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A Decision-Support Agent-Based Framework for Evacuation Planning Under Compound Hazards

Submitted:

02 March 2026

Posted:

03 March 2026

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Abstract
Evacuation planning is increasingly challenged by compound hazards in which interacting threats degrade infrastructure, influence human behavior, and destabilize transportation systems. Although agent-based models and dynamic traffic simulations have advanced substantially, much of the evacuation literature remains hazard-specific, case-bound, or difficult to transfer across regions. In parallel, transportation resilience research shows that multi-hazard effects are often non-additive and that cascading infrastructure failures can amplify disruption beyond directly affected areas. These realities motivate the development of evacuation modeling frameworks that are modular, adaptable, and able to represent co-evolving behavioral and network processes under compound conditions. This review synthesizes advances in evacuation agent-based modeling, dynamic traffic assignment, hazard-induced network degradation, and compound disaster research to propose an adaptable compound-hazard evacuation framework integrating three interdependent layers: hazard processes, transportation network dynamics, and agent decision-making. The proposed framework is organized around four principles: (1) modular hazard representation, (2) decoupling behavioral decision logic from hazard physics, (3) dynamic network state evolution, and (4) neighborhood-scale performance metrics. The framework prioritizes planning-relevant, spatially resolved outputs, including neighborhood clearance time, isolation probability, and shelter demand imbalance. By prioritizing modularity, configurability, and policy-aligned metrics, this review bridges the gap between methodological advances in evacuation modeling and the operational needs of local multi-hazard planning.
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Copyright: This open access article is published under a Creative Commons CC BY 4.0 license, which permit the free download, distribution, and reuse, provided that the author and preprint are cited in any reuse.
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