Preprint Article Version 3 Preserved in Portico This version is not peer-reviewed

Modeling the Differential Effect of Prescribed Fire on Multi-Vector Tick-Borne Tularemia Disease

Version 1 : Received: 1 January 2024 / Approved: 3 January 2024 / Online: 3 January 2024 (04:22:04 CET)
Version 2 : Received: 5 January 2024 / Approved: 5 January 2024 / Online: 5 January 2024 (12:15:00 CET)
Version 3 : Received: 6 January 2024 / Approved: 6 January 2024 / Online: 8 January 2024 (06:32:19 CET)

How to cite: Agusto, F.B.; Atsu, J.; Kwarteng-Adjei, D.; Lamptey-Mills, D.; Osei, S.A. Modeling the Differential Effect of Prescribed Fire on Multi-Vector Tick-Borne Tularemia Disease. Preprints 2024, 2024010139. https://doi.org/10.20944/preprints202401.0139.v3 Agusto, F.B.; Atsu, J.; Kwarteng-Adjei, D.; Lamptey-Mills, D.; Osei, S.A. Modeling the Differential Effect of Prescribed Fire on Multi-Vector Tick-Borne Tularemia Disease. Preprints 2024, 2024010139. https://doi.org/10.20944/preprints202401.0139.v3

Abstract

Tularemia is a zoonotic disease caused by {\it Francisella tularensis} bacteria, a gram-negative coccobacillus-shaped bacterium. There are multiple transmission routes of the infection to humans such as consumption of contaminated food or water, handling of infected animals or bites from {\it haematophagous} arthropods (such as ticks, deer flies, or mosquitoes). In this study we focus on transmission via the bites of ticks and developed a deterministic model of ordinary and impulsive differential equations to gain insight in the differential effect of prescribed fire on {\it Demacenta variablis} and {\it Amblyomma americanum} ticks and the prevalence of tularemina. We found that prescribed fire differentially reduce the number of the two ticks with {\it A. americanum} reduced the least compare to {\it D. variablis} subsequently leading to differential increase of tularemia new infected cases in humans and rodents. Our result further indicates that the spatial arrangement of burn against unburn areas may not matter as either arrangement led to fewer ticks and reduction in tularemia transmission when prescribed fire was implemented. The results of this study provide important new understandings of the intricate effect of prescribed fire on tick species, and the dynamics of the tick-borne disease, tularemia disease in this study.

Keywords

prescribed fire; amblyomma americanum; demacenta variablis; tularemia; tick-borne disease; sensitivity analysis; multiple vectors

Subject

Biology and Life Sciences, Life Sciences

Comments (1)

Comment 1
Received: 8 January 2024
Commenter: Folashade B. Agusto
Commenter's Conflict of Interests: Author
Comment: A typo in the pathogen name on the cover page.
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