System Dynamics Tools to Study Mediterranean Rangeland’s Sustainability

Rangelands are a key resource present all over the world as it covers half of emerged lands. They are even more important in drylands, where they cover 48% of the total area. Intensification and the additional pressure added by climate change push these systems towards desertification. Over the last two decades, we have developed and applied System Dynamics (SD) models for the study of Mediterranean grasslands. In addition, we have developed procedures and analysis tools, such as global sensitivity analysis, stability analysis condition, or risk analysis, in order to detect the main drivers of these socio-ecological systems and provide indicators about their long-term sustainability. This paper reviews these works, their scientific background, and the most relevant conclusions, including purely technical and rangeland-related ones as well as our experience as systemic modelers in a world driven by field specialists.