Submitted:
27 March 2026
Posted:
30 March 2026
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Abstract
Keywords:
1. Introduction
2. The Isola di Montecristo
3. The Project LIFE+ “Montecristo 2010”
- Chukar partridge (Alectoris chukar Gray, 1830)
- Passerines (Passeriformes Linnaeus, 1758)
- Yellow-legged gull (Larus michahellis Naumann, 1840)
- Common raven (Corvus corax Linnaeus, 1758)
- Barn owl (Tyto alba Scopoli, 1769)
- Diurnal (Accipitriformes and Falconiformes) and nocturnal (Strigiformes) raptors present on the island mainly during migration and occasionally in winter
- Goat of Montecristo (C. aegagrus Erxleben, 1777 or C. aegagrus pictus Erhard, 1858)
- Wild rabbit or crosses of it with the domestic rabbit (Oryctolagus cuniculus huxley Linneus, 1758)
a. the active ingredient used as rodenticide is of low environmental persistence in order to avoid contamination of the food chain and the environment;
b. the maximum duration of persistence of the baits in the environment is established in relation to the objectives to be achieved, based on the most up-to-date scientific literature;
c. at the end of the operation, the unused baits are removed from the environment and an appropriate report is drawn up by the person in charge of the operation, in which the number of baits placed in the environment, the area affected by the operation and the number of baits, unused and removed at the end of the operation, are indicated. The aforementioned report, a copy of which is sent to the Ministry of Health, is available to the competent authorities for possible review” […].
4. The Use of Brodifacoum to Eradicate the Black Rat (Rattus rattus, Linnaeus, 1758)
4.1. Brodifacoum
4.1.1. Is “Degradation” of the Pellet Synonymous with “Degradation” of the Toxic Compound?
4.1.2. Is Brodifacoum Toxic to Fish or Other Marine Life? What About Cetaceans?
4.1.3. Sub-Lethal Chronic Toxicity of Brodifacoum and Its Effects on the Immune System of Mammals
- -
- Chronic exposure to contaminants is a more frequent condition in natural environments than acute exposure.
- -
- Moderately contaminated environments are more common than highly contaminated environments.
- -
- The effects of sub-lethal doses may have greater ecological relevance than lethal doses in highlighting possible alterations in organisms subjected to prolonged exposure to contaminants.
4.2. Is It Possible to Estimate the Distribution of Pellets Immediately After They Are Dropped from the Helicopter?
4.2.1. Calculation Method for Determining the Percentage of Pellets That Fell into the Sea as a Result of Aerial Distribution (Probabilistic Method “Montecristo Case Study Simulation”)
4.2.2. Calculation of the Percentage of Pellets That Fell in the Sea Immediately After Distribution by Helicopter “Montecristo Case Study Simulation”
4.3. Contamination of Protected Marine Waters Through Aerial Dispersion of Pellets Containing Brodifacoum
4.4. The Impact of Brodifacoum on Non-Target Species Following Aerial Dispersal of Pellets on the Island of Montecristo
| Species | Estimated pre-intervention population | Expected mortality | Estimated post-intervention population | Estimated actual mortality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yellow-legged gull (Larus michaellis Naumann, 1840) | 800-1,800 couples [63] |
25-50 couples [63] |
300 couples [65] |
500-1,500 Couples [65] |
| Goat of Montecristo (C. aegagrus Erxleben, 1777) |
184 individuals [65] |
N.D. | 107 individuals [65] |
77 individuals (41,8%) [65] |
| Common raven (Corvus corax Linneus 1758) | 1-2 couples [65,168,169] |
Probable | 0 couples [65,168,169] | 100% [65,168,169] |
| Wild rabbit and crossbreeds (Oryctolagus cuniculus huxley Linneus 1758) |
Present, but not surveyed [63] | Probable | 0[168,169] | 100% [168,169] |
| Barn owl (Tyto alba Scopoli, 1769) |
Few couples [169] |
Highly probable | 0[169] | 100% [169] |



4.5. Calculation of Environmental Disaster Magnitude Using European Industrial Accident Scale (EIAS): The “Montecristo Case Study Simulation”
4.7. Discussion
4.7.1. Rats in the Mediterranean Islands and Seabirds: The Biological Paradox
4.7.2. The Predatory Impact of Rats on Yelkouan Shearwater Nests in Mediterranean Islands
- ∘
- The yelkouan shearwater utilized only 42% (n=25) of the identified cavities as nesting sites.
- ∘
- In the majority of cases (92%) the cavities utilized by the shearwaters were only visited by the rats after the birds had vacated the nests at the conclusion of the breeding season and consequently these visits had no impact on the birds’ reproductive success.
- ∘
- A single visit by rats was recorded during the period when the cavities housed eggs or nestlings vulnerable to predation. However, no predation occurred.
- ∘
- In 76% of cases (n=19), reproduction was successful, with the chick successfully flying away from the nest. In the cases where reproduction was unsuccessful, there was never evidence of rat visitation within the cavity. Therefore, it can be concluded that the failure to reproduce was not due to rat predation. It can be stated with certainty that there is no evidence to suggest that rats played a part in the failure of reproduction among yelkouan shearwaters.
4.7.3. Eradication of Rats on Islands Through Aerial Dispersion of Second-Generation Anticoagulants: Nature Conservation or Ecological Disaster?
- (1)
- The scientific literature indicates that the poisoning of non-target wildlife species by brodifacoum is a common occurrence. This phenomenon is caused by the long-lasting persistence of the compound in the environment, which results in contamination of food chains through mechanisms that are not fully understood. The contamination of the environment by this compound is further evidenced by the presence of residues of unused pellets, feces of animals that have ingested brodifacoum, even at sublethal dosages, and remnants of organs of animals that have died from poisoning. The issue of brodifacoum is well documented. Due to its high toxicity and very high environmental persistence, it is the compound that most effectively kills rats but also poses the greatest risk of mortality to non-target species and the greatest risk of spread in the ecosystem e.g., [31,169].
- (2)
- The reappearance of rats on islands that have undergone an eradication operation resulting in significant mortalities in non-target species and contamination of the ecosystem with highly persistent toxic substances represents a disastrous eventuality that completely undermines the economic, personnel, and time effort associated with the eradication project [201]. This eventuality, which only becomes apparent years after eradication operations, is typically attributed to either the ability of rats to swim from nearby islands where they are still present or the fact that they can be carried by watercraft or voluntarily reintroduced with the intention of “sabotaging” the operation [201]. However, another reason, perhaps the most logical one, is overlooked. This is that not all rats on the “rat-eradicated” island were reached by the toxic baits. Therefore, the surviving specimens gradually reconstitute a population as large as it was before the intervention based on the “carrying capacity” of the territory. To ascertain whether or not the rat eradication has been effective, it is essential to conduct periodic and consecutive monitoring over several years after the intervention. This should employ methods that allow the results to be compared with those obtained in years preceding the intervention [190].
- (3)
- It is challenging to demonstrate the actual long-term benefit of rat eradication operations in favor of species that may be affected in their survival by these rodents. This is due to the fact that the impact of rats can vary greatly by area, season, and year [189]. The evidence presented thus far, in the form of one or two surveys on the increased reproductive success of a small percentage of nests, is insufficient to establish the success of the operation, given the vast and persistent contamination of the island ecosystem and the lack of identification of the full effects of such contamination. Islands characterized by steep cliffs, crags, and sparse vegetation provide seabirds with vast nesting areas that are poorly accessible to rats, thereby limiting the impact of these rodents on the total reproductive capacity of these birds. A study of 26 islands that had previously undergone eradication operations, which involved the use of both bait stations and aerial dispersion of pellets containing brodifacoum, found that 8 of these islands (31%) experienced a subsequent reinvasion by rats, despite the initial success of the attempted eradication efforts [169]. In at least one instance, deliberate reintroduction was suspected. On 12 islands (46%), the eradication was deemed to have been entirely successful. On one island (3.8%), the eradication of the rats was unsuccessful. For the remaining five islands (26%), the results are still inconclusive. Moreover, only 20 of the 26 islands have published data [169], while the results for the remaining six islands are only available in verbal reports. In light of the available data (n=20), it can be concluded that the operation was deemed successful in only 50% (n=10) of the cases. In 45% of the cases (n=9), the eradication was unsuccessful, either due to failure or initial success followed by reinvasion by rats. The outcome for one island (Ventotene, LT) remains undetermined.
- (4)
- The eradication methods involving the use of copious amounts of environmentally-persistent, toxic substances have been documented to cause damage within the ecosystem that has not yet been fully-quantified in terms of environmental pollution and mortality of non-target species. By transitioning from a deductive to an inductive approach to analysis, it becomes possible to quantify the magnitude of the damage caused by the use of biocides on the islands, which can be classified as an environmental disaster through use of a specific range of measurable parameters such as those used by the European Scale of Industrial Accidents, a severity scale developed by EU member states in order to adhere to the EU “SEVESO” Directive [179,183].
[…Conservation is in good part an endeavor that was born precisely to curb, or at least manage, the ecological crisis caused by humans in their destructive relationship with nature. But conservation, too, can fall into the old habit of trying to impose “human” patterns on nature: as when it adopts what we might call a “museum-like” view of its mission, and forgets that the “nature of nature” is processual, not static. It is true that conservation is above all management of environments, ecosystems, and species, but it should never lose sight of the idea that environments cannot be ‘constructed’ to embody some ideal of biodiversity constructed by human beings, that ecosystems stand on extremely complex processes that can hardly be fully understood and administered, and that species are not Platonic ideas frozen in some remote hyperuranium…]
5. The Use of Herbicides to Eradicate the Tree-of-Heaven (Ailanthus altissima)
5.1. Should the Presence of Ailanthus Always Be Seen as a Threat?
5.2. The Presence of Ailanthus altissima on the Isola di Montecristo Island
5.3. Discussion
5.3.1. Should the Presence of Ailanthus Be Considered a Danger Within the Context of Montecristo Island?
5.3.4. Areas Impacted by Herbicide Dispersal
5.3.5. Modality by Which the Eradication of Ailanthus Was Attempted
| Habitat Code | Terrestrial Habitat Description (Dir. 92/43/EEC [283]) | Active substances causing particularly negative impact on habitat and related key taxa characterizing coastal vegetation |
|---|---|---|
| 1210 | Annual vegetation of drift lines** | Glyphosate, Imazamox, Triclopyr |
| 1240 | Vegetated sea cliffs of the Mediterranean coasts with endemic Limonium spp.** | Glyphosate, Imazamox, Picloram, Triclopyr, Fluroxypyr |
| 3120 | Oligotrophic waters containing very few minerals generally on sandy soils of the West Mediterranean with Isoetes spp.** | Glyphosate, Imazamox, Picloram |
| 3170* | Mediterranean temporary ponds** | Glyphosate, Imazamox, Picloram, Triclopyr |
| 5210 | Arborescent matorral with Juniperus spp.** | Glyphosate, Picloram |
| 6220* | Pseudo-steppe with grasses and annuals of the Thero-Brachypodietea** | Glyphosate, Imazamox, Picloram |
| 8220 | Siliceous rocky slopes with chasmophytic vegetation** | Glyphosate, Picloram, Triclopyr, Fluroxypyr |
| 8230 | Siliceous rock with pioneer vegetation of the Sedo-Scleranthion or of the Sedo albi-Veronicion dilleniid** | Glyphosate, Triclopyr, Fluroxypyr |
5.3.6. Some of the Critical Issues Associated with the Five Herbicides Used in the Ailanthus Eradication Effort
6. Conclusions
Author Contributions
Funding
Acknowledgments
Conflicts of Interest
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| CLASSIFICATION OF THE TERRAIN (Regione Toscana portal [164]) |
“MONTECRISTO SIMULATION” IMPLEMENTATION | Kn min | Kn max | Kt min | Kt max | Phi min [°] | Phi max [°] | color |
| Bare rocks, cliffs, crags and outcrops | Rock in place | 0.300 | 0.400 | 0.700 | 0.870 | 30.00 | 35.00 | ![]() |
| Areas with sclerophyllous vegetation | Vegetated shrub detritus | 0.200 | 0.300 | 0.500 | 0.700 | 30.00 | 35.00 | ![]() |
| Areas with sparse vegetation | Vegetated shrub detritus | 0.200 | 0.300 | 0.500 | 0.700 | 30.00 | 35.00 | ![]() |
| Mixed coniferous and deciduous forests | Vegetated woodland detritus | 0.180 | 0.280 | 0.400 | 0.600 | 30.00 | 35.00 | ![]() |
| Coniferous forests | Vegetated woodland detritus | 0.180 | 0.280 | 0.400 | 0.600 | 30.00 | 35.00 | ![]() |
| Housing structures, scattered buildings | Paved surfaces | 0.300 | 0.400 | 0.800 | 0.900 | 30.00 | 35.00 | ![]() |
| Beaches, dunes and sand | Medium fine non-vegetated detritus | 0.200 | 0.310 | 0.700 | 0.830 | 30.00 | 35.00 | ![]() |
| Pellets distribution | N pellets | Uncertainty (N. pellets) | % pellets | Uncertainty [%] | Tons | Uncertainty [Tons] |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0<z<5m | 2,059,846 | ±47,170 | 29.2133% | ±2.29% | 4.12 | ±9.43E-02 |
| 5m<z<100m | 1,715,897 | ±39,294 | 24.3354% | ±2.29% | 3.43 | ±7.86E-02 |
| 100m<z<200m | 1,496,932 | ±34,280 | 21.2299% | ±2.29% | 2.99 | ±6.85E-02 |
| 200m<z<300m | 910,204 | ±20,844 | 12.9088% | ±2.29% | 1.82 | ±4.17E-02 |
| 300m<z<400m | 535,143 | ±12,255 | 7.5896% | ±2.29% | 1.07 | ±2.45E-02 |
| 400m<z<500m | 275,740 | ±6,314 | 3.9106% | ±2.29% | 0.55 | ±1.26E-02 |
| 500m<z<600m | 56,000 | ±1,282 | 0.7942% | ±2.29% | 0.11 | ±2.56E-03 |
| 600m<z<645m | 1,283 | ±29 | 0.0182% | ±2.29% | 0.00 | ±5.87E-05 |
| Environmental consequences | magnitude 1 | magnitude 2 | magnitude 3 | magnitude 4 | magnitude 5 | magnitude 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Env10*Q [t] | Q<0.1 | 0.1≤Q<1 | 1≤Q<10 | 10≤Q<50 | 50≤Q<200 | Q≥200 |
| Env11**P [%] | P<0.1% | 0.1%≤P<0.5% | 0.5%≤P<2% | 2%≤P<10% | 10%≤P<50% | P≥50% |
| Env12***V [m3] | V<10^3 | 10^3≤V<10^4 | 10^4≤V<10^5 | 10^5≤V<10^6 | 10^6 ≤V<10^7 | V≥10 Millions |
| Env13****S [ha] | 0.1≤S<0,5 | 0.5≤S<2 | 2≤S<10 | S50 | 50≤S<200 | S≥200 |
| Env14*****L [km] | 0.1≤L<0.5 | 0.5≤L<2 | 2≤L<10 | 10≤L<50 | 50≤L<200 | L≥200 |
| Environmental Consequences | ||
|---|---|---|
| Technical Parameters | Parameter Quantification | Magnitude |
| Env10*Q [t] | - | - |
| Env11**P [%] | P≥50% | 6 |
| Env12***V [m3] | - | - |
| Env13****S [ha] | S≥200 | 6 |
| Env14*****L [km] | - | - |
| Magnitude associated with the event as an environmental disaster | 6 | |
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