Submitted:
28 January 2026
Posted:
30 January 2026
You are already at the latest version
Abstract
Keywords:
1. Introduction and Background
2. Method
2.1. Research Design
2.2. Study Setting
2.3. Target Population and Sampling
2.4. Recruitment of the Respondents
2.5. Data Collection Instrument and Procedure
2.6. Validity, Piloting and Reliability of the Instrument
2.7. Data Processing and Analysis
2.8. Ethical Considerations
3. Results
3.1. Socio-Demographic Characteristics
3.2. The Perceptions of Healthcare Professionals on the Impact of Medicine Shortages
3.3. Associations Between Perceptions and Categorical Biographical Characteristics
3.4. The Out-of-Pocket Cost to Patients
3.5. Errors in Treatment, Prescription, Dispensing, and Administration of Medicines
3.6. Delayed or Denied Treatment, Prolonged Hospitalisation, and Adverse Medicine Reactions
3.7. Medicine Shortages Lead to Compromised Health Outcomes
4. Discussion
5. Limitation
6. Recommendations
7. Future Research
8. Conclusions
Author Contributions
Funding
Institutional Review Board Statement
Data Availability Statement
Acknowledgments
Conflicts of Interest
Abbreviations
| ANOVA | Analysis of Variance |
| CHC | Community Health Centre |
| EML | Essential Medicines List |
| NMRA | National Medicine Regulatory Authority |
| PHC | Primary Health Care |
| POPIA | Protection of Personal Information Act |
| SD | Standard Deviation |
| SDG | Sustainable Development Goals |
| SE | Standard Error |
| SPSS | Statistical Package for the Social Sciences |
| STG | Standard Treatment Guidelines |
| WHO | World Health Organization |
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| Variable | Category | Frequency | Percent | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gender | Female | 281 | 71.3 | ||||
| Male | 113 | 28.7 | |||||
| Profession | Medical Officers | 77 | 19.5 | ||||
| Professional Nurses | 217 | 55.1 | |||||
| Pharmacists | 100 | 25.4 | |||||
| Level | CHC | 67 | 17.0 | ||||
| Clinic | 128 | 32.5 | |||||
| Hospital | 199 | 50.5 | |||||
| Variable | Minimum | LQ | Median | Mean | Mode | UQ | Maximum |
| Age | 28.0 | 41.0 | 47.0 | 46.9 | 43.0 | 53.0 | 65.0 |
| Service | 2.0 | 13.0 | 19.0 | 19.1 | 21.0 | 23.0 | 40.0 |
| Variables | D | N | A |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stakeholder impact | 8 (2.03) | 18 (4.57) | 368 (93.41) |
| Extra costs for patients | 14 (3.55) | 64 (16.24) | 316 (80.20) |
| Out-of-pocket costs | 59 (14.97) | 143 (36.29) | 192 (48.73) |
| Errors in treatment and dispensing | 106 (26.90) | 136 (34.52) | 152 (38.57) |
| Denied or delayed treatment | 23 (5.84) | 93 (23.60) | 278 (70.56) |
| Provider stress | 1(0.25) | 12 (3.05) | 381(96.70) |
| Physicians forced to rational or use alternatives | 12 (3.05) | 88 (22.34) | 294 (74.62) |
| Compromised health outcomes | 29 (7.36) | 101(25.63) | 264 (67.00) |
| Variable | Age | Years of service | Gender | Profession | Level | |||||
| KW | p-value | KW | p-value | Chisq | p-value | Chisq | p-value | Chisq | p-value | |
| .Stakeholder impact |
1.6 | 0.446 | 0.7 | 0.723 | 1.4 | 0.496 | 12.4 | 0.015 | 3.8 | 0.432 |
| Extra costs for patients | 2.8 | 0.246 | 2.5 | 0.290 | 4.3 | 0.117 | 33.8 | 0.001 | 46.5 | 0.001 |
| Out of pockets costs | 1.6 | 0.453 | 0.7 | 0.702 | 2.8 | 0.246 | 56.3 | 0.001 | 41.4 | 0.001 |
| Errors in treatment/dispensing | 15.2 | 0.001 | 13.9 | 0.001 | 1.8 | 0.406 | 29.6 | 0.001 | 10.2 | 0.037 |
| Denied/delayed treatment |
8.2 | 0.017 | 7.1 | 0.029 | 1.5 | 0.466 | 18.3 | 0.001 | 5.8 | 0.216 |
| Provider stress | 4.1 | 0.131 | 5.0 | 0.083 | 0.5 | 0.783 | 4.9 | 0.302 | 2.6 | 0.627 |
| .Physicians medical officers forced to rational/use alternative drugs | 3.2 | 0.200 | 3.7 | 0.161 | 3.1 | 0.211 | 6.8 | 0.145 | 3.2 | 0.527 |
| Compromised health outcomes | 2.7 | 0.257 | 4.5 | 0.104 | 0.6 | 0.725 | 24.9 | 0.001 | 8.0 | 0.090 |
| Odds Ratio Estimates | Crude odds ratios | Adjusted odds ratios | |||||
| Effect | Predictor | Point Estimate | 95% Wald | Point Estimate | 95% Wald | ||
| Confidence Limits | Confidence Limits | ||||||
| Gender Female vs Male | Neutral | 0.781 | 0.381 | 1.603 | 1.118 | 0.505 | 2.477 |
| Gender Female vs Male | Agree | 0.593 | 0.299 | 1.177 | 1.231 | 0.555 | 2.729 |
| Profession Medical Officer vs Pharmacist | Neutral | 0.667 | 0.168 | 2.638 | 0.68 | 0.17 | 2.717 |
| Profession Medical Officer vs Pharmacist | Agree | 0.794 | 0.219 | 2.885 | 0.843 | 0.23 | 3.095 |
| Profession Nurse vs Pharmacist | Neutral | 0.37 | 0.134 | 1.021 | 0.612 | 0.192 | 1.949 |
| Profession Nurse vs Pharmacist | Agree | 0.105* | 0.039 | 0.28 | 0.187* | 0.061 | 0.578 |
| Level CHC vs Hospital | Neutral | 0.533 | 0.209 | 1.363 | 0.604 | 0.227 | 1.61 |
| Level CHC vs Hospital | Agree | 0.379* | 0.154 | 0.93 | 0.57 | 0.218 | 1.488 |
| Level Clinic vs Hospital | Neutral | 0.356* | 0.174 | 0.728 | 0.446 | 0.183 | 1.083 |
| Level Clinic vs Hospital | Agree | 0.121* | 0.059 | 0.249 | 0.349* | 0.141 | 0.867 |
| Odds Ratio Estimates | Crude odds ratios | Adjusted odds ratios | |||||
| Effect | Predictor | Point Estimate | 95% Wald | Point Estimate | 95% Wald | ||
| Confidence Limits | Confidence Limits | ||||||
| Gender Female vs Male | Neutral | 0.680 | 0.384 | 1.202 | 0.869 | 0.46 | 1.641 |
| Gender Female vs Male | Agree | 0.824 | 0.468 | 1.451 | 0.964 | 0.508 | 1.828 |
| Profession Medical Officer vs Pharmacist | Neutral | 0.504 | 0.201 | 1.267 | 0.484 | 0.191 | 1.224 |
| Profession Medical Officer vs Pharmacist | Agree | 0.321* | 0.131 | 0.789 | 0.335* | 0.135 | 0.832 |
| Profession Nurse vs Pharmacist | Neutral | 0.257* | 0.119 | 0.556 | 0.165* | 0.067 | 0.404 |
| Profession Nurse vs Pharmacist | Agree | 0.154* | 0.073 | 0.326 | 0.122* | 0.052 | 0,286 |
| Level CHC vs Hospital | Neutral | 0.528 | 0.259 | 1.076 | 0.772 | 0.358 | 1.662 |
| Level CHC vs Hospital | Agree | 0.494* | 0.253 | 0.967 | 0.691 | 0.332 | 1.439 |
| Level Clinic vs Hospital | Neutral | 0.895 | 0.507 | 1.578 | 2.442* | 1.157 | 5.155 |
| Level Clinic vs Hospital | Agree | 0.507* | 0.286 | 0.901 | 1.352 | 0.654 | 2.793 |
| Odds Ratio Estimates | Crude odds ratios | Adjusted odds ratios | |||||
| Effect | Predictor | Point Estimate | 95% Wald | Point Estimate | 95% Wald | ||
| Confidence Limits | Confidence Limits | ||||||
| Gender Female vs Male | Neutral | 0515 | 0.16 | 1.654 | 0.54 | 0.157 | 1.86 |
| Gender Female vs Male | Agree | 0.503 | 0.166 | 1.525 | 0.619 | 0.191 | 2.01 |
| Profession Medical Officer vs Pharmacist | Neutral | 1.6 | 0.249 | 10.268 | 1.383 | 0.212 | 9.021 |
| Profession Medical Officer vs Pharmacist | Agree | 1.555 | 0.276 | 8.762 | 1.471 | 0.258 | 8.387 |
| Profession Nurse vs Pharmacist | Neutral | 1.035 | 0.304 | 3.524 | 1.395 | 0.345 | 5.644 |
| Profession Nurse vs Pharmacist | Agree | 0.389 | 0.127 | 1.197 | 0.385 | 0.107 | 1.386 |
| Level CHC vs Hospital | Neutral | 0.52 | 0.156 | 1.738 | 0.489 | 0.139 | 1.718 |
| Level CHC vs Hospital | Agree | 0.4 | 0.132 | 1.213 | 0.528 | 0.166 | 1.678 |
| Level Clinic vs Hospital | Neutral | 0.78 | 0.272 | 2.236 | 0.717 | 0.205 | 2.512 |
| Level Clinic vs Hospital | Agree | 0.492 | 0.183 | 1.323 | 1.046 | 0.321 | 3.404 |
|
Odds Ratio Estimates |
Predictor |
Crude odds ratios | Adjusted odds ratios | ||||
| Effect | Point Estimate | 95% Wald | Point Estimate | 95% Wald | |||
| Confidence Limits | Confidence Limits | ||||||
| Gender Female vs Male | Neutral | 1.099 | 0.434 | 2.781 | 0.888 | 0.318 | 2.481 |
| Gender Female vs Male | Agree | 0.892 | 0.379 | 2.099 | 0.912 | 0.353 | 2.354 |
| Profession Medical Officer vs Pharmacist | Neutral | 0.105* | 0.019 | 0.591 | 0.109* | 0.019 | 0.622 |
| Profession Medical Officer vs Pharmacist | Agree | 0.166* | 0.035 | 0.797 | 0.177* | 0.036 | 0.861 |
| Profession Nurse vs Pharmacist | Neutral | 0.427 | 0.091 | 2.003 | 0.342 | 0.062 | 1.891 |
| Profession Nurse vs Pharmacist | Agree | 0.177* | 0.04 | 0.785 | 0.128* | 0.025 | 0.665 |
| Level CHC vs Hospital | Neutral | 3.705 | 0.773 | 1.753 | 3.757 | 0.736 | 19.174 |
| Level CHC vs Hospital | Agree | 2.59 | 0.574 | 11.684 | 3.461 | 0.719 | 16.664 |
| Level Clinic vs Hospital | Neutral | 1.455 | 0.603 | 3.511 | 1.512 | 0.483 | 4.73 |
| Level Clinic vs Hospital | Agree | 0.778 | 0.344 | 1.762 | 1.624 | 0.55 | 4.94 |
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