A Framework for Assessing Social- and Location-Based Transmission Risk as a Heuristic for Individual Decision-Making

Carrie Diaz Eaton

doi:10.20944/preprints202005.0391.v1

Preprint Technical Note Version 1 Preserved in Portico This version is not peer-reviewed

Version 1 : Received: 22 May 2020 / Approved: 24 May 2020 / Online: 24 May 2020 (17:17:51 CEST)
Version 2 : Received: 1 December 2020 / Approved: 1 December 2020 / Online: 1 December 2020 (15:05:55 CET)
Version 3 : Received: 8 January 2021 / Approved: 12 January 2021 / Online: 12 January 2021 (12:26:41 CET)

This paper provides a framework for the assessment of household-level risk, incorporating both a individual social risk perspective and a location-based perspective. We use this framework as a heuristic to explore the effect of social reintegration choices individuals face, which are not be addressed by current policies. For example, we explore how integrating extended family households during COVID-19 without social distancing may affect household and community risk. The goal is to aid individual decision makers, who are seeking to maintain quality-of-life while navigating local policy, with nuance relating to location-specific behavior and disease prevalence.

COVID-19; risk analysis; heuristic; probability

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A Framework for Assessing Social- and Location-Based Transmission Risk as a Heuristic for Individual Decision-Making

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