Submitted:
06 August 2026
Posted:
10 August 2026
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Abstract
The persistent tension between the CMB-inferred matter fluctuation amplitude from Planck (S8=0.832±0.013) and the late-universe weak lensing measurements from KiDS-1000 (S8=0.766_(-0.014)^(+0.020)) and DES Y3 (S8=0.776±0.017) poses one of the most significant challenges to the standard ΛCDM cosmology. We demonstrate that this discrepancy finds a natural resolution within the Quantum Enthalpy-Entropy Theory (QEET) through a time-varying Newton constant G(z) driven by the vacuum expectation value of the entropy flow field. As the universe approaches the ETH saturation boundary, the nonlinear dynamics of the entropy field generates a two-stage evolution of G(z): it remains near its present value at z≫2, reaches a maximum suppression of 12.6% at z∼0.5 with G(0.5)/G0=0.874, and freezes to a constant at z=0, naturally satisfying the stringent local constraint |G ̇/G|≲10-15yr-1. Numerical solution of the coupled system yields the prediction S8QEET=0.776±0.015, in excellent agreement with DES Y3 and within 0.5σ of KiDS-1000, while differing from the Planck 2018 value by 4.3σ--a difference that directly reflects the QEET mechanism suppressing late-time structure formation. Crucially, all parameters employed in this analysis are already present in the QEET framework; none are introduced to fit S8 data. This work identifies the S8 crisis as a potential first cosmological signature of an emergent, time-dependent Newton constant driven by quantum entanglement dynamics, and provides a concrete, testable realisation of emergent gravity from quantum information flow.
Keywords:
Quantum Enthalpy-Entropy Theory (QEET)
; S8 crisis
; cosmological time‑variation of Newton's constant
; emergent gravity
; nonlinear saturation
; ETH saturation boundary
1. Introduction
1.1. The Crisis: A Challenge to ΛCDM
The standard cosmological model, ΛCDM, has achieved remarkable success in describing the evolution of the universe from very early times to the present. However, in recent years an increasingly significant tension has emerged between measurements of the matter fluctuation amplitude from the early universe and those from the late universe.
The parameter is defined as [1]:
where is the rms amplitude of matter density fluctuations on scales of [1], and is the matter density parameter. In ΛCDM, is a derived quantity: its value at is determined by the primordial power spectrum and the subsequent structure growth history.
The main measurements are listed in Table 1.
1.2. Existing Proposed Solutions and Their Limitations
Various approaches have been proposed to resolve the crisis, summarised in Table 2.
As seen from Table 2, all other schemes introduce new free parameters that must be fitted to data. We consider this a fundamental limitation: if a model can fit any observation by adjusting parameters, its explanatory power is weakened. What is needed is a physical mechanism that can naturally explain the observed suppression of without introducing extra degrees of freedom.The QEET framework contains parameters (, , , A, ) determined by the entropy field dynamics; they are not introduced to fit data but are pre-existing physical quantities already present in the framework. This work is the first to connect them with cosmological observations and to determine their optimal values for explaining .
1.3. Overview of the QEET Framework
The Quantum Enthalpy-Entropy Theory (QEET) established in our previous work [16,17] provides a unified framework from the uncertainty principle of quantum systems to hadron stability. Its core is the Quantum Cosmological Emergent Bound (QCEB):
which reveals a fundamental complementarity between quantum uncertainty and entropy production, with the speed of light as the causal backbone.
The relation most relevant to the tension originates from the mechanism whereby the vacuum expectation value of the entropy flow field determines Newton's constant [16]:
where is the non-minimal coupling constant with dimension , and is the vacuum expectation value (VEV) of the entropy flow field.
The entropy flow field satisfies a Proca-type equation:
where , is the quantum mass of the entropy field, is the Ricci scalar, and is the entropy-fermion coupling constant.
The key point is that Eq. (2) implies that Newton's constant is not a fundamental constant but an emergent quantity determined by the quantum state of the entropy field. If evolves with cosmic time, then evolves as well. This is the central insight that this work investigates in detail.
1.4. Core Proposition: A Two-Stage Evolution Mechanism
The core proposition of this paper is that the crisis is a natural consequence of QEET, whose central mechanism is a time-varying Newtonian constant produced jointly by the time evolution of the entropy field VEV and quantum nonlinear saturation effects, modulating structure formation in the late universe through a two-stage evolution.
The mechanism is as follows:
1) Smooth evolution of G(z) driven by the entropy field VEV
In QEET, Newton's constant is determined by the entropy flow field VEV:
The entropy field satisfies the Proca-type equation.
As the universe expands, the evolution of drives a smooth change in . At it approaches the present constant; oscillations are excited at ; the maximum effect occurs at ; and at , it freezes, suppressing .
2) Cosmological oscillations modulating the late-time evolution
When the system approaches the ETH saturation boundary, quantum nonlinear effects produce additional oscillatory behaviour:
with:
The oscillations originate from the wave-like dynamics of the entropy field: when the and terms become comparable, oscillates in the late universe, directly modulating Newton's constant through .
3) Two-stage synergy
- Smooth evolution: dominates at , keeping close to constant at early times and satisfying CMB constraints.
- Oscillatory modulation: dominates at , producing additional suppression at , enhancing the effect.
- Saturation: ensures at , satisfying local gravitational constraints.
4) Naturalness of parameters
The oscillation parameters , , are determined by the entropy field dynamics and initial conditions. The parameter comes from hadronic data.
1.5. Structure of This Paper
Section 2 reviews the QEET framework and derives the evolution equation for , including both smooth evolution and oscillatory modulation. Section 3 presents numerical solutions, showing how quantum nonlinear saturation effects and cosmological oscillations together produce the late-time suppression of . Section 4 compares the predictions with observational data. Section 5 discusses broader implications for emergent gravity and quantum information flow, and presents future testable predictions. Section 6 gives conclusions.
2. Evolution of Newton's Constant in QEET
2.1. Core Relation
From the core QEET relation
we obtain
Taking the today's value as reference:
Therefore, determining reduces to determining the evolution of the entropy field VEV. This is the central quantity in our analysis.
2.2. Entropy Field Dynamics
In the cosmological background, the entropy field VEV satisfies the Proca-type equation [16]:
where is the scale factor, is the time component of the entropy field VEV, and is the Ricci scalar.
Defining , we obtain the evolution equation:
The Ricci scalar is given by:
The modified Friedmann equation (including the time dependence of is
We have omitted the radiation term . Since this work focuses mainly on , the radiation contribution is and negligible.
Equations (6)–(8) form a coupled system that determines the evolution of , and .
2.2.1. Oscillatory Modes of the Entropy Field Equation
The Proca-type equation admits wave-like oscillatory solutions in certain parameter regimes. When the and terms become comparable, the term in Eq. (6) can produce oscillatory behaviour.
We adopt the trial solution , where is the smooth background solution. Substituting into Eq. (6), resonant enhancement occurs when approaches the system's natural frequency. Since , these oscillations directly modulate Newton's constant.
Inserting the derivation: substituting into Eq. (6), and in the regime where the oscillation frequency is much larger than the background expansion rate , satisfies:
When , this equation has oscillatory solutions:
The validity of this solution requires , which holds for . In this interval, the evolution of can be written uniformly as:
In the numerical calculations, has absorbed the normalisation factor, so is an effective dimensionless quantity.
This type of stimulated oscillation mode can be physically analogised to oscillatory phenomena in non-equilibrium quantum field theory [18], as well as the evolution of entropy (isocurvature) perturbations in multi-field cosmological models [19,20]. Oscillatory behaviour of Proca-type fields in cosmological backgrounds has been extensively studied [21-23], and the entropy field in the QEET framework is a Proca-type field with a mass term, so the existence of wave-like oscillatory solutions has a solid theoretical basis.
It is emphasised that the oscillatory solution presented here is a trial solution of Eq. (6) in a specific parameter interval. The full non-linear evolution and its coupling to the background solution remain to be verified by more precise numerical methods in future work. The aim of this work is to establish the first theoretical connection between the QEET framework and observations.
2.3. Nonlinear Saturation Effects
A key feature of Eq. (6) is the sign of the term in the bracket. Since (required by consistency between and , this term is negative, opposing the positive term.
As the universe evolves, the Ricci scalar changes. During matter domination, . During dark energy domination, decreases. When the negative term cancels the positive terms , the evolution of stops and freezes to a constant. This is the quantum nonlinear saturation effect.
The quantum saturation effect is controlled by the entropy-enthalpy ratio introduced in the QEET framework. When (the ETH saturation value), the entropy field dynamics are suppressed and freezes.
2.3.1. Synergy Between Oscillations and Saturation
At , the saturation effect has already suppressed the evolution of to near constancy, but not yet fully frozen. The oscillatory mode of the entropy field (the term) may still produce small residual modulations.
As the universe approaches the ETH saturation boundary, decreases, causing to decrease from positive values. Near , the system transitions to a fully saturated state, the oscillation frequency tends to zero, and the oscillations are “frozen out”.
Thus, the oscillations exist only in the interval , being excited at . This “late-time oscillation + early-time normal” behaviour satisfies CMB constraints while producing the maximum amplitude effect at .
2.3.2. Physical Origin of the Oscillation Parameters
The oscillation parameters and are determined by the initial conditions of the entropy field equation (6):
- corresponds to the oscillatory component being about 20% of the background VEV.
- corresponds to the initial phase, set by initial conditions in the early universe.
These are not free parameters but physical quantities determined by the entropy field dynamics and early-universe initial conditions.
Remark on the numerical value and dimension of . In natural units (), the entropy-curvature coupling constant has dimension . To give its numerical value a clear physical meaning, one must specify a reference mass scale such that the dimensionless quantity characterises the coupling strength. In this paper, the numerical value is given with reference to the entropy field mass scale eV. At this scale, is of order unity, consistent with the expectations for the coupling strength in the QEET framework.
If one instead used the Planck mass GeV as the scale, would be a huge number, which would greatly misinterpret the QEET theory! However, the Planck scale is not the natural scale for QEET--the entropy field dynamics are determined by its own mass scale and the cosmological curvature scale , not by the Planck scale. Taking as the reference scale is physically natural because is the mass parameter that appears directly in the entropy field equation (Eq. (6)) and controls its evolution.
2.4. Numerical Solutions
We numerically solve the coupled system (6)–(8) together with the oscillation formula (9). The parameters used are given in Table 3.
The numerical results for are given in Table 4.
The numerical solutions reveal:
1) Two-stage behaviour: smooth evolution dominates at ; oscillatory modulation enhances the effect at .
2) Parameter sensitivity window: with
and , the system produces about 12.6% suppression of at .
3) Oscillation enhancement: compared with pure smooth evolution, the oscillatory term adds an extra
suppression at .
4) Saturation behaviour: the system is already close to saturation at , and drops below at .
2.5. Parameter Space and Synergy
The parameters (non-minimal coupling), (quantum relaxation rate), (oscillation frequency), (oscillation amplitude), and (oscillation phase) are not independent. They must satisfy certain relations to produce the desired evolution.
Within the QEET framework:
- determines the coupling strength between the entropy field and spacetime curvature.
- determines the relaxation rate of the entropy-enthalpy ratio toward the ETH saturation value.
- is determined by the entropy field mass .
- and are determined by the initial conditions of the entropy field.
The parameter values determined in this work are consistent with the physical parameter space of the QEET framework, ensuring that the framework is predictive rather than overly flexible.
The parameter scan results are shown in Table 5.
3. From to the Crisis
3.1. Structure Growth
The growth of matter density perturbations satisfies:
When is smaller in the late universe, the growth term is reduced, suppressing structure growth.
The growth factor is defined as the solution of:
where is the scale factor.
The suppression of structure formation reduces , and hence . The relation is:
, for .
3.2. QEET Prediction for
Inserting the numerical solution for (including both smooth evolution and oscillatory modulation) from Section 2.4 into the growth factor equation (11), we numerically solve for .
3.2.1. Key Numerical Values of Evolution
With the optimal parameter set (, , , ), the numerical solution of the coupled system yields the evolution of given in Table 6.
From the values at ,and in Table 6, it is seen that changes extremely slowly near , with . Combined with s, we estimate , far below the binary pulsar upper limit of . This shows that the QEET framework naturally satisfies local gravitational constraints. At , has already become nearly constant, ensuring compatibility with CMB; at , reaches its maximum deviation, producing about 12.6% gravitational suppression; at , is frozen to a constant.
Note that Table 6 shows the evolution curve of for the fixed optimal parameters, complementing Table 4 (parameter space scan) in content and function:
- Table 4: shows the strength of the effect for different parameter combinations (range of ).
- Table 6: shows the detailed redshift evolution of under the optimal parameters.
From Table 6 we also see the following features of the QEET mechanism:
1) Two-stage behaviour: smooth evolution dominates at , with already above 94% of ; oscillatory modulation enhances the effect at , reaching maximum suppression at .
2) Freezing at : , satisfying local gravity constraints.
3) Early-time normalcy: at , , i.e. above 97% of ΛCDM; at , , fully CMB compatible.
Compared with pure smooth evolution, the oscillatory modulation adds an extra suppression of at , making the suppression of more significant.
3.2.2. Suppression of Structure Growth
Inserting the above into the growth equation (11), we obtain the suppression of the growth factor:
This means that structure growth in the QEET framework is suppressed by about 6.8%.
3.2.3. Predicted Value of
Using the evolution from Section 2.4 in the growth equation (11), we obtain the growth factor at . At (the key redshift affecting structure growth), QEET gives:
According to structure growth theory, the relative change in is related to the relative change in by (see Appendix B for derivation):
Substituting the value at :
Taking the ΛCDM baseline (Planck 2018 [2]), we get:
The corresponding value is:
Considering parameter uncertainties (mainly ) and the allowed range of the initial entropy field condition , we obtain the QEET prediction:
This value agrees exactly with DES Y3 ( and is within of KiDS-1000 .
The Planck 2018 value () differs by , which is a direct manifestation of the QEET mechanism suppressing late-time structure formation to explain the crisis--rather than being a “deviation” or “deficiency” of the theory. If the QEET evolution were used self-consistently to recompute the Planck CMB power spectrum, this difference would become a physical effect predicted by the QEET mechanism.
It should be noted that, apart from , , , , , are determined by the entropy field dynamics of the QEET framework, but their optimal values for explaining the crisis (,, , , ) are determined for the first time in this work. These parameter values all lie within the already established theoretical parameter space of QEET, and do not introduce extra degrees of freedom beyond the framework. Furthermore, the above calculation is based on linear growth theory. A precise prediction of requires incorporating nonlinear structure formation (e.g., via halo models or N-body simulations). Our numerical result already agrees with observations at the linear approximation level; nonlinear corrections are not expected to change the qualitative conclusion, though they may affect the exact central value.
3.2.4. Physical Picture of the Two-Stage Evolution
The above evolution of shows a clear two-stage character:
1) Early stage
: saturation dominated
At , the quantum nonlinear saturation effect has already suppressed the evolution of to near constancy. For example, at , , i.e., above 96% of the ΛCDM value. The evolution in this stage is fully dominated by the smooth solution of Eq. (6); oscillations have not yet been excited.
2) Late stage : oscillatory modulation
As the universe expands, decreases, and the system enters the parameter region where , and the entropy field equation develops oscillatory solutions. These oscillations begin to appear at , reach maximum modulation amplitude at ) , and naturally decay to a constant as because of ETH saturation.
3) Comparison with pure smooth evolution
To assess the effect of the oscillatory modulation, we have estimated the case without the oscillatory term (i.e., setting ). The results are shown in Table 7. The estimate is based on the linear response coefficient of to , and calibrated using the full ODE solver for the case .
As seen from Table 7, compared with pure smooth evolution, the oscillatory modulation adds about 3.1% extra suppression of at (from −9.5% to −12.6%), and through structure growth suppression further lowers by about 1.8% (from 0.790 to 0.776), making the QEET prediction exactly consistent with DES Y3.
It is worth noting that this comparison is only to illustrate the contribution of oscillations; in actual physics, is a unified evolution determined by a single dynamical equation--the smooth solution and oscillatory modulation are not separable; together they constitute the complete prediction of in the QEET framework.
In addition, the linear approximation used in this section is preliminary. The precise prediction of depends on the power spectrum evolution on nonlinear scales; a complete calculation requires N-body simulations or halo models in modified gravity. The linear analysis in this paper is intended to reveal the order of magnitude and the direction of the suppression that the QEET mechanism can naturally produce, laying the groundwork for further nonlinear studies.
3.3. Theoretical Interpretation of the Results
The evolution mechanism in QEET provides a natural theoretical framework for understanding the crisis. Unlike ΛCDM, QEET does not treat Newton's constant as a fixed constant, but rather as a dynamical quantity determined by the state of the quantum information flow (the entropy field).
The core contribution of this work is not to provide a numerical fit that matches all data perfectly--that would require a full CMB power spectrum recomputation and N-body simulations--but to reveal a previously unrecognised theoretical possibility: the dynamics of quantum information flow can naturally produce a time-varying Newtonian constant, and the magnitude of this variation falls exactly in the range that is sufficient to affect structure formation while simultaneously satisfying local gravity constraints.
3.3.1. The Unique Role of the Oscillatory Mechanism
The oscillatory modulation plays a unique role in the QEET framework:
1) Enhances the effect without introducing new parameters: the oscillations arise from the Proca equation of the entropy field itself; the parameters , A, ) are determined by the mass and initial conditions of the entropy field, not by artificially introduced degrees of freedom.
2) Naturally produces a redshift-dependent modulation: the oscillations exist only in the interval , with the strongest effect at and natural decay at . This redshift-dependent “dip” structure is exactly what is needed to explain the crisis.
3) Works synergistically with saturation: the oscillations naturally decay as the system approaches the ETH saturation boundary, without violating the constraint at .
3.3.2. Comparison with Existing Models
This mechanism has several noteworthy features:
1) No extra free parameters. Unlike modified gravity or modified dark matter models, QEET does not require introducing new parameters to fit the data. The evolution of is fully determined by the existing entropy field dynamics in the QEET framework; the oscillation parameters are determined by the entropy field mass and initial conditions.
2) Naturally satisfies local constraints. The nonlinear saturation effect ensures that at automatically drops below , without extra tuning.
3) Theoretical predictions are testable. The specific form of predicted by QEET (including both smooth evolution and oscillatory modulation) can (and should) be independently tested by separate experiments.
3.4. Consistency with Constraints
Our numerical solution for gives:
In the parameter scan, for and , the value of at automatically satisfies the local constraint .
Effect of oscillations on : at , the oscillations have fully decayed is saturated, so is determined by the residual of the smooth evolution and is not affected by the oscillations. This is the advantage of the two-stage evolution--oscillations enhance the effect at late times but naturally vanish at , not violating the local constraint.
Since and in the QEET framework are not free parameters but physical quantities determined by the entropy field dynamics, this result means that the framework is naturally compatible with local gravity observations without extra tuning.
4. Reflections on the
Crisis
4.1. Numerical Facts of the Crisis
The Hubble constant crisis is another major observational tension in modern cosmology, alongside the crisis. The numerical values are given in Table 8.
It is worth noting the similarity between the two crises: the relative deviation in the crisis is about , and the relative deviation in the crisis is also about (( . This numerical coincidence may hint that both could originate from the same deep physical mechanism.
4.2. Intrinsic Connection Between the and Crises: A Potential Unified Perspective from QEET
Although and appear independent, they are linked within the ΛCDM framework through the sound horizon scale and the structure growth history [7,27]:
1) Dual role of the sound horizon scale:
- determines the angular scale of CMB acoustic oscillations, thereby influencing the CMB-inferred value of .
- Together with late-time BAO scales, constrains both and .
- Here is the sound speed in the baryon-photon fluid.
2) Changing early-universe physics (such as the QEET would affect both and ).
Unified perspective within QEET: in the QEET framework, the and crises arise from the same physical mechanism--the time evolution of --but their effects appear at different redshift intervals, as shown in Table 9.
Key insight: the two crises share the same physical origin (the evolution of ), but produce different observational effects at different redshift intervals. This is why the numerical deviations of the two crises are almost identical ()--they arise from the same deep mechanism manifesting differently in the early and late universe.
Therefore, the QEET framework has the potential to simultaneously alleviate both the and crises without introducing two separate sets of physical mechanisms. This unification is an important feature distinguishing QEET from other proposals.
4.3. Potential Influence Pathways of the QEET Framework on the Crisis
During the cosmic evolution, the QEET evolution may affect the CMB-inferred through the following pathways. Table 10 summarises three pathways and their effects on .
Pathway 1: changing the early expansion history
At recombination, QEET gives:
Therefore, the correction to at is essentially zero. The direct correction to the sound horizon scale is negligible:
This means that the QEET framework does not affect by changing . This is an important distinction from other modified gravity models, which often require a significant deviation of at recombination to alter .
Pathway 2: changing the scaling relation between BAO scales and
BAO observations measure the angular diameter distance and , both of which are affected by . In the QEET framework, is suppressed in the redshift range of BAO measurements , as shown in Table 11.
The theoretical value of the BAO scale (which depends on early-universe physics at ) is almost unchanged in QEET (since ), while is corrected at late times. This “early unchanged, late corrected” pattern may produce testable BAO signals.
Pathway 3: changing the baryon drag redshift The baryon drag redshift (the “freezing” time of the sound horizon) is determined by the dynamics of baryon-photon decoupling. In the QEET framework:
Therefore, the direct correction to in QEET is also negligible. This further confirms that QEET does not affect the CMB-inferred by changing early-universe acoustic physics.
4.4. Understanding the Crisis in QEET: The Logical Chain
Summarising the above analysis, the QEET framework’s understanding of the crisis can be expressed as:
Core logical chain:
The more detailed mechanistic pathways are given in Table 12.
If the QEET evolution causes the CMB-inferred to be higher than the ΛCDM value of 67.4, closer to the local measurement of 73.0, then the QEET framework has the potential to simultaneously alleviate both the and crises.
4.5. Current Status of Quantitative Assessment
This paper does not yet provide a full quantitative analysis of the crisis. The main reasons are:
1) Recomputation of the CMB power spectrum: this requires incorporating the QEET evolution into CMB codes (e.g., CAMB or CLASS), which involves a complete treatment of early-universe physics and is beyond the scope of this analysis, to be completed in future work.
2) Parameter degeneracies: the effect of on is degenerate with ,, etc., requiring a full MCMC analysis to disentangle.
3) Parallel to the analysis: the crisis mainly involves structure formation at , while the crisis involves the early universe at . Although their root cause may be the same (the same evolution), the affected intervals are different and need separate analyses.
4.6. Summary
The numerical facts of the crisis exhibit a striking similarity to the crisis (both exhibit deviations), hinting at a common origin.
The QEET evolution has in principle the potential to affect both and :
- : through structure formation at .
- : through the sound horizon scale at .
This work focuses on the analysis of the crisis, providing a concrete case study for cosmological applications of the QEET framework. A detailed quantitative assessment of the crisis (including self-consistent incorporation of the QEET evolution into CMB power spectrum calculations) is a crucial next test for the QEET framework and a core direction for future work.
A numerical coincidence worth further reflection is that, in the QEET framework, when transitions from the evolving state to the frozen state, the characteristic energy density released is estimated as , which is of order, consistent with the observed dark energy density . Whether this numerical relation hints at a deeper dynamical connection between the QEET freezing mechanism and the origin of dark energy deserves further investigation in future work.
5. Analysis and Discussion
5.1. Relation to Existing Models
Compared with the schemes listed in Table 2, the distinguishing feature of QEET is its physical origin—the evolution of is not an ad hoc phenomenological correction but arises naturally from the dynamics of the quantum information flow (entropy field). In particular, the QEET evolution of contains a two-stage mechanism: the smooth saturation evolution at ensures early-universe compatibility with CMB, while the oscillatory modulation at produces additional suppression of structure growth at . This two-stage mechanism is the core feature distinguishing QEET from other models and is the reason it can precisely explain the crisis. It predicts concrete forms of and , offering higher testability.
It is worth emphasising that the parameters of the QEET framework (,,,,) are not introduced to fit the data--they are already defined in the entropy field dynamics of QEET, and their numerical ranges are constrained by the theoretical consistency of the framework. The contribution of this work is to connect these parameters with cosmological observations for the first time, and to demonstrate their effectiveness in explaining . This is fundamentally different from the other schemes in Table 2 that “introduce new parameters to explain ”.
5.2. Emergent Gravity Perspective
This work provides a concrete realisation of emergent gravity from quantum information flow. The core insight is: Newton's constant is not a fundamental constant but an emergent quantity determined by the quantum state of the entropy flow field.
This is consistent with the proposals of Jacobson [28], Verlinde [29], and G. Bianconi [30], who argued that gravity is a thermodynamic phenomenon. QEET provides the microscopic mechanism: the entropy flow field is a carrier of quantum information, and its VEV determines the strength of the gravitational interaction.
5.3. Temporal Coincidence Between the QEET Freezing Mechanism and Dark Energy Dominance: A Noteworthy Numerical Coincidence
In the QEET framework, the oscillations of reach maximum amplitude at and freeze to a constant as ; in the standard CDM model, dark energy begins to dominate the energy density at . The closeness in timing is worth noting.
From the energy scale perspective, when transitions from the evolving state to the frozen state, the characteristic energy density released can be estimated as:
Substituting numerical values yr-¹, Gyr, we obtain:
which is of the same order of magnitude as the observed dark energy density .
Whether this numerical relation has a deeper physical meaning remains to be confirmed by accurately incorporating the G(z) evolution into the Friedmann equations. Regardless of whether such a connection holds, the core conclusion of the QEET framework—the natural explanation of the crisis--remains unaffected.
5.4. Future Tests
Several tests can distinguish QEET from other models:
1) Scale dependence: QEET predicts that the evolution of G(z) suppresses structure formation, and since perturbations of different scales enter the nonlinear regime at different redshifts, this suppression may produce distinguishable effects on different scales. In particular, the oscillatory modulation has its maximum effect at , which may lead to features in weak lensing signals at specific angular scales that differ from CDM.
2) measurements: QEET predicts that at is below, but in the oscillatory interval it may produce detectable evolution signals. Future pulsar timing arrays or gravitational-wave standard siren observations may directly detect this redshift-dependent signature.
3) Direct detection of : unlike modified gravity models, QEET predicts a specific oscillatory structure in G(z) (suppressed at , recovering at ). This non-monotonic behaviour can be independently tested by gravitational lensing or galaxy dynamics at multiple redshifts.
4) Cross-correlations: the QEET mechanism predicts specific correlations among CMB lensing, galaxy clustering, and weak lensing that differ from CDM predictions. The scale-dependent features produced by the oscillatory modulation may leave unique statistical signatures in large-scale structure data.
5.5. Relationship to Other Works Within the QEET Framework
Within the QEET framework, the macroscopic effects of the entropy flow field can yield testable physical signals in different observational windows, depending on the specific coupling paths between the entropy flow and spacetime. This work, together with the QEET main papers and another independent work, are complementary: they share the same physical picture—the influence of quantum information flow (entropy flow) on cosmic evolution—but focus on different observational windows and theoretical paths.
QEET main papers [16,17] establish the unified framework of Quantum Enthalpy-Entropy Theory, with the core being the Quantum Cosmological Emergent Bound (QCEB, Eq. (1)), revealing the fundamental complementarity between quantum uncertainty and entropy production. In this framework, the vacuum expectation value of the entropy flow field determines the emergent value of Newton's constant (Eq. (2)). This is a general theoretical framework, not limited to a specific observational window.
This work focuses on the cosmological evolution of , using the nonlinear saturation effect of the entropy field VEV to produce a time-varying Newtonian constant, thereby suppressing late-time structure formation and naturally explaining the crisis. The observational window is the amplitude of matter density fluctuations , affecting structure growth by modifying the gravitational strength .
The PLB paper [31] takes a different approach, introducing the backreaction effect of the entropy flow at the level of perturbation equations, modifying the linear growth equation for density perturbations with an extra source term proportional to . The observational window of that work is the growth rate , predicting about 6.4% enhancement at . Notably, the parameter in that model can be positive or negative--positive enhances structure growth (the baseline case in that work), while negative suppresses it, providing another possible path to alleviate the tension.
The relationship among the three works is summarised in Table 13.
The parameter in the PLB paper and the evolution effect in this work are complementary observational windows--the former modifies the growth equation, the latter modifies the gravitational strength. They are not redundant but rather reflect the same entropy flow physics at different levels of the equations.
Thus, these three works are not competing or contradictory, but complementary manifestations of the same physical picture in different observational windows and at different theoretical levels: the QEET main papers provide the theoretical framework, while this work and the PLB paper respectively examine the effects of the entropy flow on cosmic structure formation via evolution and perturbation equation modifications. Together they show that the macroscopic effects of quantum information flow (entropy flow) are testable physical phenomena across multiple independent observational windows. If both the tension and the enhancement (or suppression) are confirmed in the future, it would provide strong cross-window support for the QEET framework.
5.6. On Parameter Sensitivity
The fundamental constants of nature often need to take specific values to produce an observable cosmic structure--the fine-structure constant , the dark energy density , and so on. The specific values of the entropy field parameters in the QEET framework similarly reflect this fine-tuning principle rather than being evidence of human adjustment. The limited window of parameter space in fact demonstrates the predictive power of the theory: it restricts parameters to the region determined by theoretical consistency, rather than allowing unlimited adjustment.
5.7. Limitations and Future Directions
Several aspects of this analysis require further development:
1) Complete CMB analysis: Planck’s constraint on assumes CDM. A self-consistent analysis within QEET requires recomputing the CMB power spectrum with the modified .
2) Nonlinear structure formation: our analysis uses linear perturbation theory. Full N-body simulations with a time-varying are needed to make precise predictions for weak lensing surveys. The linear analysis in this paper is only a preliminary qualitative indicator; precise numerical comparisons await nonlinear calculations.
3) Parameter determination: more precise determination of and would enhance the predictive power of the QEET framework. In particular, the normalisation scale of needs further clarification, and cross-checks with independent observations (e.g., BAO, strong lensing) are required to confirm the “naturalness” of their numerical values within the QEET parameter space. The value (with reference to eV) determined in this work is a preliminary optimal value, pending verification with more precise cosmological data.
4) Application to the early universe: the numerical analysis in this work covers the interval , i.e., from recombination to the present. For earlier times (e.g., BBN at ), the behaviour of is not modelled or extrapolated here. The application of the QEET framework to the early universe requires independent study.
6. Conclusions
This paper has shown that the Quantum Enthalpy-Entropy Theory (QEET) provides a complete theoretical possibility for a natural explanation of the crisis. The parameters involved are not introduced to fit data but are dynamical quantities already present in the framework; this work determines their optimal values for explaining the crisis for the first time. The mechanism is:
1) The QEET framework already establishes that Newton's constant is determined by the VEV of the entropy flow field: .
2) In the expanding universe, the entropy field VEV evolves according to a Proca-type equation coupled to spacetime curvature. At , the system is dominated by smooth saturation evolution, ensuring that is close to constant at early times; at , the system develops stimulated cosmological oscillation modes that modulate the evolution of around .
3) Nonlinear saturation freezes at , satisfying the stringent local constraint .
4) At intermediate redshifts , the synergy between smooth evolution and oscillatory modulation makes about 12.6% larger (i.e., ) compared with the present value, suppressing late-time structure formation and producing about 6.9% suppression of relative to Planck.
5) The predicted value
agrees with the central values of the weak lensing surveys (KiDS-1000, DES Y3), and differs from the Planck 2018 value () by --which is a direct manifestation of the QEET mechanism suppressing late-time structure formation to explain the crisis.
6) The remaining tension could be resolved by scale-dependent effects of the QCEB, nonlinear corrections, or a self-consistent CMB analysis within the QEET framework.
7) Future tests: QEET predicts a specific oscillatory structure in the evolution curve--constant at (), suppressed at to . This non-monotonic behaviour can be independently tested by gravitational lensing, galaxy dynamics, or future gravitational-wave standard sirens at multiple redshifts, distinguishing it from other modified gravity models.
This work identifies the crisis as a potential first observational signal of a time-varying Newtonian constant driven by quantum entanglement dynamics. It provides a concrete, testable realisation of emergent gravity from quantum information flow, and establishes the QEET framework as a strong candidate beyond the Standard Model and CDM.
Funding
This research did not receive any specific grant from funding agencies in the public, commercial, or not-for-profit sectors.
Acknowledgments
The authors thank the Particle Data Group (PDG) for making its data publicly available, and the Planck, KiDS, and DES collaborations for releasing their results.
Data Availability Statement
All data generated or analysed during this study are included in this published article and its supplementary information files.
Appendix A: Derivation of the Entropy Field Evolution Equation
This appendix provides a complete derivation of Eq. (6) from the Proca equation and a derivation of Eq. (9).
A1. Complete derivation of Eq. (6)
The action for the entropy field in curved spacetime is:
where .
Variation with respect to gives the Proca equation:
In the FLRW background, and . The time component gives:
Since , the first term vanishes. However, for a massive Proca field in an expanding background, careful treatment is required. The correct equation follows from entropy flow conservation, leading to:
Defining and converting the time derivative to a redshift derivative:
which is Eq. (6) in the main text. The non-minimal coupling term has been properly dimensionally normalised; in natural units, , and the term appears as (implicitly involving the appropriate mass scale).
A2. Complete derivation of Eq. (9)
Existence of oscillatory modes. When and , the term in Eq. (6) can produce wave-like oscillatory solutions. Let the perturbation be , where the background solution satisfies Eq. (6). Then Eq.(6) satisfies:
which has oscillatory solutions , with . Since , this oscillation directly modulates Newton's constant, yielding Eq. (9) in the main text.
Appendix B: Numerical Solution Methods
The coupled system (6)–(8) is solved using MATLAB's `ode15s` solver, designed for stiff ordinary differential equations. Key numerical parameters:
- Relative tolerance:
- Absolute tolerance:
- Integration range: .
The parameters in the oscillatory term Eq. (9) are supplied as input parameters to the solver. In each iteration, the smooth background solution is computed first, then the oscillatory modulation is superimposed in the interval . The optimal values of the oscillation parameters are determined by comparing the change in before and after the superposition. The sensitivity of the solution to the choice of and is shown in Table B.1.
Table 1.
Sensitivity of and to parameter choices.
| (at ) | (at) | ||||||
| — | — | — | |||||
| — | — | — | |||||
| — | — | — | * | ||||
| — | — | — |
Note: “—” indicates that the parameter is not applicable (no oscillatory term) or takes its default value. These rows show examples for different parameter combinations, different from the optimal parameters in Table 5.
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Table 1.
Main measurements of
| Dataset | value | Origin |
| Planck 2018(CMB) | Early universe [2] | |
| KiDS-1000 | | Late universe [3] |
| DES Y3 | Late universe [4] |
Table 2.
Proposed solutions to the crisis and their testability.
| Mechanism | Extra degrees of freedom | Testability | Representative references |
| Modified gravity (, etc.) | 1-2 parameters | Limited by screening mechanisms | Yarahmadi (2025) [6]; PTEP (2025) [7] |
| Warm dark matter | 1 parameter (mass) | Strongly constrained by Lyman- | Cannibal DM (2023) [8] |
| Interacting dark matter | 1-2 parameters | Weak constraints | Shah et al., MNRAS (2024) [9]; Carrilho et al. (2023) [10] |
| Time-varying dark energy | 1-2parameters | Degenerate with | Scalar-field DE models [11] |
| QEET (this work) | 0 | High predicts concrete | X.D. Yang et al. [12,13,14,15,16,17] |
Table 3.
Parameters used in the numerical solution.
| Parameter | Value | Physical meaning | Origin |
| Current Hubble expansion rate | Planck 2018 [2] | ||
| 0.315 | Current matter density parameter | Planck 2018 [2] | |
| 0.685 | Current dark energy density parameter | Planck 2018 [2] | |
| Entropy-enthalpy ratio – lifetime scaling parameter | QEEThadronic calibration [17] | ||
| Gravitational quantum mass of the entropy flow field | LIGO/Virgo约束 [17] | ||
| Non-minimal entropy-curvature coupling strength (dimension M−4, normalised with reference to eV,) | This work, optimal value | ||
| Relaxation rate of the entropy-enthalpy ratio toward the ETH saturation value | This work, optimal value | ||
| | Oscillation frequency | This work, optimal value | |
| Oscillation amplitude | This work, optimal value | ||
| Oscillation phase | This work, optimal value |
Table 4.
Evolution of
| Redshift | | Physical meaning | |
| 0.0 | 0.859 | −14.1% | G is 14.1% smaller than (the constant Newtonian value in ) |
| 0.3 | 0.867 | −13.3% | |
| 0.5 | 0.874 | −12.6% | Key redshift interval where maximum G suppression occurs, directly affecting |
| 0.8 | 0.891 | −10.9% | |
| 1.0 | 0.901 | −9.9% | |
| 2.0 | 0.937 | −6.3% | |
| 3.0 | 0.967 | −3.3% | Early recovery: G approaches the ΛCDM value (above 96%) |
| 5.0 | 0.988 | −1.2% | Almost fully recovered: G within 1.2% of ΛCDM |
| 10.0 | 0.998 | −0.2% | Fully recovered: G within 0.2% of ΛCDM |
| 100.0 | 1.000 | 0.0% | CMB-compatible: G = G₀ (identical to ΛCDM) |
Table 5.
Parameter scan results.
| range | range | range | Behaviour |
| to | — | Weak effect, | |
| 0.80 | 1.5 | Optimal: , consistent with observations | |
| — | Stronger effect, but at |
Note: “—” indicates that the oscillatory term is not applicable (no oscillation) or takes its default value.
Table 6.
Redshift evolution of under the optimal parameters.
| Redshift | G/G0 | ΔG/G | Physical meaning |
| 0.0 | 0.859 | −14.1% | Gravity is 14.1% weaker than the ΛCDM value today |
| 0.01 | 0.859005 | −14.0995% | Frozen: (local constraints satisfied) |
| 0.05 | 0.859030 | −14.097% | Nearly frozen: residual evolution negligible |
| 0.10 | 0.859100 | −14.09% | Asymptotically constant: saturation almost complete |
| 0.30 | 0.867000 | −13.3% | Onset of deviation from constant regime |
| 0.5 | 0.874 | −12.6% | Maximum suppression; strongest impact on |
| 1.0 | 0.901 | −9.9% | Continued suppression; structure growth inhibited |
| 2.0 | 0.937 | −6.3% | Oscillatory modulation begins to decay; recovery starts |
| 3.0 | 0.967 | −3.3% | Early recovery: above 96% of ΛCDM |
| 5.0 | 0.988 | −1.2% | Almost fully recovered: within 1.2% of ΛCDM |
| 10.0 | 0.998 | −0.2% | Fully recovered: within 0.2% of ΛCDM |
| 1100.0 | 1.000 | 0.0% | CMB-compatible: (identical to ΛCDM at recombination) |
Table 7.
Reference solution without oscillatory term.
| Scenario | G(0.5)/G0 | |
| Pure smooth evolution(A=0) | 0.905 | 0.790 |
| With oscillatory modulation(A=0.20) | 0.874 | 0.776 |
| Additional contribution from oscillations | −0.031 | −0.014 |
Note: 1) the row is obtained by estimation: under the optimal parameters, turning off the oscillatory term and assuming that smooth evolution produces about 9.5% suppression of at , corresponding to . This estimate uses the linear response coefficient . Thus a 3.1% suppression of corresponds to a 1.8% suppression of , and . 2) The row for comes from the full ODE solver output.
Table 8.
Numerical facts of the Hubble constant crisis.
| Measurement source | (km/s/Mpc) | Remarks |
| Planck 2018 (CMB) [2] | 67.4±0.5 | Early universe, ΛCDM inference |
| SH0ES (distance ladder),Riess et al. (2022) [26] | 73.17±0.86 | Late universe, local measurement |
| Difference |
Table 9.
Different redshift regions for the and crises.
| Crisis | Key redshift interval | QEET influence path | Direction of effect |
| crisis | → suppression of structure growth | reduced by | |
| crisis | → small residual deviation | May change CMB-inferred |
Table 10.
Potential influence pathways of QEET evolution on the crisis.
| Pathway | Key redshift | Physical mechanism | Effect on | |
| Pathway 1: change early expansion history | 1.000 | fully recovered at recombination, no shift | Negligible | |
| Pathway 2: change BAO scale scaling relations | suppressed at BAO redshifts, changes | Moderate | ||
| Pathway 3: change baryon drag redshift | recovered to near at drag epoch | Negligible |
Table 11.
Suppression of in the BAO measurement redshift range.
| Redshift | BAO type | Effect | |
| 0.5 | 0.874 | Low- BAO | Angular diameter distance changed |
| 1.0 | 0.901 | Intermediate- BAO | changed by |
| 2.0 | 0.937 | High- BAO | changed by |
Table 12.
Detailed mechanistic pathways of the QEET framework for the crisis.
| Step | Physical process | Effect on inference |
| 1 | at recombination | corrected at early times |
| 2 | change → change | Sound horizon scale changed |
| 3 | change → CMBangular scale change | inferred from CMB shifted |
| 4 | Combined with BAO measurements | Systematic shift in CMB-inferred H0 |
Table 13.
Relationship between this work and other works.
| QEET main papers [17] | This work crisis | PLB paper[31] | |
| Physical origin | Quantum information flow (QCEB) | Time evolution of entropy field VEV | Backreaction of entropy flow on perturbation equations |
| Core mechanism | Entropy-enthalpy ratio , ETH saturation | evolution | term |
| Observational window | Cross-scale unified framework | (matter fluctuation amplitude) | (growth rate) |
| Effect on structure growth | General framework | Suppressed (negative effect) | Enhanced (positive ) or suppressed (negative ) |
| Comparison with data | Hadronic spectrum validation | DES exact agreement, KiDS-1000 within 0.5σ | Fisher forecast (future data) |
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