Submitted:
22 August 2026
Posted:
25 August 2026
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Abstract
This paper develops a baryon acoustic oscillation (BAO) test for a new FRW RH=ct cosmology using the Haug--Tatum cosmological-redshift assumption. The square-root redshift relation between the observed redshift and the Hubble radius was used by Haug and Tatum in their Hubble-tension analysis and subsequently presented as a cosmological-redshift formula [1,2]. Here, however, that redshift relation is embedded in an explicit FRW metric construction. The usual metric-redshift variable is retained as an auxiliary geometric parameter, while zH is interpreted as the observational redshift assigned to spectra. In this sense, the present model is distinct from a direct light-travel-distance construction: it demonstrates how the published redshift assumption can be used under an FRW metric assumption and derives new closed-form BAO distance relations from that geometry.The central relation is that the auxiliary FRW metric redshift is the square of the observational-redshift factor, \( 1+z_{\rm FRW}=(1+z_H)^2 \). In a spatially flat \( R_H=ct\ \) FRW background this leads to a logarithmic transverse comoving distance and a corresponding radial Jacobian with respect to the observed redshift. The resulting scale-independent BAO anisotropy is \( (1+z_H)\ln(1+z_H) \), a compact prediction that follows the broad trend of the DESI DR2 anisotropic BAO measurements and is much more successful than applying the Haug--Tatum light-travel distance directly to BAO.The paper also extends the model by incorporating the Hubble-sphere mass relation, the critical-density condition, and the exact photon radiation-density parameter derived in Ref.[3]. These ingredients provide a route toward a model-specific acoustic ruler and show how a larger effective BAO scale may arise in this framework. However, a Gaussian likelihood test using the public DESI DR2 BAO data vector and covariance shows that the minimal flat one-normalization implementation is not statistically consistent with the full DESI BAO constraints, mainly because of the high-redshift radial Lyman-\( \alpha \) measurement. The conclusion is therefore deliberately balanced: the present model provides a coherent metric-based extension of the published redshift relation and derives several nontrivial BAO relations, but the simplest flat version is not yet a successful BAO cosmology. Possible next directions include a curved extension of the model, a first-principles acoustic-ruler calculation, and a direct correlation-function analysis using the modified-redshift mapping.
Keywords:
baryon acoustic oscillations
; DESI
; FRW cosmology
; RH=ct
; modified observational redshift
; Hubble radius
1. Introduction
Baryon acoustic oscillations provide a precise statistical standard ruler for testing cosmic geometry. Spectroscopic surveys measure angular positions and redshifts,
and identify a preferred correlation scale in the distribution of galaxies, quasars, and absorption systems. The quantities usually reported as and are geometric interpretations of this feature, where is a transverse comoving distance, is a radial Hubble distance, and is the acoustic scale at the baryon-drag epoch.
The present paper considers a new FRW model with
which implies
and
This background expansion is related to other cosmologies, including Melia’s model [4], but the present construction uses the observational redshift .
The model considered here adopts the Haug–Tatum cosmological-redshift assumption, including the relation between the Hubble radius, cosmic time, and a square-root redshift law [1,2]. It is nevertheless a separate model because that redshift is used here within an FRW metric assumption. The Haug–Tatum construction has often emphasized a direct Hubble-radius or light-travel-distance relation. The model developed here instead begins with an explicit FRW line element and asks how the square-root redshift law can be incorporated while preserving a consistent metric distance calculation. This is the sense in which the present framework goes beyond the Haug–Tatum model: it introduces a two-variable redshift interpretation in which the standard FRW metric redshift determines the geometry, while the Haug–Tatum redshift is the proposed observational redshift.
This distinction changes the BAO prediction materially. Rather than inserting directly into a light-travel-distance formula, one first maps to the corresponding FRW metric redshift and then computes the FRW comoving distance. This approach follows the logic of standard BAO analyses, in which the acoustic feature is interpreted through a geometric distance-redshift relation, while allowing the observed redshift variable to differ from the auxiliary metric redshift used in the FRW background [5,6,7]. The resulting model derives a new BAO anisotropy relation, a one-parameter absolute BAO distance law, and a direct observed-coordinate BAO shell. These results make the present model substantially more testable than a pure redshift-distance ansatz.
2. The FRW Background
For a spatially flat Friedmann–Lemaître–Robertson–Walker (FLRW, here abbreviated FRW) spacetime [8,9,10,11],
The Hubble radius is
Imposing
gives
The Hubble time is defined by
Thus, in the present linearly expanding model,
Since
one obtains
and therefore
The standard FRW metric redshift is then
Because ,
The standard Hubble function expressed in terms of the metric redshift is
Throughout the numerical discussion, we use
The scale-independent BAO anisotropy derived below does not depend on the numerical value of , but fixes the absolute distance scale.
3. Haug–Tatum Observational Redshift in the FRW Metric
We adopt the Haug–Tatum cosmological-redshift assumption used in their Hubble-tension paper [1] and set out explicitly in their cosmological-redshift paper [2]. In the present work it is not used as a stand-alone light-travel-distance prescription. Instead, it is imposed as the observational-redshift mapping within a linearly expanding FRW metric background.
The Haug–Tatum observational redshift, denoted here by , is defined by
Combining this with the FRW metric relation gives
or
Thus,
This is the central mapping used in the BAO calculation.
The model therefore contains two redshift variables with different roles. The FRW metric redshift determines the scale factor and the background null-geodesic geometry. The variable is the proposed observational redshift assigned to photons or spectral measurements. This is not meant to imply that a single source has two independently measured spectroscopic redshifts; rather, is the observational variable, while is an auxiliary metric parameter related to the same emission event.
The distinction implies that cannot be the standard null-geodesic FRW redshift unless additional physics is introduced. Possible interpretations include nonstandard photon propagation, clock scaling, evolving transition frequencies, or a modified operational definition of observed redshift. The present paper treats the Haug–Tatum mapping phenomenologically and tests its geometric consequences for BAO.
4. CMB Temperature Law Used in the Present Model
As a central thermodynamic ingredient, the model uses
This equivalent form of the temperature formula is presented in Ref. [12]. The formula was heuristically suggested by Tatum et al. in 2015 [13]. Haug and Wojnow subsequently derived the same expression from the Stefan–Boltzmann law [14], while Haug related it to the CMB, Hawking temperature, Planck scale, and Hubble scale [15].
Haug and Tatum also derived the same CMB formula from a geometric-mean construction in which the time-dependent Hawking–Hubble temperature is the minimum temperature, the Planck temperature is the maximum temperature, and the CMB temperature is their geometric mean [16]. The result was later expressed directly as the geometric mean of the minimum and maximum temperatures possible in the Hubble sphere. These are alternative derivations and interpretations of a temperature formula already obtained from the Stefan–Boltzmann law; the present paper uses the formula rather than claiming to derive it anew.
In an background the formula gives
In terms of the standard metric redshift,
Using ,
the same law becomes
Placing this material here makes explicit, before the BAO distance derivation, that the observational-redshift mapping and the CMB temperature law are linked central assumptions of the present model.
5. Transverse Comoving Distance
For a flat FRW spacetime, the transverse comoving distance is
For the linearly expanding background,
Therefore,
which gives
Using
we find
Hence,
For
the normalization is approximately
Thus,
This logarithmic distance differs fundamentally from the saturating light-travel-distance expression used in some Haug–Tatum calculations,
The latter may have a role in another observational context, but it is not identified with the FRW transverse comoving distance in the present cosmology.
6. Radial BAO Mapping
DESI measures radial clustering as a function of the observed redshift variable. Therefore, the relevant radial Jacobian is the derivative of the comoving distance with respect to :
Differentiating Equation (33) gives
The same result follows by the chain rule:
The factor of two therefore follows exactly from the transformation between the observed redshift and the FRW metric redshift. It is not inserted as a free normalization.
7. BAO Observables
Let denote the characteristic acoustic correlation length in comoving FRW coordinates.
For a transverse pair,
For a radial pair,
The ratio is
Substituting Equations (1) and (2) gives
Therefore,
This relation is independent of , of the absolute acoustic scale, of the numerical value of , and of an external CMB calibration of the ruler. It is consequently a clean geometric test of the redshift mapping and FRW background.
8. Connection to DESI Quantities
DESI conventionally reports
and
For a standard observed redshift, the ratio
is equivalent to the angular–radial BAO anisotropy.
In the present model, the observed redshift is , and the radial distance per unit observed redshift is not simply . It is
Thus a fully consistent DESI reanalysis would fit the BAO correlation function using and directly.
As a first comparison, we identify the published dimensionless anisotropy ratio with the observed angular–redshift anisotropy and compare it with Equation (49). This is informative but not a substitute for a catalogue-level likelihood analysis under the observational-redshift mapping.
9. Comparison with DESI DR2
DESI DR2 provides anisotropic BAO measurements in six effective redshift bins. Table 1 compares the published central values of with the model prediction
The model follows the measured trend considerably more closely than the earlier light-travel-distance BAO interpretation.
At
the prediction differs from the DESI central value by only approximately
At
the difference is approximately
The deviations are larger in the quasar and Lyman- bins. At
the model predicts
compared with the DESI central value
This is an approximately
difference.
The numerical proximity of several bins is noteworthy, but central-value comparisons alone do not establish a statistically acceptable fit. The measurements are correlated, and the ratio uncertainties are not obtained by treating and as independent; this is why the official DESI covariance is needed for the full likelihood test [7]. A formal test must use the DESI data vector and covariance matrix.
10. Absolute Transverse and Radial Scales
The anisotropy ratio removes the unknown acoustic scale, but DESI also constrains the absolute combinations
and
The model predictions are
and
Both depend on the single normalization
Thus, a BAO-only fit can treat as one free scale parameter while testing the fixed redshift dependence:
If
a fitted value of directly determines the acoustic ruler:
This provides a stronger test than the ratio alone. A successful model must reproduce both the anisotropy and a common absolute normalization across all redshift bins.
11. Direct Observed-Coordinate BAO Template
A rigorous analysis should use the two-dimensional BAO correlation function in observed angular and redshift coordinates.
For small separations near an effective redshift , the transverse and radial comoving separations are
and
An isotropic acoustic shell satisfies
Using Equations (1) and (2),
Therefore,
This is a particularly simple prediction. In the transformed observed coordinates
and
the BAO ridge should form a circle of constant radius
Equation (76) provides a direct route to testing the model without first expressing the observations as standard-CDM distance parameters.
12. Relation to the Haug–Tatum Model
The present cosmology and the Haug–Tatum model share important concepts: These points are ;; ; a square-root redshift relation; the present value near ; and geometric and thermodynamic relations involving the Hubble radius.
They should nevertheless not be conflated. The Haug–Tatum programme has used a distance of the form
which is naturally connected to the difference between present and emission-era Hubble radii or to a light-travel construction.
The present cosmology developed here instead uses an FRW metric background, the standard metric redshift for geometric distance calculations, the Haug–Tatum redshift as the observational variable, and the exact mapping
As a consequence, its transverse comoving distance is logarithmic:
not saturating.
This distinction is the main reason the BAO prediction agrees much more closely with the DESI anisotropy trend.
13. Similarities and Differences with Melia’s Cosmology
The present cosmology and Melia’s cosmology share the same background expansion when the condition
is imposed exactly. In both constructions,
For a spatially flat FRW cosmology, exact linear expansion implies the zero-active-mass condition
or, for the total cosmic fluid,
Thus, at the level of the homogeneous background geometry, the two cosmologies have the same scale-factor history and the same metric-redshift distance relation when expressed in terms of the standard FRW redshift:
For a flat, linearly expanding background, both therefore give
The principal differences concern the interpretation of redshift and the CMB sector.
13.1. Background Similarities
The main shared properties are a spatially homogeneous and isotropic FRW background, the exact horizon condition , linear expansion , , vanishing cosmic acceleration , the total equation-of-state condition , and the metric-redshift distance law
These common features mean that the two models are geometrically identical at the level of the idealized background if the same spatial curvature and exact condition are adopted [4].
13.2. Differences in Redshift Interpretation
Melia’s basic model normally retains the standard FRW metric redshift:
The present model instead assumes that the spectroscopically observed redshift follows the Haug–Tatum relation
Consequently,
The difference is therefore not primarily in the background expansion. It is in the map from the background geometry to the observed photon redshift.
In Melia’s model, the observed redshift is ordinarily identified directly with the metric redshift generated by FRW null-geodesic propagation. In the present model, the metric redshift is retained as a geometric variable, while is proposed as the observational redshift. This requires an additional physical rule involving photon energy propagation, clock comparison, atomic transition scales, or the operational interpretation of measured redshift.
13.3. Differences in the CMB Sector
The basic Melia model does not contain the geometric-mean CMB temperature formula as a defining prediction.
The model uses the temperature law developed in Section 4. In an background it gives , or equivalently when expressed through . This thermodynamic ingredient is central to the present model but is not a defining assumption of Melia’s basic construction.
13.4. Summary Comparison
Table 2.
Conceptual comparison of the model and Melia cosmologies.
| Property | present model | Melia model |
|---|---|---|
| Background geometry | FRW with | FRW with |
| Expansion | ||
| Hubble parameter | ||
| Total equation of state | for exact | as a core condition |
| Metric redshift | retained as a geometric variable | Usually identified with observed redshift |
| Observed redshift (Haug-Tatum) | Normally | |
| Relation between variables | No second redshift variable in the basic model | |
| Comoving distance | ||
| CMB temperature law | Geometric-mean law, | Not fixed by the basic condition |
| Photon production | Required by the proposed blackbody scaling | Not a defining requirement |
| BAO anisotropy | , with z the metric redshift |
14. Can One Cosmology Contain Two Redshift Variables?
A model may consistently use two redshift variables, but their physical meanings must be sharply distinguished.
There is only one spectroscopic redshift assigned to a given observed source once the laboratory frequency standard and observational procedure are specified. A model should therefore not claim that the same photon has two independent observed redshifts. It may, however, define an observational redshift,
or its model-specific equivalent, together with an auxiliary metric or geometric redshift parameter,
used to label the emission epoch and calculate FRW distances.
These are not independent quantities in the present model. They are connected by
Therefore the most precise terminology is:
The present cosmology has one proposed observational cosmological redshift, , and one associated FRW metric-redshift parameter, .
The model can retain the Haug–Tatum redshift function exactly:
Indeed, this is the defining observational-redshift relation of the present cosmology.
At the same time, because the background metric is FRW with , the scale factor defines
The two equations are mathematically compatible:
The unresolved issue is not mathematical compatibility. It is physical interpretation. In standard FRW cosmology, the frequency redshift measured by spectroscopy is already the metric redshift . To identify the measured redshift instead with , the present model must supply a mechanism modifying the relation between photon frequency and the scale factor.
Possible broad classes of mechanism include nonstandard photon energy evolution along null propagation, cosmological evolution of atomic transition frequencies, a varying clock or unit standard, an interaction between photons and a cosmological medium, or an effective optical metric distinct from the gravitational FRW metric. Until such a mechanism is specified covariantly, should be described as a phenomenological observational-redshift prescription rather than as the ordinary FRW metric redshift.
For the BAO analysis in this paper, the working interpretation is:
while
is used to calculate distances in the FRW background.
This leads directly to
and
Thus, retaining the Haug–Tatum redshift function is not only possible; it is essential to the BAO prediction developed here. What must be avoided is presenting and as two separately measured redshifts of the same source.
15. Hubble-Sphere Mass and the Acoustic Ruler
The present model also contains the Hubble-sphere mass relation
where
Thus,
This relation is significant because the Schwarzschild radius associated with equals the Hubble radius:
The average density inside the Hubble sphere is
Substituting gives
Since
this becomes
Therefore the model mass relation automatically gives the critical density at all times.
With , one has , so
Since , this also implies
If this scaling is interpreted through a standard continuity equation,
then
and hence
Thus, is not merely a dimensional relation. It fixes the total density, supports the dynamics, and implies the zero-active-mass condition
15.1. Does Mc(t) Determine the BAO Ruler?
The BAO likelihood test above fits one common scale
The best-fit value found from the DESI DR2 compressed BAO vector corresponds to
for
The mass relation can help explain the background density entering an acoustic-ruler calculation, but it does not by itself determine . To compute , one must also know the photon energy density, the baryon density, the sound speed of the photon–baryon fluid, the drag or decoupling epoch, and the starting time of coherent acoustic propagation. These are physical inputs to the acoustic-ruler calculation rather than consequences of the background distance law alone [5,18].
In a present model with the geometric-mean CMB temperature law,
and
we have
Therefore the photon energy density scales as
This has the same time dependence as the total density
Consequently the photon density fraction is constant in this model, rather than scaling as in standard CDM.
Using the present CMB temperature and , the photon energy-density fraction is approximately
If one also adopts an illustrative baryon fraction
then the photon–baryon inertia ratio
is approximately
The corresponding photon–baryon sound speed is
For a linearly expanding background,
the comoving acoustic ruler is
If is approximately constant, this becomes
This equation shows why is helpful but not sufficient. The result depends logarithmically on the unknown ratio .
15.2. Numerical Acoustic-Ruler Estimate
If the drag epoch is identified approximately with
then
The corresponding time is
To reproduce the BAO-fitted ruler
with
the required logarithmic acoustic interval is
Thus,
This is a potentially interesting result: the fitted DESI normalization can be reproduced if coherent acoustic propagation in the present model effectively operates from roughly years to years after the origin, under the illustrative assumptions above.
However, this should not yet be presented as a prediction. It is a reverse-engineered consistency condition. A physical theory must explain why the effective acoustic propagation interval should begin near this time and why the sound speed should be approximately constant.
15.3. Does the New Ruler Solve the BAO Discrepancy?
The acoustic-ruler calculation can help with the absolute normalization
It cannot, by itself, solve the scale-free anisotropy discrepancy
This is because cancels in the ratio
Therefore, even if the model mass and CMB relations can produce
the high-redshift anisotropy tension remains unless the model also modifies the spatial curvature, the radial BAO distance mapping, the transverse BAO distance mapping, or the effective acoustic ruler differently in radial and transverse directions.
The present conclusion is therefore:
The relation strengthens the model background dynamics and provides a route toward a model-specific acoustic ruler. It can potentially explain the large fitted effective ruler , but it does not by itself repair the DESI anisotropy mismatch that drives the poor full-vector BAO fit.
16. Exact Photon Density and Implications for the BAO Ruler
A further input is the exact CMB photon radiation-density parameter derived in Ref. [3] for an cosmology. The result is
This value is reported to lie within the PDG confidence interval for the present photon radiation density. The same work argues that this photon-density fraction remains constant across cosmic time in the framework because both the photon radiation density and the critical density scale as
This is important for BAO because the photon–baryon sound speed depends on the photon and baryon inertia densities:
If the relevant density fractions are constant in the model era, then
is also constant, provided is constant.
Using
and an illustrative baryon fraction
one obtains
and hence
The exact photon-density result therefore makes the photon side of the acoustic-ruler estimate much less arbitrary. It does not, however, determine , the drag epoch, or the onset of coherent acoustic propagation.
16.1. Ruler Estimate with Exact Omega-gamma
For the model background,
and the comoving sound horizon is
If is approximately constant over the relevant interval,
The full DESI BAO normalization fit to the minimal model distance law gave an effective ruler near
With
and
this requires
If the drag or decoupling epoch is approximately associated with
then the model temperature law gives
and
The required start time is then
Thus, with the exact photon-density parameter and an illustrative baryon fraction, the large effective BAO ruler inferred by the compressed DESI normalization can be reproduced if the acoustic propagation interval extends roughly from yr to yr after the origin.
This should be interpreted as a consistency condition, not yet as a prediction. To become a prediction, the model must derive the baryon fraction , the drag condition defining , the initial time for coherent sound propagation, the time dependence of , and the acoustic transfer function.
16.2. Impact on the BAO Likelihood
The exact photon-density relation helps with the absolute ruler scale:
It does not by itself change the dimensionless anisotropy:
Therefore, the exact result can help explain why the fitted model ruler differs from the standard CDM sound horizon, but it cannot alone remove the high-redshift radial/transverse anisotropy tension in the DESI BAO likelihood.
The practical implication is:
The exact photon-density result strengthens the model early-universe sector and makes a model-specific acoustic-ruler derivation more plausible. However, solving the full DESI BAO problem still requires either a successful anisotropy prediction, spatial curvature, a revised radial mapping, or a derived redshift-dependent acoustic transfer function.
17. Physical Requirements and Limitations
17.1. Origin of the Observational Redshift
The FRW metric naturally predicts
The observational relation
requires additional physics or a revised operational interpretation of redshift.
A complete theory must specify how emitted photon frequencies, atomic transition standards, clocks, or propagation laws generate while the geometry continues to be described by . Without such a mechanism, the model is best understood as a phenomenological redshift-distance proposal rather than a complete covariant theory.
17.2. The Acoustic Ruler
The BAO ruler is normally calculated from pre-recombination baryon–photon physics:
The present model must derive the corresponding ruler consistently with linear expansion, the two-redshift interpretation, the proposed CMB temperature law, photon production or entropy evolution if present, recombination, and baryon drag. Until this is done, should be treated as a fitted scale in the BAO analysis rather than as the standard CDM sound horizon [5,20].
17.3. CMB and Thermal History
The provenance and early placement of the temperature formula are given in Section 4. The thermal-history issue is not its algebraic derivation, which has been presented through the Stefan–Boltzmann and geometric-mean approaches, but whether the resulting scaling is dynamically consistent with the rest of cosmology.
Accordingly, the model uses
while
This differs from the standard FRW radiation scaling in terms of . It may require continuous photon and entropy production. A full cosmology must show consistency with the CMB spectrum, recombination redshift, acoustic peaks, primordial nucleosynthesis, and spectral-distortion constraints.
17.4. DESI Compression
DESI’s published and measurements are designed to be weakly dependent on the fiducial cosmology, but they are still derived using a conventional mapping between observed redshift and radial distance.
18. Gaussian DESI DR2 BAO Likelihood Test
A full forward fit to the uncompressed DESI correlation functions would require the public clustering vectors, survey-window treatment, reconstruction choices, broadband nuisance terms, redshift-space-distortion model, and tracer-specific covariance machinery. Those ingredients are not all contained in the compact cosmology likelihood release used here. We therefore perform the strongest reproducible public test currently available: the official DESI DR2 Gaussian BAO likelihood using the released mean vector and full covariance matrix.
The DESI data vector contains 13 observables: one isotropic measurement at , six transverse measurements , and six radial measurements .
For the present model, define the single normalization
The model predictions are
and
Let the DESI data vector be , the model shape vector be , and the published covariance matrix be . Since
the best-fitting normalization is obtained analytically:
Its Gaussian uncertainty is
Using the official DESI DR2 Gaussian BAO mean vector and covariance matrix gives
For
this corresponds to
The minimum chi-square is
for
degrees of freedom. The corresponding upper-tail probability is approximately
Thus, the one-parameter model BAO distance law is decisively inconsistent with the full compressed DESI DR2 BAO likelihood, despite the visually close agreement of the scale-free anisotropy ratio in several redshift bins.
Table 3.
Best-fit model predictions compared with the official DESI DR2 Gaussian BAO data vector. The pull shown is the residual divided by the square root of the corresponding diagonal covariance element; correlated contributions are included only in the total .
Table 3.
Best-fit model predictions compared with the official DESI DR2 Gaussian BAO data vector. The pull shown is the residual divided by the square root of the corresponding diagonal covariance element; correlated contributions are included only in the total .
| z | Observable | DESI | model | Diagonal pull |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.295 | 7.9417 | 8.0196 | ||
| 0.510 | 13.5876 | 13.3351 | ||
| 0.510 | 21.8629 | 21.4292 | ||
| 0.706 | 17.3507 | 17.2841 | ||
| 0.706 | 19.4553 | 18.9672 | ||
| 0.934 | 21.5756 | 21.3431 | ||
| 0.934 | 17.6415 | 16.7312 | ||
| 1.321 | 27.6009 | 27.2454 | ||
| 1.321 | 14.1760 | 13.9414 | ||
| 1.484 | 30.5119 | 29.4416 | ||
| 1.484 | 12.8170 | 13.0266 | ||
| 2.330 | 8.6315 | 9.7171 | ||
| 2.330 | 38.9890 | 38.9259 |
The dominant discrepancy is the radial Lyman- measurement at
At the global best fit, the transverse distance at this redshift is reproduced almost exactly, while the predicted radial distance is too large:
compared with
This mismatch cannot be removed by changing or , because both enter only through the common normalization . Altering the normalization to fit the radial Lyman- point would spoil the transverse measurement and the lower-redshift data.
The likelihood result therefore shows that agreement of
with selected central values of is not sufficient. The full radial and transverse distance data, including their covariance and common normalization, provide a much stronger test.
A true Equation (76) correlation-function forward analysis could still examine whether the standard DESI compression is biased for a two-redshift model. However, because the discrepancy is largest in a dimensionless radial–transverse relation and is much larger than the published uncertainty, such a reanalysis would need to shift the recovered high-redshift BAO anisotropy substantially. The present public-likelihood result should therefore be regarded as strong evidence against the simplest model BAO implementation.
Diagnostic Omission of the Lyman- Radial Point
Because the largest contribution to the minimal flat model likelihood failure comes from the radial Lyman- measurement at , it is useful to perform an additional diagnostic fit in which this single data-vector entry is omitted. This is not a proposed replacement for the official DESI likelihood, but a sensitivity test of whether the model is globally poor or whether the rejection is driven mainly by one high-redshift radial constraint.
Repeating the same one-parameter Gaussian fit with the entry removed, while retaining the transverse Lyman- point, gives
corresponding to
for . The minimum chi-square becomes
for
degrees of freedom, giving an upper-tail probability
Thus, after omitting only the radial Lyman- entry, the model is no longer catastrophically rejected, although the fit is still statistically strained at about the few-percent level.
If both Lyman- entries at are omitted, the fit gives
with
for
degrees of freedom, corresponding to
The fact that omitting both Lyman- entries gives a similar probability to omitting only the radial one shows that the transverse Lyman- distance is not the main source of the problem. The dominant conflict is specifically the radial high-redshift BAO scale.
This diagnostic calculation gives a more nuanced interpretation than the full-vector result alone. The minimal flat present model is decisively inconsistent with the full compressed DESI DR2 BAO likelihood, but this conclusion is driven overwhelmingly by the radial Lyman- point. If that single measurement is removed, the model becomes a marginal rather than catastrophic fit. This does not prove that the Lyman- measurement is wrong; DESI reports extensive validation of the Lyman- BAO analysis and quotes percent-level precision for both radial and transverse directions [21]. It does, however, identify exactly where a model extension or a direct forward analysis should focus: the high-redshift radial mapping, the Ly forest compression, and the possible redshift dependence of the acoustic transfer function.
Table 4.
Diagnostic Gaussian BAO likelihood fits for the minimal flat present model. The official compressed DESI DR2 mean vector and covariance are used in each case, with the specified entries removed from the data vector. These are sensitivity tests, not replacements for the full likelihood.
Table 4.
Diagnostic Gaussian BAO likelihood fits for the minimal flat present model. The official compressed DESI DR2 mean vector and covariance are used in each case, with the specified entries removed from the data vector. These are sensitivity tests, not replacements for the full likelihood.
| Fit | Data entries | p | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Full DESI DR2 BAO vector | 13 | |||
| Omit only | 12 | |||
| Omit both Lyman- entries | 11 |
19. Summary
The present model yields a compact BAO geometry. Its defining relation
maps the observed redshift to the metric redshift of a linearly expanding FRW background.
The resulting transverse distance,
continues to grow with redshift and avoids the premature saturation that occurs when the Haug–Tatum light-travel distance is treated as a transverse BAO distance.
The radial mapping,
includes the exact Jacobian between and .
Together they produce
The closeness of this function to several DESI DR2 anisotropy measurements is mathematically interesting. In particular, no scale fitting is involved in the ratio comparison.
However, the disagreement in the highest-redshift bin and the absence of a full covariance analysis prevent a claim of confirmed consistency. Moreover, numerical agreement with BAO geometry would not by itself validate the proposed redshift mechanism or early-universe thermal history.
The appropriate conclusion is therefore that the present model has a clear and testable BAO prediction, but the minimal flat implementation is not supported by the public DESI DR2 Gaussian BAO likelihood.
We have derived the BAO distance relations for the new FRW cosmology using the observational redshift within an FRW metric assumption.
The model is defined by
and by the two-redshift relation
The resulting transverse and radial BAO distances are
and
The scale-independent anisotropy is
This prediction follows the DESI DR2 anisotropy trend surprisingly closely over much of the observed redshift range, with differences of approximately , , , , , and across the six anisotropic bins.
The result is substantially more promising than applying the Haug–Tatum light-travel distance directly to BAO. This improvement arises because the present model is a separate construction in which FRW geometry determines distances while determines observational redshift.
The public DESI covariance likelihood already rules out the minimal flat one-normalization BAO implementation considered here. A more complete assessment would require a derivation of the acoustic ruler, a physical mechanism for the observational variable , consistency with the CMB and early-universe thermal history, and possibly a curved or otherwise extended model geometry. The model is therefore not established as a BAO-consistent cosmology, but it now has a precise, economical, and falsifiable BAO formulation that identifies where the remaining theoretical work must focus.
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Table 1.
Comparison of the model scale-independent BAO anisotropy with DESI DR2 central values. The last column is .
Table 1.
Comparison of the model scale-independent BAO anisotropy with DESI DR2 central values. The last column is .
| DESI tracer | DESI | model | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.510 | BGS/LRG | 0.622 | 0.6223 | |
| 0.706 | LRG | 0.892 | 0.9113 | |
| 0.934 | LRG/ELG | 1.223 | 1.2756 | |
| 1.321 | ELG | 1.948 | 1.9543 | |
| 1.484 | QSO | 2.386 | 2.2601 | |
| 2.330 | Ly | 4.518 | 4.0059 |
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