Submitted:
27 August 2026
Posted:
31 August 2026
You are already at the latest version
Abstract
The ongoing climate crisis, caused by the annual release of 37 billion metric tons of CO2 emissions, is putting pressure on the advancement of Carbon Capture and Storage (CCS) and Direct Air Capture (DAC) technologies. Metal–Organic Frameworks (MOFs), with their high surface areas and modular pore topologies, present a very attractive class of sorbents for CO2 capture; however, it currently remains computationally prohibitive to explore their extensive chemical design space. Herein, we provide a thorough evaluation of how machine learning (ML) (as an emerging technology) has played an increasing role in furthering our understanding of CO2 capture from MOFs. Through an organized investigation, we provide evaluations of the latest generation of models across four key areas: application at a process level, mechanistic interpretable modelling; physically relevant descriptors, and predictive performance metrics. Recent work with Machine Learning Interatomic Potentials (MLPs) shows that traditional assumptions about rigid frameworks are being challenged by the fact that diffusion properties and adsorption thermodynamics are heavily influenced by the flexibility of the framework. The use of physics-informed descriptor engineering yields R2 values of 0.81-0.97 across gas species and pressure regimes, while the generative nature of Deep Reinforcement Learning and transformer-based architectures has been shown to allow for the inverse design of frameworks with high affinities for gas species. The trend in this sector is moving towards optimization of multiple scales simultaneously and integrating processes to achieve an optimized property prediction. Current work with machine learning is focusing on using a combination of material properties and operational indicators (such as how much gas is recovered through pressure swing adsorption) to make predictions. As these techniques improve, there will be a similar need for a design that is both physically informed and understandable, thus allowing for a link between molecular discoveries and water-stable materials that have been experimentally verified and are suitable for use in commercial applications.

Keywords:

1. Physics-Informed Descriptor Engineering
1.1. Descriptor Engineering Strategies
1.2. Hybrid Textural-Optimization and Outlier-Aware Predictive Modelling
1.3. Ensemble Interaction Mapping and Node-Affinity Hierarchies
2. High-Throughput Screening and Universal Property Prediction
2.1. High-Throughput Screening and Discovery
2.2. Universal Property Prediction and Isotherm Generalization
2.3. Property-Driven ML Applications
3. Model Interpretability and Thermodynamic Mapping
3.1. Model Interpretability and Physical Insight
3.2. Ensemble-Averaged Thermodynamics and Potential Energy Surface (PES) Mapping
4. Molecular Transport and Multicomponent Separation Mechanisms
4.1. Molecular-Level Transport and Adsorption Mechanisms
4.2. Multicomponent Gas Separation and Structural Design Strategies
5. Active-Site and Electronic Structure Engineering
5.1. Lewis Acid-Base Site Engineering and Catalytic Kinetics
5.2. Electronic Property Modulation and Electrocatalytic Selectivity
5.3. Synergistic Site Engineering and Composite Pore Modulation
6. Multi-Objective Inverse Design and Generative MOF Discovery
6.1. Multi-Objective Inverse Design and Chemical Subspace Exploration
7. Multiscale Generative Design and Process-Oriented Optimization
7.1. Process-Integrated Generative Design and Material Optimization
| Study Focus | Primary ML Algorithm(s) | Key Descriptor(s) | Predictive Performance (R2) | Core Scientific Insight |
| Pore Energy Mapping [8] | XGBoost | Energy-based RDFs & Surface Histograms | > 0.81 CO2 > 0.97 N2 | Spatially aware energy RDFs resolve the “intermediate pressure bottleneck” in isotherms. |
| Composite Modulation [23] | CNN (Inception) | Geometric + Chemical (Ionic Liquids) | ≈ 0.90 | Ionic liquids can act as synergistic sites, creating new potential energy minima for CO2. |
| Kinetic Transport [17] | DeepPot-SE (MLP) | Atomic coordinates (Flexible) | 0.9916 (Energy) | Framework flexibility accelerates CO2 diffusivity by 10x compared to rigid models. |
| Generative Design [25] | MOFGPT (Transformer) | MOFid (NLP-based strings) | 35–100% Validity | Reinforcement learning effectively navigates the “extreme tail” of property distributions. |
| Process-Level Design [4] | MOF-NET (ANN) | Word Embeddings of Building Blocks | Elite purity/recovery | Optimal design bifurcates into small-pore exclusion vs. large-pore binding. |
| Mixed Matrix Membranes [13] | Stacking Ensemble | Polymer FFV + MOF PLD/LCD | 0.96 | A “10x permeability rule” exists where filler must exceed polymer permeability for gain. |
| Experimental Benchmarking [12] | Stacking (RF/XGB/MLP) | Textural (BET) + Operational (P, T) | 0.9833 | Identified a metal-affinity hierarchy where Mg and Cu centers provide superior binding sites. |
| Hybrid Optimization [11] | LSSVM-GO | Textural + Operational | 0.9798 | Growth Optimization (GO) significantly reduces prediction errors in high-uptake regimes. |
| Multicomponent Separation [20] | Random Forest | Structural + Chemical Descriptors | 0.922 (R%) | MOF renderability is optimized within a specific density window of 0.5–1.7 g/cm3. |
| Electrocatalytic Selectivity [22] | Gradient Boosting (GBR) | Electronic (EA, chi, d-band) | 0.9998 | Catalytic activity is primarily governed by electron affinity and electronegativity. |
| Universal Zeolite Prediction [15] | GBT / RF / DL | Si/Al Ratio + Cation type | 0.936 | Provides a universal framework without case-specific parameter fitting required by Langmuir models. |
Conclusions
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