Preprint Article Version 1 Preserved in Portico This version is not peer-reviewed

Estimating the Total Number of Residential Fire-Related Incidents and Underreported Residential-Fire Incidents in New South Wales, Australia by Using Linked Administrative Data

Version 1 : Received: 23 June 2021 / Approved: 24 June 2021 / Online: 24 June 2021 (08:52:39 CEST)

A peer-reviewed article of this Preprint also exists.

Ghassempour, N.; Tannous, W.K.; Avsar, G.; Agho, K.E.; Harvey, L.A. Estimating the Total Number of Residential Fire-Related Incidents and Underreported Residential Fire Incidents in New South Wales, Australia by Using Linked Administrative Data. Int. J. Environ. Res. Public Health 2021, 18, 6921. Ghassempour, N.; Tannous, W.K.; Avsar, G.; Agho, K.E.; Harvey, L.A. Estimating the Total Number of Residential Fire-Related Incidents and Underreported Residential Fire Incidents in New South Wales, Australia by Using Linked Administrative Data. Int. J. Environ. Res. Public Health 2021, 18, 6921.

Journal reference: Int. J. Environ. Res. Public Health 2021, 18, 6921
DOI: 10.3390/ijerph18136921

Abstract

The rate of fires, and particularly residential-fires, is a serious concern in industrialized countries. However, there is considerable uncertainty regarding the reported numbers of residential-fire incidents as official figures are based on fires reported to fire response agencies only. This population-based study aims to quantify the total number of residential-fire incidents regardless of reporting status. The cohort comprised linked person-level data from Fire and Rescue New South Wales (FRNSW) and health system and death records. It includes all persons residing at a residential address in New South Wales, Australia, that experienced a fire between 1 January 2005 – 31 December 2014. Capture-Recapture method was used to estimate the underreporting number of residential fire-related incidents. Over the study period, 43,707 residential-fire incidents were reported to FRNSW and there were 2,795 residential fire-related health service utilization of which 2,380 were not reported. Using Capture-Recapture method, the total number of residential-fire incidents was estimated at 267,815 to 319,719 which is more than six times the official records. This study found that 15% of residential-fire incidents that were identified in health administrative dataset were reported. The residential-fire incidents that were not reported occurred mainly in socio-economically disadvantaged areas among the males and adults.

Subject Areas

Residential Fire; Linked Data; Health Economics; Epidemiology

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