Preprint Article Version 1 Preserved in Portico This version is not peer-reviewed

Towards Decision Making for Green Projects Assessment and Prioritization, Integration Between System Dynamics and Participatory Modelling

Version 1 : Received: 2 October 2020 / Approved: 5 October 2020 / Online: 5 October 2020 (10:48:12 CEST)

How to cite: Olivar-Tost, G.; Valencia-Calvo, J.; Castrillón-Gómez, J.A. Towards Decision Making for Green Projects Assessment and Prioritization, Integration Between System Dynamics and Participatory Modelling. Preprints 2020, 2020100062 (doi: 10.20944/preprints202010.0062.v1). Olivar-Tost, G.; Valencia-Calvo, J.; Castrillón-Gómez, J.A. Towards Decision Making for Green Projects Assessment and Prioritization, Integration Between System Dynamics and Participatory Modelling. Preprints 2020, 2020100062 (doi: 10.20944/preprints202010.0062.v1).

Abstract

This research article presents the integration of participatory modeling and system dynamics as a novel methodology for the consolidation of social dynamic models for the subsequent evaluation and prioritization of green projects in Colombian post-conflict communities. In the first instance, through participatory work carried out along with the community, it was possible to identify, evaluate and systematize citizen factors in relation to the problems and needs of the region. Second, based on the results obtained, to calibrate a simulation model based on system dynamics that facilitates decision making with regard to the evaluation of green projects. The proposed methodology leads to the conclusion that, with the participation of the community and with a model based on the dynamics of variables such as supply and demand for natural resources of water and land, it is possible to warn decision makers about the variables that can lead to the maximization of investments and thus prioritize and select the most appropriate environmental, social or economic initiatives, that certainly meet the needs or expectations of the involved community. In the future, the model could be used to facilitate the management, administration and control of water and land resources by creating alerts called reserve margins.

Subject Areas

Participation; community; systems dynamics; sustainable development; decision making.

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