Preprint Article Version 1 Preserved in Portico This version is not peer-reviewed

Improving Hardenability Modeling: A Bayesian Optimization Approach to Tuning Hyperparameters for Neural Networks Regression

Version 1 : Received: 5 February 2024 / Approved: 6 February 2024 / Online: 6 February 2024 (09:17:47 CET)

A peer-reviewed article of this Preprint also exists.

Gemechu, W.F.; Sitek, W.; Batalha, G.F. Improving Hardenability Modeling: A Bayesian Optimization Approach to Tuning Hyperparameters for Neural Network Regression. Appl. Sci. 2024, 14, 2554. Gemechu, W.F.; Sitek, W.; Batalha, G.F. Improving Hardenability Modeling: A Bayesian Optimization Approach to Tuning Hyperparameters for Neural Network Regression. Appl. Sci. 2024, 14, 2554.

Abstract

This study investigates the application of regression neural networks, in particular the fitrnet model, in predicting the hardness of steels. The experiments involve extensive tuning of hyperparameters using Bayesian optimization and employ 5-fold and 10-fold cross-validation schemes. The trained models are rigorously evaluated, and their performances are compared using various metrics such as mean square error (MSE), root mean square error (RMSE), mean absolute error (MAE), and coefficient of determination (R2). The results provide valuable insights into the effectiveness of the models and their ability to generalize to unseen data. In particular, Model 4208 (8-85-141-1) emerges as the top performer with an impressive RMSE of 1.0790 and an R² of 0.9900. The research paper contains an illustrative example that demonstrates the practical application of the developed model in determining the hardenability band for a specific steel grade and shows the effectiveness of the model in predicting and optimizing heat treatment results.

Keywords

steel hardenability; Bayesian optimization; k-fold cross-validation; hyperparameter tuning; neural networks regression; steel alloy; predictive model; heat treatment; hardenability band; Jominy end-quench

Subject

Engineering, Mechanical Engineering

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