Preprint Case Report Version 1 Preserved in Portico This version is not peer-reviewed

Oxygen demand forecasting and optimal scheduling of the oxygen gas system in the iron- and steel-making enterprises

Version 1 : Received: 26 September 2023 / Approved: 27 September 2023 / Online: 28 September 2023 (04:21:44 CEST)

A peer-reviewed article of this Preprint also exists.

Cheng, Z.; Zhang, P.; Wang, L. Oxygen Demand Forecasting and Optimal Scheduling of the Oxygen Gas Systems in Iron- and Steel-Making Enterprises. Appl. Sci. 2023, 13, 11618. Cheng, Z.; Zhang, P.; Wang, L. Oxygen Demand Forecasting and Optimal Scheduling of the Oxygen Gas Systems in Iron- and Steel-Making Enterprises. Appl. Sci. 2023, 13, 11618.

Abstract

Due to the imbalance between the supply and demand of oxygen, the oxygen system of iron- and steel-making enterprises in China has problems with high oxygen emission and high pressure in the pipelines, resulting in the energy consumption of oxygen production being high. To relieve this problem, using a large-scale iron- and steel-making mill as a case study, the research on demand forecasting and optimal scheduling of the oxygen system was carried out. The ARIMA model and the GABP model are employed to forecast oxygen demand. Based on the forecast results, an optimal scheduling model for the oxygen system was developed to conduct optimal scheduling. The case study shows that based on the oxygen demand forecast and the optimal scheduling, the oxygen emission and the pipeline pressure in the studied iron- and steel-making enterprise can be significantly reduced, thereby achieving considerable energy-saving effects and economic benefits. Specifically, the following conclusions are obtained: (1) For the oxygen demand forecast, the prediction accuracy of the GABP model is better than that of the ARIMA model. The average MAPE of the 12 sets of data of the ARIMA and GABP models are 23.8% and 20.2%, respectively. (2) By comparing the scheduling results and the field data, it is found that after the scheduling, the amount of oxygen emission has decreased by 6.32%, the pipeline pressure has decreased by 0.61%, and the energy consumption of oxygen compression has decreased by 1.6%. Considering both the oxygen emission loss and the energy consumption of oxygen compression, the total power consumption of the oxygen system is reduced by 1.38%, which saves the electricity cost of about 9.03 million RMB per year.

Keywords

Iron- and steel-making enterprise; Oxygen system; Forecasting model; Scheduling model; Energy-saving

Subject

Engineering, Control and Systems Engineering

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