Submitted:
08 December 2025
Posted:
11 December 2025
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Abstract
Keywords:
MSC: 62F15, 62F03
1. Introduction
2. Constrained Bayesian Method
2.1. Restrictions on the Conditional Probabilities of Accepting True Hypotheses (CBM 2)
2.2. Restrictions on Posterior Probabilities of Rejecting True Hypotheses (CBM 7)
3. General Characterization of the CBM
4. Simple Hypotheses
4.1. Parallel Methods
4.2. Sequential Methods
4.3. Sequential Methods
5. Composite Hypotheses
6. Testing Multiple Hypotheses
7. Testing Multiple Hypotheses with Directional Alternatives in Sequential Experiments
8. Testing Composite Hypotheses Concerning Normal Distribution with Equal Parameters
9. Testing Equi-Correlation Coefficient
10. Solving ANOVA Problem with Restricted Type I and Type II Error Rates
11. Conclusion
Author Contributions
Funding
Data Availability Statement
Conflicts of Interest
Abbreviations
| CBM | Constrained Bayesian method |
| FAR | False acceptance rate |
| pdFAR | Pure directional false discovery rate |
| mdFAR | Mixed directional false discovery rate |
| FWERI | Family-wise error rates of type I |
| FWERII | Family-wise error rates of type II |
| SR | Summary risk |
| tmdFAR | Total mixed directional false discovery rate |
| i.i.d. | Independent identically distributed |
| SMND | Symmetric Multivariate Normal Distribution |
| ANOVA | Analysis of variance |
| TTIER | Total Type I error rate |
| TTIIER | Total Type II error rate |
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| For tests , and Bayes | For N-P test | For p-value test |
For constrained Bayes test (CBM) | ||||||||||
| CEP | CEP | AH*) | AH*) | -value | AH*) | AH*) | |||||||
| 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.02275 | 0.02275 | 0.02275 | Reject |
|
|
|
No one1) Bothe2) |
||
| 0.028 | 0.8 | 0.444(4) | 0.555(5) | 0.02275 | 0.02275 | 0.01989 | Reject |
|
|
|
Bothe No one |
||
| 0.25 | 0.14 | 0.1228 | 0.8772 | 0.02275 | 0.02275 | 0.00621 | Reject |
|
|
|
Bothe No one |
||
| 1 | 0.00034 | 0.00034 | 0.99966 | 0.02275 | 0.02275 | 0.00003 | Reject |
|
|
|
Bothe |
||
| -0.25 | 7.389 | 0.88 | 0.1192 | 0.02275 | 0.02275 | 0.06681 | Accept |
|
|
|
Bothe No one |
||
| -1 | 2980.958 | 0.99966 | 0.00034 | 0.02275 | 0.02275 | 0.5 | Accept |
|
|
|
Bothe |
||
| Observation results |
|
The Berger’s test | The Wald’s test |
for sequential test of Bayesian type |
The sequential teat of Bayesian type | |
| 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 |
1.201596 0.043484 0.658932 0.039022 0.616960 2.026540 -0.422764 0.562569 0.353047 -0.123311 1.126263 1.521061 1.486411 -0.578935 0.623006 1.616669 1.754413 |
|
, , . , , . , , . , , . , , . , , . , , . |
|
|
|
| 2.43 | 2.43 | 1.7 |
| Observation results |
|
The Berger’s test | The Wald’s test |
for sequential test of Bayesian type |
The sequential teat of Bayesian type | |
| 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 |
1.201596 0.043484 0.658932 0.039022 0.616960 2.026540 -0.422764 0.562569 0.353047 -0.123311 1.126263 1.521061 1.486411 -0.578935 0.623006 1.616669 1.754413 |
|
, , . , , . , , . , , . , , . , , . , , . |
|
|
|
| 2.43 | 2.43 | 1.7 |
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