Submitted:
01 April 2024
Posted:
05 April 2024
You are already at the latest version
Abstract
Keywords:
1. Introduction
- (i)
- Even first-order sensitivities cannot be computed exactly.
- (ii)
- Statistical methods are (also) subject to the curse of dimensionality and have not been developed for producing second- and higher-order sensitivities.
- (iii)
- Since the response sensitivities and parameter uncertainties are amalgamated, inherently and inseparably, within the results produced by statistical methods, improvements in parameter uncertainties cannot be directly propagated to improve response uncertainties; rather, the entire set of simulations and statistical post-processing must be repeated anew.
- (iv)
- A “fool-proof” statistical method for analyzing correctly models involving highly correlated parameters does not seem to exist currently, so that particular care must be used when interpreting regression results obtained using such models.
2. Mathematical Modeling of Response-Coupled Linear Forward and Adjoint Systems
- (i)
- As will be shown below in Section 4 while establishing the mathematical framework underlying the 2nd-FASAM-L, the number of large-scale computations needed to determine the numerical value of the second-order sensitivities is proportional to the number of first-order sensitivities of the model’s response with respect to the feature functions fi(α). Consequently, it is important to minimize the number of feature functions fi(α), while ensuring that all of the primary model parameters are considered within the expressions constructed for the feature functions fi(α). In the extreme case when some primary parameters, αj, cannot be grouped into the expressions of the feature functions fi(α), each of the respective primary model parameters αj becomes a feature function fj(α).
- (ii)
- The expressions of the features functions fi(α) must be independent of the model’s state functions; they must be exact, closed-form, scalar-valued functions of the primary model parameters αj, so the exact expressions of the derivatives of fi(α) with respect to the primary model parameters αj can be obtained analytically (with “pencil and paper”) and, hence, inexpensively from a computational standpoint. The motivation for this requirement is to ensure that the numerical determination of the subsequent derivatives of the features functions fi(α) with respect to the primary model parameters αj becomes trivial computationally.
3. The First-Order Function/Feature Adjoint Sensitivity Analysis Methodology for Response-Coupled Forward and Adjoint Linear Systems (1st-FASAM-L)
- Introduce a Hilbert space, denoted as , comprising vector-valued elements of the form , where the components , , are square-integrable functions. Consider further that this Hilbert space is endowed with an inner product denoted as between two elements, , , which is defined as follows:
- In the Hilbert , form the inner product of Equation (30) with a yet undefined vector-valued function to obtain the following relation:
- Using the definition of the adjoint operator in the Hilbert space , recast the left-side of Equation (39) as follows:where denotes the bilinear concomitant defined on the phase-space boundary , and where is the operator formally adjoint to , i.e.,
- Require the first term on right-side of Equation (40) to represent the indirect-effect term defined in Equation (27),by imposing the following relation:where:
- Implement the boundary conditions represented by Equation (31) into Equation (40) and eliminate the remaining unknown boundary-values of the function from the expression of the bilinear concomitant by selecting appropriate boundary conditions for the function , to ensure that Equation (42) is well-posed while being independent of unknown values of and of . The boundary conditions thus chosen for the function can be represented in operator form as follows:
- The selection of the boundary conditions for represented by Equation (44) eliminates the appearance of the unknown values of in and reduces this bilinear concomitant to a residual quantity that contains boundary terms involving only known values of , , , and . This residual quantity will be denoted as . In general, this residual quantity does not automatically vanish, although it may do so occasionally.
- The system of equations comprising Equation (42) together with the boundary conditions represented Equation (44) will be called the 1st-Level Adjoint Sensitivity System (1st-LASS). The solution of the 1st-LASS will be called the 1st-level adjoint sensitivity function. The 1st-LASS is called “first-level” (as opposed to “first-order”) because it does not contain any differential or functional-derivatives, but its solution, , will be used below to compute the first-order sensitivities of the response with respect to the components of the feature function .
- Using Equation (39) together with the forward and adjoint boundary conditions represented by Eqs. (31) and (44) in Equation (40) reduces the latter to the following relation:
- In view of Eqs. (27) and (42), the first term on the right-side of Equation (45) represents the indirect-effect term . It therefore follows from Equation (45) that the indirect-effect term can be expressed in terms of the 1st-level adjoint sensitivity function as follows:
4. The Second-Order Function/Feature Adjoint Sensitivity Analysis Methodology for Response-Coupled Forward and Adjoint Linear Systems (2nd-FASAM-L)
- For each , form the inner product in the Hilbert space of Equation (60) with a yet undefined function to obtain the following relation:
- Using the definition of the adjoint operator in the Hilbert space , recast the left-side of Equation (68) as follows:where denotes the bilinear concomitant defined on the phase-space boundary and where is the operator formally adjoint to .
- The first term on right-side of Equation (69) is now required to represent the indirect-effect term defined in Equation (56). This requirement is satisfied by recalling Equation (57) and imposing the following relation on each function , :
- The definition of the vector will now be completed by selecting boundary conditions which will be represented in operator form as follows:
- The boundary conditions represented by Equation (71) are selected so as to satisfy the following requirements: (a) these boundary conditions together with Equation (70) constitute a well posed problem for the functions ; (b) the implementation in Equation (69) of these boundary conditions together with those provided in Equation (61) eliminates all of the unknown values of the functions and in the expression of the bilinear concomitant . This bilinear concomitant may vanish after these boundary conditions are implemented, but if it does not, it will be reduced to a residual quantity which will be denoted as and which will comprise only known values of , , and .
5. Illustrative High-Order Feature Adjoint Sensitivity Analysis of Energy-Dependent Particle Detector Response
- (1)
- The lethargy-dependent neutron flux is denoted as ; denotes a cut-off lethargy, usually taken to be the lethargy that corresponds to the thermal neutron energy (ca. 0.0024 electron-volts).
- (2)
- The macroscopic elastic scattering cross section for the homogeneous mixture of “M” materials is denoted as and is defined as follows:where denotes the elastic scattering cross section of material “i”, and where the atomic or molecular number density of material “i” is denoted as and is defined as follows: , where is Avogadro’s number , while and denote the respective material’s mass number and density.
- (3)
- The average gain in lethargy of a neutron per collision is denoted as and is defined as follows for the homogeneous mixture:
- (4)
- The macroscopic absorption cross section is denoted as and is defined as follows for the homogeneous mixture:where , denotes the microscopic radiative-capture cross section of material “i”.
- (5)
- The macroscopic total cross section is denoted as and is defined as follows for the homogeneous mixture:
- (6)
- The source is considered to be a simplified “spontaneous fission” source stemming from fissionable actinides, such as 239Pu and 240Pu, emitting monoenergetic neutrons at the highest energy (i.e., zero lethargy). Such a source is comprised within the OECD/NEA polyethylene-reflected plutonium (PERP) OECD/NEA reactor physics benchmark [21,22] which can be modeled by the following simplified expression:where the superscript “S” indicates “source;” the subscript index k=1 indicates material properties pertaining to the isotope 239Pu; the subscript index k=2 indicates material properties pertaining to the isotope 240Pu; denotes the decay constant; denotes the atomic density of the respective actinide; denotes the spontaneous fission branching ratio; denotes the average number of neutrons per spontaneous fission; denotes a function of parameters used in a Watt’s fission spectrum to approximate the spontaneous fission neutron spectrum of the respective actinide. The detailed forms of the parameters are unimportant for illustrating the application of the nth-FASAM-L methodology. The nominal values for these imprecisely known parameters are available from a library file contained in SOURCES4C [26].
5.1. First-Order Adjoint Sensitivity Analysis: 1st-FASAM-L Versus 1st-CASAM-L
5.1.1. Application of the 1st-FASAM-L
- One “large-scale” computation to solve the 1st-LASS to obtain the 1st-level adjoint sensitivity function .
- Three “quadratures”, as indicated in Eqs. (114)‒(116), involving the 1st-level adjoint sensitivity function to obtain the three sensitivities of the response with respect to the components , , of the feature function . These computations are inexpensive.
- Chain-rule type differentiations using the definitions of the components , of the feature function , and the three sensitivities obtained in Eqs. (114)‒(116). These computations are inexpensive.
5.1.2. Application of the 1st-CASAM-L
- One “large-scale” computation to solve the 1st-LASS to obtain the 1st-level adjoint sensitivity function . As has been already remarked, this 1st-LASS is exactly the same as the 1st-LASS needed within the 1st-FASAM-L methodology for computing the first-order sensitivities of the response with respect to the components , , of the feature function .
- A total of “quadratures” involving the 1st-level adjoint sensitivity function to obtain numerically the sensitivities of the response with respect to the primary model parameters , . These numerical computations are inexpensive by comparison to solving the 1st-LASS but are more expensive than performing “chain-rule”-type differentiation “on paper,” as performed if applying the 1st-FASAM-L. Hence, the 1st-FASAM-L methodology enjoys a slight computational advantage over the 1st-CASAM-L methodology.
5.2. Second-Order Adjoint Sensitivity Analysis: 2nd-FASAM-L Versus 2nd-CASAM-L
5.2.1. Application of the 2nd-FASAM-L
5.2.1.1. Second-Order Sensitivities Stemming From
5.2.1.2. Second-Order Sensitivities Stemming From
5.2.1.3. Second-Order Sensitivities Stemming From
- The second-order sensitivities , , of the model response with respect to the three features components , , of the feature function are obtained by performing 3 “large-scale” computations to solve the 3 corresponding 2nd-LASS which all have the same left-side but have differing sources on their right-sides. The source-term for each of these 2nd-LASS corresponds to one of the 3 first-order sensitivities. Thus, computing the second-order sensitivities requires as many “large-scale” computations as there are non-zero first-order sensitivities, i.e., at most as many “large-scale” computations as there are components , , of the feature function .
- The mixed second-order sensitivities , , are computed twice, involving distinct 2nd-level adjoint sensitivity functions. Therefore, the symmetry property provides an intrinsic mechanism for verifying the accuracy of the computations of the respective 2nd-level adjoint sensitivity functions.
- The unmixed second order sensitivities , are computed just once.
5.2.2. Application of the 2nd-CASAM-L
5.2.2.1. Second-Order Sensitivities Stemming from the First-Order Sensitivities with Respect to the Medium’s Material Properties
5.2.2.2. Second-Order Sensitivities Stemming from the First-Order Sensitivities with Respect to the Source Properties
5.2.2.3 Second-Order Sensitivities Stemming from the First-Order Sensitivities with Respect to the Detector Properties
6. Concluding Discussion
- The components , of the “feature function” play within the 2nd-FASAM-L the same role as played by the components , of the “vector of primary model parameters” within the framework of the 2nd-CASAM-L. Notably, the total number of model parameters is always larger (usually by wide margin) than the total number of components of the feature function , i.e., .
- The 1st-FASAM-L and the 1st-CASAM-L methodologies require a single large-scale “adjoint” computations for solving the 1st-LASS (1st-Level Adjoint Sensitivity System), so they are similarly efficient for computing the exact expressions of the first-order sensitivities of a model response to the model’s uncertain parameters, boundaries, and internal interfaces, with a slight computational advantage towards the 1st-FASAM-L, which requires only quadratures, as opposd to quadratures required by the 1st-CASAM-L methodology.
- For computing the exact expressions of the second-order response sensitivities with respect to the primary model’s parameters, the 2nd-FASAM-L methodology requires as many large-scale “adjoint” computations as there are “feature functions of parameters” , for solving the left-side of the 2nd-LASS with distinct sources on its right-side. By comparison, the 2nd-CASAM-L methodology requires large-scale computations for solving the same left-side of the 2nd-LASS but with distinct sources. Since , the 2nd-FASAM-L methodology is considerably more efficient than the 2nd-CASAM-L methodology for computing the exact expressions of the second-order sensitivities of a model response to the model’s uncertain parameters, boundaries, and internal interfaces.
- Both the 2nd-FASAM-L and the 2nd-CASAM-L methodologies are formulated in linearly increasing higher-dimensional Hilbert spaces −as opposed to exponentially increasing parameter-dimensional spaces− thus overcoming the curse of dimensionality in sensitivity analysis of nonlinear systems. Both the 2nd-FASAM-L and the 2nd-CASAM-L methodologies are incomparably more efficient and more accurate than any other methods (statistical, finite differences, etc.) for computing exact expressions of response sensitivities (of any order) with respect to the model’s uncertain parameters, boundaries, and internal interfaces.
Funding
Conflicts of Interest
References
- Kramer, M.A.; Calo, J.M.; Rabitz, H. An improved computational method for sensitivity analysis: Green’s Function Method with “AIM”, Appl. Math. Modelling, 1981, 5, 432–442. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Cacuci, D.G. Sensitivity theory for nonlinear systems: I. Nonlinear functional analysis approach. J. Math. Phys, 1981, 22, 2794–2802. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Dunker, A.M. The decoupled direct method for calculating sensitivity coefficients in chemical kinetics, J. Chem. Phys., 1984, 81, 2385–2393. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Bellman, R.E. Dynamic programming. Rand Corporation, Princeton University Press, ISBN 978-0-691-07951-6, USA, 1957. Republished: Bellman, RE (2003) Dynamic Programming. Courier Dover Publications, ISBN 978-0-486-42809-3, USA,.
- Iman, R.L.; Helton, J.C.; Campbell, J.E. An approach to sensitivity analysis of computer models, Part 1. Introduction, input variable selection and preliminary variable assessment. J. Quality Technol., 1981, 13, 174–183. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Iman, R.L.; Helton, J.C.; Campbell, J.E. An approach to sensitivity analysis of computer models, Part 2. Ranking of input variables, response surface validation, distribution effect and technique synopsis. J. Quality Technol., 1981, 13, 232–240. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Cukier, R.I.; Levine, H.B.; Shuler, K.E. Nonlinear sensitivity analysis of multiparameter model systems. J. Comp. Phys., 1978, 26, 1–42. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Hora, S.C.; Iman, R.L. A Comparison of maximum/bounding and Bayesian/Monte Carlo for fault tree uncertainty analysis, Technical Report SAND85-2839, Sandia National Laboratories, Albuquerque, NM, USA, 1986.
- Rios Insua, D. Sensitivity analysis in multiobjective decision making. Springer Verlag, New York, USA, 1990.
- Saltarelli, A.; Chan, K.; Scott, E.M. Editors. Sensitivity analysis. J. Wiley & Sons Ltd. Chichester, UK, 2000.
- Wigner, E.P. Effect of small perturbations on pile period, Chicago Report CP-G-3048, Chicago, IL, USA, 1945.
- Weiberg, A.M.; Wigner, E.P. The Physical Theory of Neutron Chain Reactors. University of Chicago Press, Chicago, Illinois, USA, 1958.
- Weisbin, C.R.; et al. Application of sensitivity and uncertainty methodology to fast reactor integral experiment analysis. Nucl. Sci. Eng., 1978, 66, pp. 307. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Williams, M.L. Perturbation Theory for Nuclear Reactor Analysis. In: Ronen, Y. (Ed.) Handbook of Nuclear Reactor Calculations, CRC Press, Boca Raton, Florida, USA, 1986; Volume 3, p 63-188.
- Shultis, J.K.; Faw, R.E. Radiation Shielding. American Nuclear Society, La Grange Park, Illinois, USA, 2000.
- Stacey, W.M. Nuclear reactor physics. John Wiley & Sons, New York. USA, 2001.
- Práger, T.; Kelemen, F.D. Adjoint methods and their application in earth sciences. In: Faragó I, Havasi Á, Zlatev Z (Eds.) Advanced numerical methods for complex environmental models: Needs and availability. Bentham Science Publishers, Oak Park, IL, USA, 2014; Chapter 4A, p.203–275.
- Luo, Z.; Wang, X.; Liu, D. Prediction on the static response of structures with large-scale uncertain-but-bounded parameters based on the adjoint sensitivity analysis. Structural and Multidisciplinary Optimization, 2020, 61, 123–139. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Cacuci, D.G. Second-order adjoint sensitivity analysis methodology for computing exactly and efficiently first- and second-order sensitivities in large-scale linear systems: I. Computational methodology. J. Comp. Phys., 2015, 284, 687–699. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Cacuci, D.G. Second-order adjoint sensitivity analysis methodology for large-scale nonlinear systems: I. Theory. Nucl. Sci. Eng., 2016, 184, 16–30. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Cacuci, D.G.; Fang, R. The nth-Order Comprehensive Adjoint Sensitivity Analysis Methodology (nth-CASAM): Overcoming the Curse of Dimensionality in Sensitivity and Uncertainty Analysis, Volume II: Application to a Large-Scale System, 463 pages. 2023. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Valentine, T.E. Polyethylene-reflected plutonium metal sphere subcritical noise measurements, SUB-PU-METMIXED-001. International Handbook of Evaluated Criticality Safety Benchmark Experiments, NEA/NSC/DOC(95)03/I-IX, Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD), Nuclear Energy Agency (NEA), Paris, France, 2006.
- Alcouffe, R.E.; Baker, R.S.; Dahl, J.A.; Turner, S.A.; Ward, R. PARTISN: A Time-Dependent, Parallel Neutral Particle Transport Code System. LA-UR-08-07258; Los Alamos National Laboratory: Los Alamos, NM, USA, 2008. [Google Scholar]
- Conlin, J.L.; Parsons, D.K.; Gardiner, S.J.; Gray, M.; Lee, M.B.; White, M.C. MENDF71X: Multigroup Neutron Cross-Section Data Tables Based upon ENDF/B-VII.1X.; Los Alamos National Laboratory Report LA-UR-15-29571; Los Alamos National Laboratory: Los Alamos, NM, USA, 2013. [Google Scholar]
- Chadwick, M.B.; Herman, M.; Obložinský, P.; Dunn, M.E.; Danon, Y.; Kahler, A.C.; Smith, D.L.; Pritychenko, B.; Arbanas, G.; Brewer, R.; et al. (2011) ENDF/B-VII.1: Nuclear data for science and technology: Cross sections, covariances, fission product yields and decay data. Nucl. Data Sheets, 2011, 112, 2887–2996. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Wilson, W.B.; Perry, R.T.; Shores, E.F.; Charlton, W.S.; Parish, T.A.; Estes, G.P.; Brown, T.H.; Arthur, E.D.; Bozoian, M.; England, T.R.; et al. SOURCES4C: A code for calculating (α,n), spontaneous fission, and delayed neutron sources and spectra. In: Proceedings of the American Nuclear Society/Radiation Protection and Shielding Division 12th Biennial Topical Meeting, Santa Fe, NM, USA, 14–18 April 2002.
- Cacuci, D.G. The nth-order comprehensive adjoint sensitivity analysis methodology (nth-CASAM): Overcoming the curse of dimensionality in sensitivity and uncertainty analysis, Volume I: Linear systems, 362 pages, Springer Nature, Cham, Switzerland, 2022. [CrossRef]
- Lewins, J. IMPORTANCE: The Adjoint Function, Pergamon Press Ltd., Oxford, UK, 1965.
- Stacey, W.M. Variational Methods in Nuclear Reactor Physics, Academic Press, new York, USA, 1974.
- Cacuci, D.G. The nth-Order Comprehensive Adjoint Sensitivity Analysis Methodology (nth-CASAM): Overcoming the Curse of Dimensionality in Sensitivity and Uncertainty Analysis, Volume III: Nonlinear Systems, 369 pages, Springer Nature, Cham, Switzerland, 2023. [CrossRef]
- Cacuci, D.G. Computation of High-Order Sensitivities of Model Responses to Model Parameters. II: Introducing the Second-Order Adjoint Sensitivity Analysis Methodology for Computing Response Sensitivities to Functions/Features of Parameters. Energies, 2023, 16, 6356. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Meghreblian, R.V.; Holmes, D.K. Reactor Analysis, McGraw-Hill, New York, USA, 1960.
- Lamarsh, J.R. Introduction to Nuclear Reactor Theory, Adison-Wesley Publishing Co., Reading MA, USA, 1966; pp. 491–492.
- Hetrick, D.L. Dynamics of Nuclear Reactors, American Nuclear Society, Inc., La Grange Park, IL., USA, 1993; pp. 164–174.
Disclaimer/Publisher’s Note: The statements, opinions and data contained in all publications are solely those of the individual author(s) and contributor(s) and not of MDPI and/or the editor(s). MDPI and/or the editor(s) disclaim responsibility for any injury to people or property resulting from any ideas, methods, instructions or products referred to in the content. |
© 2024 by the authors. Licensee MDPI, Basel, Switzerland. This article is an open access article distributed under the terms and conditions of the Creative Commons Attribution (CC BY) license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/).