Preprint Communication Version 1 Preserved in Portico This version is not peer-reviewed

Wargaming Future National Security Threats Posed by Emerging Vector-Borne Diseases

Version 1 : Received: 16 March 2021 / Approved: 18 March 2021 / Online: 18 March 2021 (07:20:31 CET)

How to cite: Canyon, D. Wargaming Future National Security Threats Posed by Emerging Vector-Borne Diseases. Preprints 2021, 2021030458 (doi: 10.20944/preprints202103.0458.v1). Canyon, D. Wargaming Future National Security Threats Posed by Emerging Vector-Borne Diseases. Preprints 2021, 2021030458 (doi: 10.20944/preprints202103.0458.v1).

Abstract

The emergence of existing and novel vector-borne disease pathogens is highly unpredictable because there are so many possible causal factors of sociological, ecological, biological, behavioral and political origin. Traditional data-driven forecasting tools have limited use in circumstances featuring low-probability crises for which trend data is unreliable and non-predictive. Commercial and security sectors have been quick to adopt various forms of wargames to address this gap and provide intelligent insights on possible outcomes in the short, mid and long term future. The lack of commitment and action against vector-borne diseases by governments and local authorities requires a new approach that presents risk in terms of potential actions, possible outcomes and resulting consequences.

Subject Areas

strategy; national security; competitive gaming; wargaming; military; defense force; arboviruses; crisis management

Comments (0)

We encourage comments and feedback from a broad range of readers. See criteria for comments and our diversity statement.

Leave a public comment
Send a private comment to the author(s)
Views 0
Downloads 0
Comments 0
Metrics 0


×
Alerts
Notify me about updates to this article or when a peer-reviewed version is published.
We use cookies on our website to ensure you get the best experience.
Read more about our cookies here.