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The Optimal Harvest Decisions for Natural and Artificial Maturation Mangoes Under Uncertain Demand, Yields, and Prices

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Submitted:

01 July 2021

Posted:

02 July 2021

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Abstract
This study focuses on the decisions of picking, inventory, ripening, delivering, and selling mangoes in a harvesting season. Demand, supply, and prices are uncertain, and their probability density functions are fitted based on actual trading data collected from the largest spot market in Taiwan. A stochastic programming model is formulated to minimize the expected cost under the considerations of labor, storage space, shelf life, and transportation restrictions. We implement the sample-average approximation to obtain a high-quality solution of the stochastic program. The analysis compares deterministic and stochastic solutions to assess the uncertain effect on the harvest decisions. Finally, the optimal harvest schedule of each mango type is suggested based on the stochastic program solution.
Keywords: 
fresh agricultural products; harvest schedule; stochastic programming; sample-average approximation
Subject: 
Engineering  -   Automotive Engineering
Copyright: This open access article is published under a Creative Commons CC BY 4.0 license, which permit the free download, distribution, and reuse, provided that the author and preprint are cited in any reuse.

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