Preprint Article Version 1 Preserved in Portico This version is not peer-reviewed

Spontaneous Cultural Conversion Rate of Mycobacterium avium Complex Pulmonary Disease Based on Baces Severity

Version 1 : Received: 30 October 2023 / Approved: 31 October 2023 / Online: 31 October 2023 (09:07:32 CET)

A peer-reviewed article of this Preprint also exists.

Kim, B.-G.; Yu, J.Y.; Jhun, B.W. Spontaneous Cultural Conversion Rate of Mycobacterium avium Complex Pulmonary Disease Based on BACES Severity. J. Clin. Med. 2023, 12, 7125. Kim, B.-G.; Yu, J.Y.; Jhun, B.W. Spontaneous Cultural Conversion Rate of Mycobacterium avium Complex Pulmonary Disease Based on BACES Severity. J. Clin. Med. 2023, 12, 7125.

Abstract

Few clinical factors can help predict spontaneous culture conversion (SCC) in patients with Mycobacterium avium complex-pulmonary disease (MAC-PD). We retrospectively classified 373 MPD patients who had undergone watchful waiting without antibiotics according to the so-called ‘body mass index (BMI), age, cavity, erythrocyte sedimentation rate (ESR), and sex (BACES)’ severity. We evaluated whether lower severity is associated with a higher rate of SCC. Of 373 patients, 153 (41%) achieved SCC without antibiotics during a median follow-up of 48.1 months. There was a trend toward a higher SCC rate in patients with lower BACES severity: 48% (87/183), 37% (58/157), and 24% (8/33) in the mild, moderate, and severe BACES groups, respectively. In addition, a favorable outcome, defined as maintaining SCC or having two consecutive negative sputum cultures until the last follow-up date, was also more common in patients with lower BACES severity with 53% (97/183), 34% (54/157), and 18% (6/33) in the mild, moderate, and severe BACES groups, respectively. In multivariate analysis, moderate (hazard ratio [HR]=0.63; 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.44 – 0.91; p = 0.013) and severe BACES (HR 0.37; 95% CI 0.16 – 0.90; p = 0.028) had a significantly negative impact on favorable outcomes compared to mild BACES. Lower BACES severity may be associated with SCC in MAC-PD patients.

Keywords

Mycobacterium avium complex; outcome; treatment; severity

Subject

Medicine and Pharmacology, Pulmonary and Respiratory Medicine

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