Preprint Article Version 2 Preserved in Portico This version is not peer-reviewed

Assessing Polarisation of Climate Phenomena Based on Long-Term Precipitation and Temperature Sequences

Version 1 : Received: 28 July 2023 / Approved: 1 August 2023 / Online: 1 August 2023 (11:26:05 CEST)
Version 2 : Received: 25 August 2023 / Approved: 28 August 2023 / Online: 29 August 2023 (04:06:19 CEST)

How to cite: TWARÓG, B.S. Assessing Polarisation of Climate Phenomena Based on Long-Term Precipitation and Temperature Sequences. Preprints 2023, 2023080043. https://doi.org/10.20944/preprints202308.0043.v2 TWARÓG, B.S. Assessing Polarisation of Climate Phenomena Based on Long-Term Precipitation and Temperature Sequences. Preprints 2023, 2023080043. https://doi.org/10.20944/preprints202308.0043.v2

Abstract

This article presents an analysis of monthly precipitation totals based on the Global Precipitation Climatology Centre database and monthly mean temperatures based on National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration data for 377 catchments located around the world. Data sequences covering 110 years from 1901 to 2010 were analysed. The long-term sequences of precipitation and temperature were used to assess the variability of climate extremes, referred to here as polarisation. Measures of polarisation used in the natural sciences are discussed. A simple measure of polarisation was presented and applied to long-term sequences of monthly precipitation totals and monthly mean temperatures. Due to the nature of the proposed polarisation measure, other characteristics of precipitation and temperature sequences are also presented as a background for the discussion of the polarisation index. The study showed the existence of trends related to the polarisation of temperature and precipitation phenomena. As a result of the analysis, trends of polarisation factors in the area of precipitation and temperature were identified in 11 catchments out of the 377 analysed catchments. The trend analysis used Mann-Kendall tests at a level of significance of 5%. The Pettitt test was used to determine the point of trend change for precipitation and temperature data. The whole investigation is supported by rich graphical analyses, and the results are presented in tabular form.

Keywords

polarisation of climatic phenomena; GPCC data; NOAA data; monthly precipitation; average temperature; climate trends; Mann Kendall test; Pettitt test

Subject

Environmental and Earth Sciences, Environmental Science

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