Preprint Article Version 1 This version is not peer-reviewed

Trust and Distress Prediction in Modal Shift Potential of Long-Distance Road Freight in Containers: Modelling Approach in Transport Services for Sustainability

Version 1 : Received: 31 May 2018 / Approved: 1 June 2018 / Online: 1 June 2018 (10:44:39 CEST)

A peer-reviewed article of this Preprint also exists.

Szaruga, E.; Skąpska, E.; Załoga, E.; Matwiejczuk, W. Trust and Distress Prediction in Modal Shift Potential of Long-Distance Road Freight in Containers: Modeling Approach in Transport Services for Sustainability. Sustainability 2018, 10, 2370. Szaruga, E.; Skąpska, E.; Załoga, E.; Matwiejczuk, W. Trust and Distress Prediction in Modal Shift Potential of Long-Distance Road Freight in Containers: Modeling Approach in Transport Services for Sustainability. Sustainability 2018, 10, 2370.

Journal reference: Sustainability 2018, 10, 2370
DOI: 10.3390/su10072370

Abstract

Confidence in intermodal transport has not yet been defined. There are many different approaches to the concept of trust. However, the authors embedded them in the light of the challenges of sustainability, linking with the shift paradigm. The objective of the article is to indicate the directions and criteria for the implementation of the shift paradigm, inscribed in the idea of sustainable transport. The auxiliary objective is to predict which countries in a given year will have the TRUST status, i.e. implement the shift paradigm, and which will not implement it (DISTRESS). The article uses taxonometric techniques and built a model using General Discriminant Analysis. On their basis, the utility function was approximated, including the directions of implementation of the shift paradigm depending on the scale of the environmental load of transport. In the course of the research, an original and innovative econometric model was constructed, pointing to three variables, which had the greatest impact on trust. Thanks to the cognitive value of the model, it is possible to identify individuals who deserve the trust, i.e. it will implement the shift paradigm, with 93% probability. In the future, it is worth expanding the research by models for each country.

Subject Areas

sustainability; trust; distress; transport services; road freight transport; modal shift potential; shift paradigm; modelling; prediction; General Discriminant Analysis

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