Submitted:
09 June 2026
Posted:
10 June 2026
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Abstract
Keywords:
1. Introduction
2. Preliminaries
3. T-Norms and t-Conorms in the Different Subfamilies of
- T1.
- for all .
- T2.
- for all .
- T3.
- , for all .
- T4.
- Let such that , then .
- S3.
- for all .
3.1. The Operations ⊙ and ⊕.
- 1)
- is the absorbent element of the operation ⊙ in , , and .
- 2)
- is the absorbent element of ⊕ in , , and .
- 3)
- is the absorbent element of ⊙ and ⊕ in and .
- 1)
- For all with , we have:
- 2)
- For all with , we have:
- 1)
- The operation ⊙ is non-decreasing in each argument in respect to the partial order ⊑.
- 2)
- The operation ⊕ is non-decreasing in each argument in respect to the partial order ⪯.
- a)
- If all arguments are different from , and by definition. Thus, from Proposition 6, we have that .
- b)
- If , then since is the maximum in . Therefore, by definition,
- c)
- If , since , we have
- d)
-
Finally, if and , it must be checked that In this case, and . Consequently, it suffices to prove that:Since , then by Proposition 6. Let us check that . Using (9) and (3):Additionally, the inequality holds as a consequence of (2) and thus because of Theorem 1. Summarizing:
- 1)
- ⊙ is a t-norm in , , , , and respect to the partial order ⊑. is the neutral element, is the absorbent element in , , and , and is the absorbent element in and .
- 2)
- ⊕ is a t-conorm in , , , , and respect to the partial order ⪯. is the neutral element, is the absorbent element on , , and and is the absorbent element in and .
3.2. The Operations ⋒ and ⋓.
- ⋒ and ⋓ are closed in , , , , and .
- ⋒ and ⋓ are commutative and associative because ∆, ▿, ⊼ and ⊻ are commutative and associative.
- and are the neutral elements of ⋒ and ⋓, respectively.
- The boundary conditions of the operations ⋒ and ⋓ in Definition 8, ensure that ⋒ fulfills t-norm axiom T3 and ⋓ satisfies t-conorm axiom S3. Note that if those boundary conditions were eliminated, these properties may not be true as the next example proves.
- 1.
-
If all arguments are different from , we have that:with . Since and then and . Moreover, ∆ and ⊼ are non-decreasing in each argument, so we can conclude that:As a consequence, , and . Taking into account that (they are the characteristic functions of closed intervals) and by Theorem 2:
- 2.
- Let us now consider the case in which . Since , and according to Table 2, then . We have
- 3.
- If , then
- 4.
-
The only remaining case is when and . It is necessary to prove that In this case:and . Therefore, it suffices to prove that . By Theorem 1, this is the same as proving that:Let us recall that if ⊼ is a t-norm, then and . Hence:and it is clear that . Moreover, for all and, for that same points:In addition, if and because , then . Therefore:As a consequence, inequality (20) is proved and the monotony is given in this case.
- 1)
- ⋒ is a t-norm in , , and respect to both partial orders, ⪯ and ⊑. The neutral element is the function and the absorbent element the function .
- 2)
- ⋓ is a t-conorm in , , and respect to both partial orders, ⪯ and ⊑. The neutral element is the function and the absorbent element the function .
| T-norms | T-conorms | |||||||||
| ⊓ | ▴ with | ▴ | ⊙ | ⋒ | ⊔ | ▾ with | ▾ | ⊕ | ⋓ | |
| ✔ | ✔ | ✔ | ✔ | ✔ | ✔ | ✔ | ✔ | ✔ | ✔ | |
| ✔ | ✗ | ✗ | ✔ | ✔ | ✗ | ✗ | ✗ | ✗ | ✔ | |
| ✗ | ✗ | ✗ | ✗ | ✔ | ✔ | ✗ | ✗ | ✔ | ✔ | |
| ✔ | ✗ | ✗ | ✔ | ✔ | ✗ | ✗ | ✗ | ✗ | ✔ | |
| ✗ | ✗ | ✗ | ✗ | ✔ | ✔ | ✗ | ✗ | ✔ | ✔ | |
| ✔ | ✗ | ✗ | ✔ | ✔ | ✗ | ✗ | ✗ | ✗ | ✔ | |
| ✗ | ✗ | ✗ | ✗ | ✔ | ✔ | ✗ | ✗ | ✔ | ✔ | |
| ✔ | ✔ | ✗ | ✔ | ✗ | ✗ | ✗ | ✗ | ✗ | ✗ | |
| ✗ | ✗ | ✗ | ✗ | ✗ | ✔ | ✔ | ✗ | ✔ | ✗ | |
| ✔ | ✗ | ✗ | ✔ | ✗ | ✗ | ✗ | ✗ | ✗ | ✗ | |
| ✗ | ✗ | ✗ | ✗ | ✗ | ✔ | ✗ | ✗ | ✔ | ✗ | |
4. Type-2 Fuzzy Operators for Time Series Forecasting
4.1. Data Structure and Temporal Split
4.2. Fuzzy Partition of the Universe of Discourse
4.3. Construction of IT2FSs
4.4. Learning Type-1 Fuzzy Rules
4.5. Type-2 Operators Under Comparison
- 1.
- Classic type-2 (interval Mamdani): extension of Mamdani inference to interval type-2 sets, using the minimum t-norm and maximum t-conorm on the lower and upper bounds of the intervals [39].
- 2.
- Operators ⊙ and ⊕: our proposed pair of type-2 t-norm / t-conorm operators, denoted as odot in the methods.
- 3.
- Operators ⋒ and ⋓: the second family of operators introduced in Section 3. In the experiments we refer to this configuration simply as Cap.
4.6. Type-2 Reduction: Nie-Tan and Karnik-Mendel
4.7. Model Configurations
| Structure | Reduction | Operator |
| IT2 | NT, KM | Classic T2, ⊙, ⋒ |
| T1 (FTS) | – | Chen-freq, Chen-unique, Song |
- 1.
- Generation of rolling one-step-ahead forecasts on the test set;
- 2.
- Computation of the mean absolute percentage error (MAPE), a widely used scale-free metric in forecasting studies [42];
- 3.
- Recording the computation time associated with each configuration.
4.8. Results
4.9. Sensitivity Analysis
5. Conclusions
- 1.
- The operator ⊙ is a t-norm in , , , , and with respect to the order ⊑.
- 2.
- The operator ⊕ is t-conorm in , , , , and with respect to the order ⪯.
- 3.
- The operator ⋒ is t-norm in , , and with respect to both partial order ⊑ and ⪯.
- 4.
- The operator ⋓ is t-conorm in , , and with respect to both partial orders ⊑ and ⪯.
Author Contributions
Funding
Data Availability Statement
Conflicts of Interest
Abbreviations
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error |
| RSME | Root mean square deviation |
| FSs | Fuzzy sets |
| T2FSs | Type-2 fuzzy sets |
| IT2FSs | Interval type-2 fuzzy sets |
| FTS | Fuzzy time series |
| UMF | Upper membership function |
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| C | Convex functions in M |
|---|---|
| Normal functions in | |
| Convex and normal functions in | |
| Functions in whose images are 0 or 1 (but not all 0) | |
| Functions in whose support is a finite union of closed sub-intervals in [0, 1] |
| Poset | Min | Max | Poset | Min | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| or | |||||
| or | |||||
| or | |||||
| Category | Time series |
|---|---|
| Economic / financial | advsales (advert), advsales (sales), capital, |
| cpimel, dowjones, dj, wagesuk, ustreas | |
| Sales / commercial | beer, books (Hardcover), books (Paperback), |
| chicken, eggs, milk, shampoo | |
| Industrial / production | bricksq, copper, plastics, nail, bicoal |
| Energy / resources | oilprice, petrol (Chemicals), petrol (Coal), |
| petrol (Petrol), petrol (Vehicles), elec | |
| Environmental / demographic | lynx, pollution, ukdeaths, usdeaths, |
| cowtemp | |
| Transport / tourism | airpass, motel (Roomnights), |
| motel (Takings) | |
| Other | internet, strikes, writing, sheep |
| Method | RMSE | MAE | MAPE | Time (s) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| IT2-NT-Cap | 26.91 | 23.44 | 343.74 | 1.23 |
| IT2-KM-odot | 26.29 | 22.52 | 345.17 | 0.02 |
| IT2-KM-Cap | 27.13 | 23.72 | 345.36 | 0.02 |
| IT2-KM-classic | 27.28 | 23.94 | 353.53 | 0.00 |
| IT2-NT-classic | 28.09 | 25.28 | 437.40 | 0.92 |
| FTS-CHEN-freq | 28.30 | 25.53 | 438.87 | 0.00 |
| FTS-CHEN-unique | 28.30 | 25.53 | 438.87 | 0.02 |
| FTS-SONG | 28.30 | 25.53 | 438.87 | 0.02 |
| IT2-NT-odot | 30.69 | 29.04 | 714.33 | 0.64 |
| Series | Method | MAPE | Time (s) | Series | Method | MAPE | Time (s) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| advsales (advert) |
IT2-NT-Cap | 343.74 | 1.11 | advsales (sales) |
IT2-KM-odot | 10.95 | 0.02 |
| airpass | IT2-KM-CLASSIC | 9.60 | 0.06 | beer | IT2-KM-odot | 11.39 | 0.03 |
| bicoal | IT2-NT-Cap | 6.36 | 10.54 | books (Hardcover) |
IT2-NT-Cap | 14.06 | 3.57 |
| books (Paperback) |
IT2-NT-odot | 10.82 | 1.01 | boston (bse) |
IT2-KM-odot | 23.66 | 0.01 |
| boston (nyase) |
IT2-KM-odot | 10.47 | 0.01 | bricksq | FTS-CHEN-freq | 7.53 | 0.04 |
| capital (appropriations) |
IT2-NT-Cap | 8.45 | 4.72 | capital (capital) |
IT2-KM-Cap | 4.99 | 0.03 |
| chicken | IT2-NT-CLASSIC | 16.21 | 0.02 | condmilk | FTS-CHEN-freq | 14.53 | 0.06 |
| copper | IT2-KM-Cap | 17.99 | 0.12 | copper3 | FTS-CHEN-unique | 8.44 | 0.01 |
| cowtemp | IT2-KM-odot | 13.94 | 0.03 | cpimel | IT2-NT-Cap | 2.13 | 3.45 |
| dj | IT2-KM-Cap | 0.87 | 0.22 | dole | IT2-NT-Cap | 5.63 | 37.89 |
| dowjones | IT2-NT-Cap | 0.40 | 0.62 | eggs | IT2-KM-odot | 10.26 | 0.03 |
| elec | FTS-CHEN-freq | 6.55 | 0.18 | fancy | IT2-NT-odot | 71.54 | 1.59 |
| housing (construction) |
FTS-CHEN-freq | 7.71 | 0.04 | housing (hstarts) |
IT2-NT-Cap | 9.09 | 15.48 |
| housing (interest) |
IT2-KM-Cap | 1.98 | 0.03 | hsales | FTS-CHEN-freq | 9.09 | 0.09 |
| hsales2 | IT2-NT-CLASSIC | 10.17 | 8.00 | huron | IT2-NT-Cap | 7.99 | 14.39 |
| ibm (Sales) |
IT2-NT-CLASSIC | 6.51 | 0.15 | ibmclose | IT2-KM-Cap | 1.89 | 0.14 |
| input | IT2-KM-CLASSIC | 31.98 | 0.02 | internet | FTS-CHEN-freq | 4.20 | 0.11 |
| jcars | IT2-NT-Cap | 3.69 | 0.88 | labour | IT2-KM-Cap | 1.83 | 0.18 |
| lynx | IT2-NT-Cap | 95.53 | 11.43 | milk | FTS-CHEN-unique | 4.40 | 0.06 |
| mink | IT2-KM-odot | 21.51 | 0.03 | motel (Roomnights) |
FTS-CHEN-unique | 9.87 | 0.05 |
| motel (Takings) |
IT2-KM-Cap | 11.46 | 0.08 | motion | IT2-KM-Cap | 2.68 | 0.14 |
| nail | FTS-CHEN-freq | 14.21 | 0.09 | oilprice | IT2-NT-Cap | 14.04 | 25.32 |
| petrol (Chemicals) |
IT2-NT-CLASSIC | 4.32 | 1.25 | petrol (Coal) |
FTS-CHEN-freq | 9.31 | 0.13 |
| petrol (Petrol) |
IT2-KM-Cap | 4.49 | 0.18 | petrol (Vehicles) |
IT2-KM-CLASSIC | 16.09 | 0.09 |
| pigs | FTS-SONG | 7.77 | 0.13 | plastics | IT2-KM-Cap | 9.73 | 0.34 |
| pollution | FTS-CHEN-unique | 32.85 | 0.05 | schizo | IT2-KM-odot | 37.10 | 0.06 |
| shampoo | IT2-NT-Cap | 29.62 | 1.19 | sheep | IT2-KM-Cap | 7.33 | 0.05 |
| strikes | IT2-NT-odot | 14.40 | 0.59 | telephone | IT2-NT-CLASSIC | 9.78 | 0.02 |
| ukdeaths | IT2-KM-odot | 11.88 | 0.05 | usdeaths | IT2-NT-Cap | 6.41 | 15.36 |
| uselec | IT2-KM-Cap | 6.85 | 0.09 | ustreas | IT2-KM-Cap | 1.11 | 0.04 |
| wagesuk | FTS-CHEN-freq | 3.40 | 0.27 | wheat | IT2-NT-Cap | 15.10 | 98.92 |
| wnoise | IT2-KM-odot | 206.29 | 0.02 | writing | IT2-KM-Cap | 21.42 | 0.05 |
| Operator | Chen | Song | Classic T2 | ⊙ | ⋒ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Number of wins | 13 | 1 | 8 | 13 | 29 |
| u | Chen | Song | Classic T2 | ⊙ | ⋒ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.1 | 19 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 14 |
| 0.3 | 11 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 34 |
| 0.5 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 36 |
| k | Chen | Song | Classic T2 | ⊙ | ⋒ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 20 | 1 | 6 | 11 | 26 |
| 8 | 13 | 1 | 8 | 13 | 29 |
| 9 | 22 | 1 | 9 | 10 | 22 |
| 10 | 15 | 3 | 10 | 16 | 20 |
| 11 | 16 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 25 |
| 12 | 11 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 26 |
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