Preprint Article Version 1 Preserved in Portico This version is not peer-reviewed

Using Deep Neural Network Methods for Forecasting Energy Productivity Based on Comparison of Simulation and DNN Results for Central Poland – Swietokrzyskie Voivodeship

Version 1 : Received: 18 August 2023 / Approved: 18 August 2023 / Online: 18 August 2023 (11:49:50 CEST)

A peer-reviewed article of this Preprint also exists.

Pikus, M.; Wąs, J. Using Deep Neural Network Methods for Forecasting Energy Productivity Based on Comparison of Simulation and DNN Results for Central Poland—Swietokrzyskie Voivodeship. Energies 2023, 16, 6632. Pikus, M.; Wąs, J. Using Deep Neural Network Methods for Forecasting Energy Productivity Based on Comparison of Simulation and DNN Results for Central Poland—Swietokrzyskie Voivodeship. Energies 2023, 16, 6632.

Abstract

Forecasting electricity demand is of utmost importance for ensuring the stability of the entire energy sector. However, predicting the future electricity demand and its value poses a formidable challenge due to the intricate nature of the processes influenced by renewable energy sources. Within this piece, we have meticulously explored the efficacy of fundamental deep-learning models designed for electricity forecasting. Among the deep learning models, we have innovatively crafted recursive neural networks (RNNs) predominantly based on LSTM and combined architectures. The data-set employed was procured from a SolarEdge designer. The data-set encompasses daily records spanning the past year, encompassing an exhaustive collection of parameters extracted from solar farm (based on location in Central Europe (Poland Swietokrzyskie Voivodeship)). The experimental findings unequivocally demonstrated the exceptional superiority of the LSTM models over other counterparts concerning forecasting accuracy. Consequently, we compared multilayer DNN architectures with results provided by the simulator.

Keywords

AI; Forecasting; RES

Subject

Computer Science and Mathematics, Artificial Intelligence and Machine Learning

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