Preprint Article Version 1 Preserved in Portico This version is not peer-reviewed

Predicting Environmental Contribution to Ship’s Average Fuel Consumption Based on Non-Uniform Time Set

Version 1 : Received: 7 December 2019 / Approved: 8 December 2019 / Online: 8 December 2019 (17:05:03 CET)

How to cite: Vujović, I.; Kuzmanić, I.; Petković, M.; Šoda, J. Predicting Environmental Contribution to Ship’s Average Fuel Consumption Based on Non-Uniform Time Set. Preprints 2019, 2019120102 (doi: 10.20944/preprints201912.0102.v1). Vujović, I.; Kuzmanić, I.; Petković, M.; Šoda, J. Predicting Environmental Contribution to Ship’s Average Fuel Consumption Based on Non-Uniform Time Set. Preprints 2019, 2019120102 (doi: 10.20944/preprints201912.0102.v1).

Abstract

Real data obtained from ship in operation are processed and analyzed in this paper. The intention was to provide software which would predict ship’s fuel consumption in some future time instant. It is showed that it is possible to develop such software based on numeric fitting of known data. In order to check how well the prediction of future fuel consumption is, we used only the first half of data for obtaining prediction curve. The second part of data was used to compare different prediction curves goodness. Hence, the presented research used actually a “real future data” and forecasted future data, which are used to numerically evaluate goodness of prediction. The research is of interest for companies logistics, to provide adequate fuel for fleet when and where actually needed. It is concluded that there are several prediction functions which satisfy used statistical quality measures.

Subject Areas

forecasting of fuel demand; ship’s fuel consumption; data fitting; statistical quality measures; signal processing and analysis

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