Submitted:
13 April 2026
Posted:
14 April 2026
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Abstract
Keywords:
1. Introduction
Axelrod (pp. 7-8 [25]) not only agreed with Skinner, but also based on the Prisoner Dilemma Games he oversaw, he came to believe about competition that:“A scientific conception of behavior dictates one practice, a philosophy of personal freedom another.”
To overcome this outcome, Axelrod concluded that punishment should be used to discourage competition.“the pursuit of self-interest by each [player] leads to a poor outcome for all ...”
1.1. the Effects of Interdependence
For humans confronted by a bistable illusion, we know from Eagleman (p. 923, in [30]) that: “… the visual system chooses only a single interpretation at a time, never a mixture.” That is why we have long known that teams can multitask, but a single human cannot [31].“The women reported using PrEP 90% of the time, and their unused returns seemed to validate that figure. But when the researchers later analyzed blood levels of drugs in the women, they found that no more than 30% had evidence of anti-HIV drugs in their body at any study visit. ”There was a profound discordance between what they told us, what they brought back, and what we measured,” infectious disease specialist Jeanne Marrazzo said.”
2. Mathematics
The results for hypotheses are reported in Section 3; assuming support [40,41] led us to Equation 1.Hypothesis 1A: Increasing redundancy in a team weakens its performance.
2.1. Squeezing Quantum-like Interdependence
Hypothesis (H) 1B: As a team’s structure improves, its loss of entropy (information) is modeled when the team’s degrees of freedom shift to a unit structure.
H2A: From Equation 3, for a team at maximum interdependence, as its structural entropy (information) decreases, its performance increases, its whole becomes greater than the sum of its parts, but its loss of structural () information promotes random effects.
Assuming Equation 3 is able to model energy-entropy tradeoffs in human-machine teams, we begin to consider how we might generalize it. Our first thought was to try boundaries, vulnerabilities, espionage, and corruption. The key is to consider how a team might exploit low structural entropy.H2B. Equation 3 implies the two variables are conjugate (quantum mechanics), complementary (quantum-like) or orthogonal (independent).
H2C. Boundaries around teams impede external communications with a team, preventing vulnerabilities from destructive interference.
H2D. Vulnerability in a team is exposed by an increase in or both.
H2E. Espionage is conducted while keeping at a minimum during enaction.
The downside of a great team is its loss of structural information about cause and effect, i.e., about what makes a team great; this loss suggests random effects.H2F. Corruption exploits vulnerability.
2.1.1. Generalization 1: Power
H3: For a team with power, P, from teamwork by n teammates in time increment with z resonance, ceteris paribus, it increases power by adding a teammate:
H4A: Interdependenceunder freedom motivates innovation and evolution, producing a comparative advantage. 4B. The more competitive a situation, the more cooperative must become its teammates, destructive interference reduced by teammates in orthogonal roles.
2.1.2. Generalization 2: Squeezing Time-Energy Tradeoffs
H5A: As time duration is squeezed by a team, its energy consumption increases.
H5B: As is squeezed, time duration becomes uncertain.
2.2. Debate
H6: Debate within and between teams is often the purpose of within group discussions and debates, like the Department of Energy’s (DOE) Citizens Advisory Boards (CABs) designed to provide DOE with advice about the remediation of DOE’s mismanagement of its military nuclear wastes created from the early days of nuclear weapons research, the production of nuclear weapons, and continuing through today. For majority rule CABs, we predict recommendations for the acceleration of cleanup, i.e., the closure of highly radioactive High-Level Waste (HLW) tanks; for consensus-seeking CABs, we predict no or few calls for action; i.e., no calls to close HLW tanks.
3. Review of the Results and Generalizations
Interdependence transmits additive or destructive interference across all forms of life [27]. However, when a team works well, its constructive intrerference is not evident.Results H1A. Redundancy: We studied the top oil firms in the world to find that the top oil firms home-based in democracies had significantly fewer workers than those home-based in authoritarian countries [40]. For example, Exxon and Sinopec produced about the same amount of oil at that time, but Exxon with 61,000 employees4, and Sinopec with 374,791.5 We replicated that study to find not only a similar effect with the top militaries in the world, but also as an explanation that more corruption was associated with militaries home based in countries under authoritarian rule (i.e., command decision-making, or CDM), a possible explanation for the redundancy and source of corruption [41].
But if structural information is being lost from the best teams, it may be that a disconnect is occurring between information for cognitive claims and behavior (accounting for the replication crisis alarm raised by [2]).Results H2A: In his study of 500 of scientific teams, Cummings [53] found that the best teams were highly interdependent. On the other hand, mergers are designed to reduce competition in consolidating markets, to improve competitiveness in advancing markets with the newest ideas or technology [54], but the study of merger outcomes by Christensen’s team found that mergers were successful about 50% of the time [55], supporting randomness.
Results H2B. Squeezing quantum-like interdependence exposes orthogonality in cognitive systems. Support for the existence of an orthogonality between cognition and interdependent behavior is found with the crisis today in cognitive science from the failure to validate concepts. First, we set the stage by commenting on what the American Psychological Association believed in 1995 [56]: Self-esteem is the gold standard of mental health indicated by good results with academics and work. We used ChatGPT to provide a typical correlational matrix for self-esteem today. It reported that high self-esteem is significantly correlated with low levels of depression (r=-.54, p,.05), low levels of suicidal ideation (r=-.50, p<.05), and significantly good mental health (r=.50, p<.05). In the literature, self-esteem and academics are related (e.g., see [57]), however, Baumeister and his team [58] found the concept of self-esteem’s relationship to academics and work to be invalid in 2005; in turn, his own leading theory of ego depletion was found to be invalid in 2016. On the other hand, prediction is hard; e.g., consider the number of changes in predictions made daily with Polymarket6 or Kalshi7, setting the stage for a look-backwards at Tetlock’s team in 2015 that in 2016, with his hand-picked “superforcasters,” that predicted the United Kingdom would not breakaway from the European Union (i.e., Brexit) nor would Trump become President; both predictions failed.
See Table 1 below.
H2D. Vulnerabilities in a team can be exposed during an attack when structural entropy increases or performance entropy decreases from an attack at a specific point; e.g., a cyber-attack that works (e.g., Stuxnet, in [63]); an attack by an underdog team against a better opponent that works (e.g., the surprising soccer team, in [43]); also an attack against a business, a school or a hospital.
H2E. Espionage or deception depend on reducing structural entropy from one’s presence to avoid being attacked by a predator in the field [28], or a foreign agent pretending to be a member of a team by pretending to be a good teammate; e.g., Alrich Ames [64], an American CIA officer convicted in 1994 for conducting espionage for the Soviet Union, which compromised many CIA human assets.
But how common is interdependence? Jones [27] claims that it infuses all of life; we add even when it is repressed [13]; further, we argue that it promotes randomness, for which a free people self-organizes better than those under aurhoritarianism. However, some teams are great [43], and formerly great teams like Boeing lose their way [6,14], but why?
Great teams out perform weaker teams [39], as in marriage [72] and business [73].Results H3: While z is unknown, its effects magnify or diminish a team’s power; e.g., contrast the results of the awards by NASA to SpaceX (viz., in 2024, the first catch of a rocket after its return to earth of by SpaceX’s Starship rocket Flight 5, in [18]) versus Boeing post completion of the International Space Station ([70], which almost saw the loss of Boeing’s Starliner and crew headed to the ISS; reviewed in [14]). From news accounts about Boeing [71], “the crew indicated that the Boeing Starliner spacecraft experienced multiple, cascading thruster failures during its June 2024 docking attempt with the International Space Station (ISS). The problems brought the mission close to catastrophe ...”
Orthogonality should reduce interference in teams, promoting advantages.Results H4A. Advantages: In the news in the summer of 2024 [74,75], the kill ratios of Hamas soldiers to Israel Defense Forces and Russians to Ukrainian soldiers was reported to be about 10:1, leading us to explore four conflict zones, Israel-Iran, Taiwan-China, Ukraine-Russia and South Korea-North Korea. Using Kullback-Leibler diffusion with freedom as the standard, we found that the freer countries were superior for GDP/capita, Environmental Protection Index and Corruption Perceptions Index [6,14]. Also, de León and colleagues (p. 170, in [76]) reported that an interdependence between humans and technology led to their “co-evolution”. Couple that with the finding that CDM countries impede interdependence to favor the few over the many, as in China’s medical establishment [77].
Next, we generalize Equation 3 to time-energy uncertainty, Equation 9.Results H4B: One of the advantages of orthogonal roles is that interference disappears; e.g., developed during the French Revolution [78]: “In the kitchen brigade system, a military-like hierarchy creates a line of command. Each team member has a specific role that they fulfill with utmost precision. The system creates order and maximizes productivity.” Another advantage is patent productivity. We studied patent productivity in 2019 among Middle Eastern North African (MENA) countries using UN data [79], replicated in 2022 [80], to find that the more freedom in a MENA country, the more educated its citizens and the more patents produced. However, this result contradicts what we found in 2000 [81], that for USAF combat fighter pilots, education had no relationship to performance in air-to-air combat, which we attribute to orthogonality between intellects (patents) and behavior (air combat) [6,14].
What evidence supports squeezing the energy for time relationship that can be related to human and human-machine teams?Results H5A: Using UN data,10 as time uncertainty is squeezed [14], we found that the average time it took to start a business in a nation was significantly and inversely related to that nation’s GDP/capita (); significantly and inversely related to a nations ability to innovate (r = -.66, p <.05); significantly and inversely related to the perception of corruption in a nation (r = -.71, p < .05); inversely related but not significantly to freedom in a country (r = -.23, p > .05); and strongly but not significantly related to the energy consumed per capita in a nation ().
Results H5B: Cohen, 1995 (p. 45, in [82]) had found in signal theory with transformations between Fourier pairs, that a “narrow waveform yields a wide spectrum, and a wide waveform yields a narrow spectrum and that both the time waveform and frequency spectrum cannot be made arbitrarily small simultaneously.” In human teams [83], “Team flow occurs when a group functions in a high task engagement to achieve a goal, commonly seen in performance and sports.“ Further, [84], team flow supposedly occurs for “experiences during which individuals are fully involved in the present moment.” These experiences are similar to the low-energy-high time uncertainty for the time crystal [85].
Results H6. Debate. Nash’s C-C choices between competitors creates an equilibrium [46] that models the spontaneity that occurs with free choice; e.g., majority rule in the U.S. In contrast, consensus seeking or forced cooperation produces stalemate [44]; e.g., consensus rule in the European Union [86]; National Academy of Sciences [21,87]; China [88].11
4. Discussions
Equations 1 and 2 promote randomness, which infuses social interactions [90,91] in the search for fitness, characterized by reduced structural entropy production and increased performance of an interdependent whole [39], described by assembly theorists as complexity [92,93] and us as a byproduct [51].Discussion H1A. Redundancy: Social network theory [89] predicts that redundancy improves social dynamics, likely the reason why redundancy was not further explored, and why we were able to easily contradict social network theory [89]. Redundancy impedes the phenomenon of interdependence, its flow of constructive and destructive interference, and, consequently, the performance of teams.
Interdependence transmits additive or destructive interference across all forms of life [27]. For a team, exploiting interdependence can produce destructive outcomes (e.g., corruption, vulnerability; espionage; in [41]). This suggests that managing structural uncertainty in a team can lead to an advantage:Discussion H1B: The loss of information. The causal effects of interdependence are hidden [50], and assumed to be embodied information [95], leading the National Academy of Sciences [49] to report that causal attributions in the interaction cannot be disentangled ([49]; also see Busemeyer and Bruza, p. 341, [50]).
Cognitive science has not solved the problem of consciousness; e.g., integrated information theory [96]; assembly theory [92]. Cognitive science also has not solved the significant role of the physical environment in human thinking, which is embedded in and extended into the world; nor the role of embodied cognition [97]. Conveying an aspect of cognitive science, Thagard [98] has held that humans display a particular kind of intelligent behavior based on mental rules, procedures for using these rules to search a space of possible solutions, and procedures for generating new rules to produce the behavior observed. Oppositely, Skinner [24], the behaviorist, has imputed cognition from behavior. Thus, cognitivists and behaviorists both ignore the interdependence between cognition and behavior, impeding an advance of team science. Similarly, Simon [99] attempted but failed to capture the decisions experts made with his theory of bounded rationality; and Chomsky’s [100] theory of language holds that innate rules govern human behavior. But cognitive scientists, Simon, Chomsky, and behaviorists have not addressed the contribution of interdependence to human thought and action, leaving them unable to explain the invalidity of concepts, a prelude to our discovery of orthogonality.Discussion H2A. Squeezing quantum-like interdependence: Uncertainty in team interaction exists; “squeezing” uncertainty in a team’s structure (choosing capable candidates for roles that fit together reduces structural entropy production, or ) amplifies a team’s productivity (increasing maximum entropy production, or ); e.g, the most powerful hurricanes have the tightest structures [51]. In contrast, top-down command decision-making (CDM) teams are composed of separable, non-interdependent units, offering no advantage over interdependent teams; e.g., gen-AI (see [52]).
The inability to overcome the limitations in validating concepts tells us that even if cognitive concepts are real and correlate with other cognitive concepts (e.g., self-esteem and academics; but see Baumeister and colleagues, 2005 [58]), they do not capture physical reality; instead, they capture what is believed to be reality. To capture reality, cognition comes to match reality only through struggle; e.g., Einstein’s struggle with general relativity [105], somewhat similar to overcoming any form of resistance to change [106]. The inability to find concepts such as Einstein’s general relativity [6] have prevented social sciences from finding a platform from which to construct a science that generalizes to new findings, new theory and new discoveries. However, instead, we propose that the lack of concept validity, namely, Nosek’s crisis [2], is evidence of the phenomena of interdependent duality between cognition and behavior existing in plain view.Discussion H2B: The education of Air Force combat fighter pilots had no effect on performance, while training did [40]. The opposite effect was found for education in Middle Eastern African Countries (MENA) and patent productivity, led by Israel [80]. These two results from the crisis [2,59] ongoing from the invalidity of social psychological concepts (e.g., self-esteem [58], implicit racism [101], priming [102], honesty [103], ego-depletion [104]) may be explained by an orthogonality between classical concepts and the behavior they are meant to represent. The results of Table 1 and the advantages afforded by interdependence can be explained by an orthogonal interdependence between cognition and behavior, contributing to the randomness in social interactions. For the physical skills required for air combat, an education is superfluous; but in the production of patents, education of knowledge about the field is paramount. That is, air combat is physical and reliant on navigating interdependent states in 3-dimensional physical reality, patent productivity is cognitive and navigates the interdependence among intellectual states regarding innovation and knowledge.
Boundaries H2C: Boundaries prevent destructive interference affecting the operations of a team’s training, practice, planning, etc. ([39]: “a strong team is one where its “boundaries are stronger than any inner boundaries” (p. 319); from Germany [111], “Germany has lost power; it’s politics keep it divided between the boundaries of East and West;” and [112], “healthy boundaries are critical for effective conflict resolution, collaboration, avoiding unnecessary conflict, and creating truly good outcomes for ourselves and others”).
Vulnerability H2D: Vulnerability is commonly a target in an opponent, characterized by a loss of structural entropy or a reduction of maximum entropy or both [80]; e.g., the forced merger of UBS bank to buy its faile rival Credit Suisse at the request of the Swiss government [113], a merger that has been successful; e.g., a cyber-attack works to expose a vulnerability (e.g., Stuxnet, in [63]) that a team must address to prevent failure; an attack by an underdog team against another that works, whether in sports (e.g., soccer, in [43]) or an attack against a vulnerable operation such as a school or business.
Espionage H2E: Aldrich Ames [64] successfully operated in the CIA during which he exposed numerous CIA assets over a number of years before he was caught, tried and convicted.
As an example of finding vulnerabilities in software, Moskowitz and his team [114] have explored the mathematical capture of geometric changes in system dynamics to reveal software performance vulnerabilities.Corruption H2E: authoritarians operate by replacing free speech and free choice by lying [65]: “Totalitarianism is sustained by each person’s willingness to lie.” Yet corruption in China has been an obsession of Chinese leader Xi’s concern for some time: Xi’s “Campaign snares over 500,000 low-level state personnel ... affecting ordinary citizens”, in [68].
If an interdependent team is at minimum structural entropy, , and maximum productivity, , how does it gain more power?“Detecting anomalous software behavior before it causes failure or security compromise is a central challenge and large information gap in modern computing, and in dealing with generative AI risks and benefits within Human-Machine Teams.”
Exploiting interference produces competitive advantages (e.g., innovation, cooperation, evolution; in [14,76]).
From repeated prisoner dilemma games, Axelrod [25] claimed: “the pursuit of self-interest by each [participant] leads to a poor outcome for all,” avoided, he continued, when sufficient punishment discourages competition. But our results contradict Axelrod, indicating the advantages of self-organization during states of freedom versus punishment with CDM.Discussion H4A. Advantages: In reading news accounts of the wars between Israel and Iran in 2025 [74] and Ukraine and Russia in 2024 [75], the kill ratio for Hamas to Israel’s Defense Forces was about 10:1 and similarly for Russia’s military to Ukraine’s military, suggesting an advantage for freely organized military teams versus those forced to cooperate. Using Kullback-Leibler diffusion against the standard of freedom, we [6,14] found clear advantages across four zones of conflict: Israel (4th) over Iran (5th); Taiwan (1st) over China (tied for 6th); South Korea (2nd) over North Korea (8th); and Ukraine (3rd) over Russia (tied for 6th).
Cassidy [118] also counters Axelrod by commenting that while the free market:Discussion H4B. Cooperation-competition: The only way for low-redundancy teams to succeed competitively is to have maximum cooperation among its teammates, supported by Adam Smith’s discovery of the value in the division of labor [115]. From von Mises [116] and Hayek [117]: the turn from self-organized capitalism is to turn to the forced cooperation of socialism, slavery, and serfdom.
Supporting Cassidy, we found that forced cooperation, including consensus-seeking [86], produces the poorest outcomes for national defense [6] or nuclear waste cleanup [44], but that interdependence produces the best outcomes while maximizing cooperation to offset the lack of redundancy [6].“is soulless, exploitative, inequitable, unstable, and destructive, yet also all-conquering and overwhelming.”
Reversing to Energy-Time should produce a reduced sense of time in the interaction that suggests a similarity with quasi-time crystals (e.g., [83]).Discussion H5A. Time-Energy: With Schrödinger’s equation, we recreated the uncertainty relations to find that as teams “squeeze” time uncertainty, the tradeoff causes their energy use to increase proportionally; e.g., in support, the Wall Street Journal [119]: “High-speed traders often seek to capture fleeting differences between prices of related assets, making quick response times critical.”
For debate, the Department of Energy required the use of consensus-seeking rules in its guidelines [120] for its Citizens Advisory Boards (CABs). The CABs were constructed to advise DOE on the cleanup of its nuclear waste mismanagement from the early days of producing nuclear weapons. However, DOE allowed CABs to adopt majority rules; notably DOE Hanford used consensus-seeking rules and DOE Savannah River Site (SRS) used majority rules, setting up a natural field experiment between the two largest DOE sites. The broad result is that DOE-SRS accelerated its cleanup, DOE-Hanford did not, best illustrated in 1997 by DOE-SRS closing not only the first two of its 51 highly radioactive waste tanks (HLW), but today reaching a total closed of eight HLW tanks [44];13 whereas DOE-Hanford has not closed any of its 177 HLW tanks.Discussion H5B: There is support for the proposition that as energy uncertainty is squeezed, i.e., , that time flow occurs, like a time crystal [85]. From Shehata and colleagues [83], “Team flow occurs when a group functions in a high task engagement to achieve a goal, commonly seen in performance and sports.” This flow provides a “reduced sense of time” [84].
Discussion H6. Debate: For Equation 15, we predict that no audience is modeled by points 1&2 in Figure 1. The power, P, equation for majority rules, Equation 4, needs to be changed for consensus seeking or authoritarian rule by reducing the effect of teamwork:
In contrast, where free speech governs, points 3,4 and 5 in Figure 1 suggest that the winning argument comes from a decision advantage (DA).“The requirement for consensus in the European Council often holds policy-making hostage to national interests in areas which Council could and should decide by a qualified majority.”
5. Conclusions
Interdependence transmits additive or destructive interference across all forms of life [27]. For a team, impeding interdependence produces destructive outcomes (e.g., vulnerability, espionage, corruption; in [41]), whereas exploiting interference produces competitive advantages (e.g., innovation, cooperation, evolution; in [14]). And our quantum-like model of interdependence links with the quantum processes now being shown to manage energy in biological systems [131], an effect we have shown occurs with interdependence at the team level.“It is sufficient to destroy the interference pattern, if the path information is accessible in principle from the experiment or even if it is dispersed in the environment and beyond any technical possibility to be recovered, but in principle still “out there”. The absence of any such information is the essential criterion for quantum interference to appear.”
“What dangers are we to face in a future faced by armies of robots commanded by authoritarians? ... Upon these let the proud fabric of freedom rest, as the rock of its basis; and as truly as has been said of the only greater institution, “the gates of hell shall not prevail against it.”” “From whence shall we expect the approach of danger?” asked Lincoln. “Shall some trans-Atlantic military giant step the earth and crush us at a blow? Never. All the armies of Europe, Asia and Africa combined . . . could not by force take a drink from the Ohio, or make a track on the Blue Ridge, in a trial of a thousand years. . . . If destruction be our lot, we must ourselves be its author and finisher. As a nation of freemen, we must live through all time, or die by suicide.”
6. Future Research
- 1.
- In the future, we propose that tuning coupled physical-cognitive interference “squeezes” interdependent information to produce the advantages we have found over CDM and current gen-AI risks. We plan to propose a coupled quantum-like harmonic oscillator.
- 2.
- The emotion challenge: Cognitive science neglects the important role of emotions in human-machine teams. We expect to find that emotion drains available energy from a team, reducing rationality [4], increasing and reducing . However, from a larger perspective, emotion may help to set the stage for social change (see Figure 2), raising the question of how much emotion is too much?14 A stable social equilibrium is the ability to withstand change, especially from the disruptions caused by innovation [141]. A social equilibrium can be impressed by force; e.g., under authoritarianism. But force, whether for seeking a consensus [44,86] or by threat of punishment to achieve cooperation [25], produces inferior results, especially the changes brought about by innovation [142] among Middle Eastern North African (MENA) countries. Mokyr [141] believes that the political fragmentation and market competition formed a free “market for ideas” to explain how the Industrial Revolution arose in Europe but not China, despite similar levels of technology and intellectual activity, while the period of the Enlightenment in China was controlled by its rulers.
- 3.
- Quantum biology [131] implies that life searches for efficiency. Living in large cities is associated with longevity, an advantage possibly due to access to health care. Alternatively, large cities represent large concentrations of energy, and gravity is stronger nearer to the earth’s surface than to mountains, slowing time [143], a possible contribution.
- 4.
- Hamilton type learning becomes important in the attempt to model opposing teams, businesses, institutions, etc.
- 5.
- The Overton window is an intriguing concept that we hope to explore further [144]. “The most common misconception is that lawmakers themselves are in the business of shifting the Overton window. That is absolutely false. Lawmakers are actually in the business of detecting where the window is, and then moving to be in accordance with it.”
- 6.
- 7.
- Reinforcement is a weak approach to learning. We predict for future research a study of effort justification between cognitive concepts and physical reality. For example, Aronson’s team found that harder initiation into societies made for greater liking and appreciation of them [146].
Author Contributions
Funding
Data Availability Statement
Acknowledgments
Conflicts of Interest
Abbreviations
| CAB | DOE’s Citizens Advisory Boards |
| CDM | Command Decision-Making |
| DA | Decision Advantage |
| DOE | Department of Energy |
| HLW | High-Level Waste tanks |
| IFR | Instrument Flight Rules |
| IMC | Instrument Meteorological Conditions |
| SEP | Structural Entropy Production |
| MEP | Maximum Entropy Production |
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| 1 | Editors, Mayo Clinic Press, retrieved 12/15/2025 from https://mcpress.mayoclinic.org/opioids/how-chronic-pain-works
|
| 2 | Tetlock collected the best forecasters from around the world to predict incorrectly that in 2016, Brexit would not occur, and Trump would not become president. |
| 3 | No-fault divorce is reviewed at https://www.justia.com/family/divorce/the-divorce-process
|
| 4 | |
| 5 | |
| 6 | |
| 7 | |
| 8 | NIH (2021) Scientific Workforce Diversity Seminar Series (SWDSS) Seminar Proceedings: “Is Implicit Bias Training Effective?” retrieved 3/15/2023 from https://diversity.nih.gov/sites/coswd/files/images/
|
| 9 | From an interview by the Wall Street Journal’s staff [67], General M. Hayden, the former Central Intelligence Agency (CIA) and National Security Administration (NSA) chief, stated that the Chinese stole millions of records from federal employees for the innovativeness that has so far eluded China. He told his Chinese counterparts: “You can’t get your game to the next level by just stealing our stuff. You’re going to have to innovate.” |
| 10 | The UN’s business startup data base, since discontinued. |
| 11 | From [88], China’s “Integrated Joint Operations Platform” is “one of the most sinister components of China’s surveillance state, managing what has been described as a genocide against the Uighurs. The IJOP combines multiple systems of repression – location, messages, contacts, social media and other data from phones, together with information from checkpoints, cameras and biometric records. It then flags “suspicious” individuals for detention and forced labor.” |
| 12 | Suleymanov’s review [108]: “reinforcement learning methods in real-world, large-scale multiagent problems … are currently unsolvable.” |
| 13 | At DOE-Savannah River Site, the HLW tanks range in size from 750,000 gallons to 1.3 million. |
| 14 | For example, Jefferson [140], in a letter dated November 13, 1787, to the son-in-law of John Adams, wrote: “the tree of liberty must be refreshed from time to time with the blood of patriots and tyrants.” |


| Leading theory | Leading theorists | Theory invalidated by |
|---|---|---|
| Self-esteem | Diener (1984); hailed by APA (1987) as “important to success” | Baumeister et al., 2005 |
| Ego-depletion | Beaumeister and Vohs, 2007 | Hagger et al., 2016 |
| Implicit attitudes theory (implicit racism) | Greenwald et al., 1998 | Blanton et al. (Tetlock’s team), 2009; also, NIH 2021) |
| Superforecasters predicted Trump not to be elected and Brexit not to pass | Tetlock and Gardner, 2015 | Brexit passed and Trump got elected |
| Ethics | “How we enable the unethical and how to stop”, Princeton U. Press, 2022 | Bazerman, 2022 |
| Honesty (2012), PNAS | Lisa, Ariely, Bazerman et al., 2012; the honesty scale | Fabricated data led PNAS (2021) to retract article on “honesty.” |
| “Implicit” effects | Bargh et al. (1996) | Kahneman blog post; Lunebeck (2025) |
| Hypothesis | Claim | Supported | Examples: (citations) | |
| 1A | Redundancy reduces | Supported | Lawless [40] Exxon versus Sinopec | |
| 1B | Squeezing loses I | Supported | NAS, 2022, p. 12 [49] | |
| 2A | Squeeze for | Supported | Cummings [53] study of science teams; Lewin [39] | |
| 2.B | Orthogonality | Supported | Concept crisis [2]; patents vs. air combat [80,81] | |
| 2.C | Boundaries | Supported | Shannon information [62]; Lewin [39] | |
| 2.D | Vulnerability | Supported | Stuxnet [63]; Credit Suisse Merger [113] | |
| 2.E | Espionage | Supported | Aldrich Ames [64] | |
| 2.F | Corruption | Supported | China’s Xi’s anti-corruption drive [68] | |
| 3 | Teams max | Supported | Cummings [53]: | |
| 4A | Comparative advantages | Supported | Lawless [6]; innovation in Cassidy [118]; evolution and technology [76] | |
| 4B | Innovation | Supported | MENA countries, led by Israel [80]; Under competition, cooperation maximizes [6] | |
| 5A | Squeezing | Supported | As , E increases [14]; Cohen [82] | |
| 5B | Squeezing | Not fully | Low E in team flow; time crystal [83,84,85], | |
| 6 | Debate CR v MR | Supported | MR accelerates, CR impedes [44] |
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