
2.1. Literature Review
2.2. Theoretical Framework
3. Data and Methodology
3.1. Variable Selection and Measurement
3.1.1. Dependent Variable
3.1.2. Independent Variables
3.1.3. Control Variables
3.2. Data Sources and Descriptive Statistics
3.3. Methodology
3.3.1. Construre Regression Modeling of Panel Data
3.3.2. Threshold Regression Modeling of Panel Data
4. Empirical Results
4.1. Trends in the Level of Green Technology Innovation, Renewable Energy Development, and Green Economic Growth
4.2. Panel Unit Root Test
4.3. Panel Cointegration Tests
4.4. Regression Model Selection
4.5. Results of Multiple Linear Regression
4.6. Panel Threshold Model Analysis

5. Conclusion and Policy Implications
5.1. Conclusions
5.2. Policy Recommendations
- (1)
- To promote the development of a green economy, it is essential to enhance local green development and achieve regional coordination. Local governments should strengthen talent cultivation to provide continuous support for green development. Governments should also optimize the environment for green innovation, integrate resources, and guide policies to improve the capabilities of green technologies, thereby improving resource efficiency and achieving energy transition. We should formulate customized and distinct green development policies to showcase the unique strengths and characteristics of various regions. Advanced regions, such as Guangdong and Jiangsu, can lead by providing technical support and promoting collaboration for green development in other areas. For example, Guangdong Province has become one of the leading regions in China's green economy by encouraging clean energy development and promoting the environmental protection industry. It can share its experiences and technologies with other regions, helping to improve their green development. Ultimately, we can advance local green development and promote harmonious and enduring growth of the environmentally friendly economy by strengthening talent cultivation, optimizing the innovation environment, implementing differentiated policies, and promoting regional cooperation.
- (2)
- To enhance green technology innovation and renewable energy development, as well as to foster the growth of green finance and optimize industrial structure adjustments. First, governments should fund green technology and renewable energy research. It can achieve this by establishing green technology innovation hubs, providing R&D funding, and encouraging enterprises, research institutions, and universities to increase their research and innovative efforts regarding renewable energy and green technology. Second, governments should establish a robust green finance system, providing a range of financial services and solutions to aid in the advancement of renewable energy and green technology. For example, governments can incentivize financial firms to issue green bonds to attract capital into the green economy sector and enhance green finance regulation to ensure that green financial products are credible and transparent. Lastly, it is necessary to optimize industrial structure by imposing strict environmental standards on high-pollution industries and promoting the growth of eco-friendly sectors. Furthermore, it is critical to adjust government intervention methods to reduce reliance on traditional industries and ensure rational resource allocation.
- (3)
- To augment the green technology development research and enhance utilizing renewable energy, it is recommended to establish a specialized institution tasked with monitoring the advancements in green technology innovation and renewable energy development. This body would also evaluate their impacts on green economic growth, ensuring alignment with sustainability goals. We can quickly adjust and optimize relevant policies to fully capitalize on their potential to stimulate economic growth once we determine that the development level in a particular area is approaching or has exceeded a certain threshold.
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| Indicators | Category | Specific indicators | Indicator Measurement | Reference | Unit |
| inputs | Factor inputs | Labor | Number of employees in each province at the end of the year | Tan et al. (2023) | 10,000 people |
| Capital | Physical capital stock per province (perpetual inventory method) | Ma & Dong (2020) | 100 million yuan | ||
| Land | Land area per provincial administrative area | X. Zhao et al. (2022a) | km² | ||
| Energy | Energy consumption per province (mainly refers to coke, coal, and natural gas) | Tan et al. (2023) | 10,000 tons of standard coal | ||
| outputs | Desired outputs (Economic benefit) |
Economic Development Level | GDP total | Shang (2023) | 100 million yuan |
| Undesired output (Environmental impact) |
Environmental Pollution Level | Industrial waste gas emissions | Xiao et al. (2022) | 100 million cu.m | |
| Industrial wastewater emissions | 104 tons | ||||
| Industrial general solid waste emissions | 104 tons |
| Overall indicator | sub-indicator | Indicators measurement | Reference |
| Green Finance Development Index | Green credit | The ratio of interest expenditure within the total industry for six high energy-consuming sectors | B. Yu & Fan (2022) |
| Green securities | The ratio of the market value of the six energy-intensive industries to the overall market value of A-shares | Wan et al. (2023) | |
| Green Insurance | The ratio of agricultural insurance income to the gross agricultural output value | Lee et al. (2023) | |
| Green investment | The investment-to-gross Domestic Product (GDP) ratio for environmental pollution prevention. | Tan et al. (2023) | |
| Environmental support | The ratio of government spending on environmental protection to total government spending | Zhan et al. (2023) |
| Variable | Symbol | Measurement | Source |
| Green Economic Growth | GEG | by the super-efficient SBM | CSY, PSY, CESY |
| Technology Innovation | TI | green invention patents | CNIPA |
| Renewable Development | RED | renewable energy power generation | CEPY |
| Green Finance | GF | construct a comprehensive index of green finance | CSY,CISY,CESY, PSY, CASY |
| Economic Development Level | PGDP | regional gross domestic product per capita | PSY |
| Population Density | PD | the density of the population per square kilometer | PSY |
| Government Intervention | GOV | government fiscal expenditure/GDP | PSY |
| Industrial Structure | IS | The ratio of the tertiary sector's output value to Gross Domestic Product (GDP) | CSY |
| Variables | N | Mean | Standard deviation | Min. | Max. |
| GEG | 390 | 0.695 | 0.358 | 0.0890 | 2.102 |
| RED | 390 | 5.584 | 1.495 | 0 | 8.339 |
| GTI | 390 | 7.466 | 1.479 | 2.565 | 10.72 |
| GF | 390 | 0.0660 | 0.0243 | 0.0271 | 0.172 |
| IS | 390 | 1.125 | 0.647 | 0.494 | 5.297 |
| GOV | 390 | 0.251 | 0.105 | 0.106 | 0.758 |
| PD | 390 | 5.470 | 1.289 | 2.053 | 8.275 |
| PGDP | 390 | 1.277 | 0.811 | 0.476 | 4.934 |
| Variable | LLC test | IPS test | HT test | stability |
| GEG | -7.813*** | -3.640*** | -3.640*** | stable |
| RED | -7.890*** | -3.000*** | -2.300*** | stable |
| GTI | -3.227*** | -1.200 | -1.760** | stable |
| GF | -3.764*** | -3.911*** | -3.334*** | stable |
| IS | -2.650*** | -2.430*** | -7.282*** | stable |
| PGDP | -4.283*** | -2.865*** | -2.638*** | stable |
| PD | -5.354*** | 1.395 | -2.865*** | stable |
| GOV | -7.041*** | -4.823*** | -4.823*** | stable |
| Method | Test statistics | statistic | p-value |
| Westerlund test | Variance ratio | 11.287*** | 0.000 |
| Pedroni test | Modified Phillips–Perron t | 10.370*** | 0.000 |
| Phillips–Perron t | -0.794 | 0.213 | |
| Augmented Dickey-Fuller t | -2.226** | 0.013 | |
| Kao test | Modified Dickey-Fuller t | -2.523*** | 0.006 |
| Dickey-Fuller t | -4.304*** | 0.000 | |
| Augmented Dickey-Fuller t | -5.787*** | 0.000 | |
| Unadjusted modified Dickey-Fuller t | -3.044*** | 0.001 | |
| Unadjusted Dickey-Fuller t | -4.545*** | 0.000 |
| Test Summary | statistical value | Prob. |
| F test | 46.49 | 0.0000 |
| LM test | 1726.64 | 0.0000 |
| Hausman test | 189.01 | 0.0000 |
| (1) | (2) | (3) | |||
| Variables | Ols | RE | FE | ||
| RED | 0.038*** | 0.034** | 0.104*** | ||
| (0.021) | (0.018) | (0.019) | |||
| GTI | 0.100*** | 0.131*** | 0.131*** | ||
| (0.011) | (0.013) | (0.015) | |||
| GF | 0.574 | 1.430** | 1.398** | ||
| (0.482) | (0.611) | (0.611) | |||
| PGDP | 0.263*** | 0.243*** | 0.102* | ||
| (0.018) | (0.033) | (0.054) | |||
| PD | 0.054*** | 0.013 | -1.132*** | ||
| (0.016) | (0.029) | (0.232) | |||
| GOV | 0.868*** | 0.050 | -0.935*** | ||
| (0.161) | (0.209) | (0.231) | |||
| IS | -0.037** | -0.033** | -0.043*** | ||
| (0.015) | (0.016) | (0.015) | |||
| Constant | -0.923*** | -0.960*** | 5.383*** | ||
| (0.142) | (0.202) | (1.224) | |||
| Observations | 390 | 390 | 390 | ||
| R-squared | 0.725 | 0.559 | 0.631 | ||
| Hausman test | Prob > chi2 = 0.0000 |
| (1) | (2) | ||
| Variables | Eq. (3) | Eq. (4) | |
| RED | 0.097*** | 0.089*** | |
| (0.020) | (0.019) | ||
| GTI | 0.138*** | 0.150*** | |
| (0.015) | (0.015) | ||
| GF | 1.438*** | 1.005* | |
| (0.638) | (0.597) | ||
| GF*RED | 0.232** | ||
| (0.057) | |||
| GF*GTI | 0.455*** | ||
| (0.057) | |||
| GOV | -0.975*** | -1.049*** | |
| (0.234) | (0.229) | ||
| IS | -0.040*** | -0.0399*** | |
| (0.015) | (0.0147) | ||
| PGDP | 0.082 | 0.138*** | |
| (0.053) | (0.0527) | ||
| PD | -1.144*** | -1.357*** | |
| (0.232) | (0.230) | ||
| Constant | 5.462*** | 6.557*** | |
| (1.219) | (1.208) | ||
| Observations | 390 | 390 | |
| R-squared | 0.636 | 0.653 |
| Threshold variable |
Threshold number |
F-statistics | p-Value | Threshold value |
Confidence Intervals(95%) |
| RED | Single | 38.17 | 0.021 | 6.700 | [6.675, 6.708] |
| GTI | Single | 29.74 | 0.051 | 6.816 | [6.713, 6.849] |
| Model (5) | Model (6) | ||
| Variables | Threshold variable: RED | Threshold variable: GTI | |
| GTI | 0.083*** | ||
| (0.060) | |||
| GF | 0.098 | 0.220 | |
| (0.174) | (0.186) | ||
| PGDP | 0.032*** | 0.046*** | |
| (0.006) | (0.006) | ||
| IS | -0.367** | -0.314*** | |
| (0.068) | (0.073) | ||
| GOV | -0.828*** | -0.771*** | |
| (0.211) | (0.228) | ||
| PD | -1.529*** | -0.813*** | |
| (0.211) | (0.223) | ||
| RED·1{RED≤6.405} | 0.104*** | ||
| (0.019) | |||
| RED·1 {RED>6.405} | 0.126*** | ||
| (0.020) | |||
| RED·1{GTI≤11.59} | 0.127*** | ||
| (0.017) | |||
| RED·1{GTI>11.59} | 0.147*** (0.016) |
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