Pałasz, P.; Przysowa, R. Predicting Heat Meters’ Failures With Selected Machine Learning Models. Preprints2018, 2018110293. https://doi.org/10.20944/preprints201811.0293.v1
APA Style
Pałasz, P., & Przysowa, R. (2018). Predicting Heat Meters’ Failures With Selected Machine Learning Models. Preprints. https://doi.org/10.20944/preprints201811.0293.v1
Chicago/Turabian Style
Pałasz, P. and Radosław Przysowa. 2018 "Predicting Heat Meters’ Failures With Selected Machine Learning Models" Preprints. https://doi.org/10.20944/preprints201811.0293.v1
Abstract
Heat metres are used to calculate the consumed energy in central heating systems. The subject of this article is to prepare a method of predicting a failure of a heat meter in the next settlement period. Predicting failures is essential to coordinate the process of exchanging the heat metres and to avoid inaccurate readings, incorrect billing and additional costs. The reliability analysis of heat metres was based on historical data collected over many years. Three independent models of machine learning were proposed, and they were applied to predict failures of metres. The efficiency of the models was confirmed and compared using the selected metrics. The optimisation of hyperparameters characteristics for each of models was successfully applied. The article shows that the diagnostics of devices does not have to rely only on newly collected information, but it is also possible to use the existing big data sets.
Keywords
machine Learning (ML); artificial neutral network (ANN); bagging decision tree (BDT); SUpport Vector Machines (SVM); no free lunch theorem (NFLT); hyperparameter optimisation; model comparison; heat meter
Subject
Engineering, Energy and Fuel Technology
Copyright:
This is an open access article distributed under the Creative Commons Attribution License which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.
