Preprint Article Version 2 Preserved in Portico This version is not peer-reviewed

MSCliGAN—A Structure-informed Generative Adversarial Model for Multi-site Statistical Downscaling of Extreme Precipitation Using Multi-model Ensemble

Version 1 : Received: 14 July 2022 / Approved: 25 July 2022 / Online: 25 July 2022 (07:59:59 CEST)
Version 2 : Received: 21 December 2023 / Approved: 21 December 2023 / Online: 22 December 2023 (03:50:22 CET)

How to cite: Chaudhuri, C.; Robertson, C. MSCliGAN—A Structure-informed Generative Adversarial Model for Multi-site Statistical Downscaling of Extreme Precipitation Using Multi-model Ensemble. Preprints 2022, 2022070356. https://doi.org/10.20944/preprints202207.0356.v2 Chaudhuri, C.; Robertson, C. MSCliGAN—A Structure-informed Generative Adversarial Model for Multi-site Statistical Downscaling of Extreme Precipitation Using Multi-model Ensemble. Preprints 2022, 2022070356. https://doi.org/10.20944/preprints202207.0356.v2

Abstract

Although the statistical methods of downscaling climate data have progressed significantly, the development of high-resolution precipitation products continues to be a challenge. This is especially true when interest centres on downscaling value over several study sites. In this paper , we report a new downscaling method termed the multi-site Climate Generative Adversarial Network (MSCliGAN), which can simulate annual maximum precipitation to the regional scale during the 1950-2010 period in different cities in Canada by using different AOGCM's from the Coupled Model Inter-Comparison Project 6 (CMIP6) as input. Auxiliary information provided to the downscaling model included topography and land-cover. The downscaling framework uses a convolution encoder-decoder U-net network to create a generative network and a convolution encoder network to create a critic network. An adversarial training strategy is used to train the model. The critic/discriminator used Wasserstein distance as a loss measure and on the other hand the generator is optimized using a summation of content loss on Nash-Shutcliff Model Efficiency (NS), structural loss on structural similarity index (SSIM), and adversarial loss Wasserstein distance. Downscaling results show that downscaling AOGCMs by incorporating topography and land-use/land-cover can produce spatially coherent fields close to observation over multiple-sites. We believe the model has sufficient downscaling potential in data sparse regions where climate change information is often urgently needed.

Keywords

multi-site statistical downscaling; generative adversarial network; combination of errors; convolutional neural network; structural similarity index; Wasserstein GAN; extreme precipitation

Subject

Environmental and Earth Sciences, Atmospheric Science and Meteorology

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