Preprint Article Version 1 Preserved in Portico This version is not peer-reviewed

Dynamic Probabilistic Risk Assessment of Commercial-Off-The-Shelf Drones in Nuclear-Contaminated Search and Rescue Missions

Version 1 : Received: 28 June 2023 / Approved: 6 July 2023 / Online: 6 July 2023 (10:48:21 CEST)

A peer-reviewed article of this Preprint also exists.

Earthperson, A.; Diaconeasa, M.A. Integrating Commercial-Off-The-Shelf Components into Radiation-Hardened Drone Designs for Nuclear-Contaminated Search and Rescue Missions. Drones 2023, 7, 528. Earthperson, A.; Diaconeasa, M.A. Integrating Commercial-Off-The-Shelf Components into Radiation-Hardened Drone Designs for Nuclear-Contaminated Search and Rescue Missions. Drones 2023, 7, 528.

Abstract

This paper presents a limited scope dynamic probabilistic risk assessment (D-PRA) on the survivability of commercial of the shelf (COTS) drones tasked with surveilling areas with varying radiation levels after a nuclear accident. The D-PRA is based on a discrete-dynamic event tree (D-DET) approach, which couples with the OpenEPL error propagation framework to model sequences leading to Loss of Mission (LOM) scenarios due to component failures in the drone’s navigation system. Radiation effects are simulated by calculating the total ionizing dose (TID) against the permissible limit per component, and errors are propagated within the electronic hardware and software blocks to quantify navigation system availability per radiation zone. The proposed methods are integrated into the traditional event tree/fault tree approach and the most vulnerable components are radiation-hardened (RAD-HARD) to the extent specified by a predefined mission success criterion. The results demonstrate the usefulness of the proposed approach in performing trade studies for incorporating COTS components into RAD-HARD drone designs.

Keywords

Dynamic Probabilistic Risk Assessment; Discrete Dynamic Event Tree; Dual-Graph Error Propagation Model; Continuous-Time Markov Chain; Error Propagation; OpenPRA; OpenEPL

Subject

Engineering, Safety, Risk, Reliability and Quality

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