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Vehicle Minor Fault Diagnosis Based on Multi-Residual Neural Networks and ER Rule

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06 December 2025

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08 December 2025

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Abstract
Micro fault diagnosis of vehicle powertrain systems can significantly bring safety and economic benefits in preventing major accidents and extending equipment lifespan. However, under variable operating conditions, effectively capturing and diagnosing fault-related weak current fluctuation or high-frequency noise features, presents substantial technical challenges. Regarding this issues, this paper proposes a fault diagnosis model based on multi-residual neural networks (multi-ResNets) and Evidential Reasoning Rule (ER Rule). While the multi-ResNets are employed to extract subtle fault features and diagnostic reasoning, the ER Rule dynamically estimate diagnostic condition and conduct fault diagnosis through a sub-model real time credibility assessment mechanism. The experimental results indicate that compared traditional machine learning algorithms, the proposed multi-ResNets-ER Rule based model achieves higher diagnostic accuracy and result reliability for minor faults under variable operating conditions.
Keywords: 
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1. Introduction

MICRO-faults as a typical fault type in complex vehicle systems, through early detected and diagnosed, it can bring substantial safety and economic benefits in aspects such as driving safety improvement, maintenance cost reduction, and equipment lifespan extension.However, due to the concealment and randomness of minor faults, their characteristics are often very difficult to detect. Moreover, fault signatures are more prone to being masked by interference or noise caused by vehicle operating conditions and load changes, making early monitoring and fault localization particularly challenging.These issues impose higher demands on diagnostic technologies in terms of feature extraction, diagnostic accuracy, and reliability. Micro-fault diagnosis is not only one of the core challenges in the current field of fault diagnosis, but also an urgent problem that needs to be solved.By organizing and analyzing current investigations, the researches on minor fault diagnosis mainly includes the following three types.
Knowledge-based approach: The diagnostic method based on qualitative knowledge is suitable for fields with complex system structures and extensive historical fault data, offering strong explainability and reasoning capabilities.
For the fault diagnosis and monitoring of gas turbine combustion chamber, literature [1] introduces the main working principle, conceptual design and development of gas turbine chamber expert system. For the problem of energy system fault diagnosis, literature [2] proposed to use the recombination of evolutionary algorithm and artificial random generation of selection operator to form the knowledge base rule of expert system. Aiming at the safety protection problem of process industry, literature [3] proposed a knowledge-based fault diagnosis method, and used fuzzy logic to reason expert knowledge and real-time data, and developed a computer-aided tool based on this method. For the problem of automobile fault detection, literature [4] proposes to use Expert System (ES) to build the fault detection model of electric automobile, and develops the automobile fault diagnosis auxiliary system (CFMDAS) based on the expert system. For the problems of low generality and poor expansibility of existing expert systems, literature [5] proposes a task-based software architecture expert system, which allows a specific optimization based on a set of common rules, and allows users to add or modify rules in the human-machine dialog box to continue absorbing and improving professional knowledge. Literature [6] proposed a general fault diagnosis expert system framework with two basic characteristics: the first is fault diagnosis strategy, and the second is using the knowledge of fault classification and detection of the unit under test.
However, under variable operating conditions, the difficulty in extracting specific micro-fault features and expressing knowledge-based rules limits their diagnostic applicability in such scenarios.
Analytical model-based approach: The analytical diagnosis model is built upon a deep understanding of system fault evolution mechanisms, involving high-precision mathematical modeling of the system. It offers advantages such as high real-time performance and robustness in diagnosis.
In [7], a hierarchical multi-model fault diagnosis scheme based on UKF is proposed to detect and isolate actuator faults of robots. In [8], the OLA method in continuous systems is extended to fault diagnosis of nonlinear discrete systems, and the stability and robustness analysis of fault detection and compensation algorithms are given. Aiming at the fault of four-rotor actuator, a fault diagnosis system based on nonlinear fault detection estimator and nonlinear adaptive fault isolation estimator was designed in literature [9], which improved the robustness of the system and the sensitivity of the fault diagnosis algorithm. Based on robust navigation based on particle filtering, literature [10] designed a fault diagnosis system for underwater robot, which can effectively diagnose faults and has strong robustness.
For the diagnosis of micro-fault under variable operating conditions, a profound understanding of fault evolution mechanisms and precise mathematical modeling prove highly challenge. Moreover, the subtle nature of micro-fault makes them easily buried in noise, necessitating models with exceptional robustness and fault sensitivity.
Data-driven approach: Traditional data-driven fault diagnosis algorithms directly establish input-output mapping relationships by leveraging noise reduction and feature extraction algorithms. This enables them to model complex nonlinear systems.
In literature [11], discrete inverse wavelet transform is used to extract relevant frequency bands, and the current sequence is reconstructed or filtered under different fault states, and then trend fluctuation analysis is carried out to realize the effective differentiation of minor faults. Literature [12] reviews the development and application of continuous wavelet transform in the diagnosis of micro-fault of rolling bearing, and constructs a decision tree to select the optimal wavelet to improve the classification accuracy. Literature [13] combined wavelet transform with EMD, based on sample entropy and singular value decomposition, proposed a small fault diagnosis technology for auditory signals, reduced the signal-to-noise ratio, and improved the singular value decomposition. For the degradation of components and mechanical wear in the production system. Literature [14] uses ANN to detect and diagnose minor faults in the frequency domain through time-frequency analysis and technology. Literature [15] designed a new continuous decision function for SVM classifier, which can not only identify fault types, but also monitor the severity of faults.
The data-driven fault diagnosis model has achieved promising results in detecting minor faults. However, its generalization capability remains limited—when operating conditions (e.g., load or environmental variations) change, the model’s performance may degrade significantly.
To address the challenges of mechanical micro-fault diagnosis under variable operating conditions, this paper proposes a fault diagnosis model based on a multi-residual neural network structure and evidential reasoning rules.
Firstly, multiple residual neural network structures are employed to extract micro-fault features and perform diagnosis reasoning under several variable operating conditions. Compared with traditional artificial intelligence algorithms, deep learning [16,17,18,19,20,21,22,23,24,25,26,27,28,29,30] can pursue fundamental data characteristics and structural information at a deeper level.
Furthermore, the cross-entropy loss function is used to calculate the model divergence between predicted probability distributions and target probability distribution, and the loss values serves as belief degree for diagnostic condition assessment while also serves as the weights in subsequent diagnostic category assessment.
Case studies demonstrates that compared to traditional machine learning algorithms, the proposed fault diagnosis model achieves higher diagnostic accuracy and result reliability for micro-fault issues under varying operational conditions.

2. The Theoretical Basis

2.1. Information Transformation

Residual neural network model should utilizes the micro-fault images for feature extraction, as the time-frequency analysis tool, the short-time Fourier transform (STFT) can generate continuous spectrum through the time-frequency transformation of non-stationary signals:
G f ( ε , u ) = f ( t ) g ( t u ) e j ε t d t
where, f ( t ) is the original signal and g ( t u ) is the window function.

2.2. Training and Reasoning of Residual Neural Networks

Residual module as the basic building block of the residual neural network, in this section, a 4-layer residual module (see Figure 1) serves as an example to illustrate the forward and backward propagation processes, with the corresponding equations provided below:
F ( x , { W } ) = W 4 σ ( W 3 σ ( W 2 σ ( W 1 x + b 1 ) + b 2 ) + b 3 )
y = σ ( F ( x , { W } ) + x )
where, x directly imports from the topmost layer; σ represents the activation function, W represents the convolution kernel weight, and b represents the bias. y is the output vector of the residual module.
For the output of residual neural network, the cross entropy loss function is adopted as follows:
softmax ( y ) = e y e y
Loss = softmax ( y ) log y label
Where, softmax(y) is used for normalization; y label represents the target output; Loss represents the loss value.
Based on the chain rule, the partial derivative of the loss function value can be obtained.
Loss y = y y label
Loss W 4 = Loss y y ( F ( x , { W } ) + x ) ( F ( x , { W } ) + x ) W 4
Loss W 3 = Loss y y ( F ( x , { W } ) + x ) ( F ( x , { W } ) + x ) y 3 y 3 W 3
Loss W 2 = Loss y y ( F ( x , { W } ) + x ) ( F ( x , { W } ) + x ) y 3 y 3 y 2 y 2 W 2
Loss W 1 = Loss y y ( F ( x , { W } ) + x ) ( F ( x , { W } ) + x ) y 3 y 3 y 1 y 1 W 1
W : = W α Loss W
Where, W represents the neural network original weight, α represents the learning rate, and W : represents the update weight.

2.3. Diagnostic Condition Assessment

Cross entropy loss function reflect the deviation between the predicted distributions and the target distributions. In this subsection, the loss value is used to measure the relative credibility among the models and serves as belief degree β n , i for diagnostic condition assessment while also as the weight for subsequent diagnostic category assessment:
L o s s n = i = 1 C y n , i log ( y n , i )
β n = log 0.5 L o s s n n log 0.5 L o s s n , n β n , i = 1 , 0 β 1 ( n = 1 , 2 , , N )
S ( e ) = { ( H n , β n ) , n = 1 , 2 , , N }
U ( e ) = i = 1 N H n β n
Where, y n , i representing the target category in one-hot encoded form, y n , i is the nth model’s predicted probability of the ith category after normalization, β n represents the belief degree of diagnostic condition e relative to the condition grade H n , S ( e ) represents the belief distribution, U ( e ) represents the diagnostic condition utility value.

2.4. Diagnostic Category Assessment

The proposed model uses Evidence Reasoning Rule (ER Rule) as the diagnostic reasoning fusion theory. Firstly, the probability distributions of the diagnostic reasoning corresponding category need to be combined with the corresponding weights ω i to obtain the basic probability masses.
m n , i = ω i β n , i , i = 1 L ω i = 1 , 0 ω i 1 n = 1 , 2 , , N
m H , i = 1 n = 1 N m n , i = 1 ω n = 1 N β n , i
where m n , i represents the basic probability masses. m H , i indicates the remaining basic probability masses which can be broken down into m ¯ H , i and m ˜ H , i two main parts.
m ¯ H , i = 1 ω i
m ˜ H , i = ω i 1 n = 1 N β n , i
Secondly, by using the basic probability masses, the i diagnostic reasoning and the ( i + 1 ) th diagnostic reasoning can be aggregated into a new diagnostic reasoning, the aggregation process as follows:
{ H n } : m n , I ( i + 4 ) = K I ( i + 1 ) [ m n , I ( i ) m n , i + 1 + m H , I ( i ) m n , i + 1 + m n , I ( i ) m H , i + 1 ]
m H , I ( i ) = m ˜ H , I ( i ) + m ¯ H , I ( i ) , n = 1 , 2 , , N
{ H n } : m ˜ H , I ( i + 1 ) = K I ( i + 1 ) [ m ˜ H , I ( i ) m ˜ H , i + 1 + m ¯ H , I ( i ) m ˜ H , i + 1 + m ˜ H , I ( i ) m ¯ H , i + 1 ]
{ H n } : m ¯ H , I ( i + 1 ) = K I ( i + 1 ) [ m ¯ H , I ( i ) m ¯ H , i + 1 ]
K I ( i + 1 ) = [ 1 i = 1 N j = 1 , j i N m i , I ( i ) m j , i + 1 ] 1 , i = { 1 , 2 , , L 1 }
where m n , I ( i + 1 ) is the combined probability mass generated by aggregating the first i diagnostic reasoning with the ( i + 1 ) th diagnostic reasoning; m ˜ H , I ( i + 1 ) the combined probability mass for due to the possible incompleteness, and m ¯ H , I ( i + 1 ) for due to the combined relative importance.
Finally, after all L diagnostic reasoning have been aggregated, the combined probability distribution are generated by using the following normalization process:
{ H n } : β n = m n , I ( L ) 1 m ¯ H , I ( L ) , n = 1 , 2 , , N
S ( y ) = { ( H n , β n ) , n = 1 , 2 , , N }
y is the diagnostic probability distribution which assessed to the fault category H with the belief degree β n ( n = 1 , 2 , , N ) .

3. Performance Verification and Result Analysis

3.1. Case Description and Model Construction

In this subsection, CWRU bearing dataset has been selected to verify the model ability. The dataset is one of the most widely used datasets in the field of mechanical fault diagnosis. It covers four load conditions of 0, 1, 2, and 3 horsepower, and includes three fault types: normal condition, inner race fault, outer race fault, and rolling element fault, with fault diameters categorized into three specifications: 7 mils, 14 mils, and 21 mils.
For the mechanical micro-fault diagnosis under variable operating conditions, the drive endbearing under the minimum defect size (7 mils) are selected as the diagnostic object, and the drive end data, sampling frequency in 48 kHz, is used to establish the dataset. For each bearing faults defect under each load conditions, including 800 training samples and 200 test samples. Table I gives the Drive end bearing faults defect under four load conditions. Figure 2 shows the sample’s defect spectrum generated by STFT, which with the size of 224 × 224 × 3.
Table 1. The bearing faults defect under four load conditions.
Table 1. The bearing faults defect under four load conditions.
Motor Load (HP) Motor Speed (rpm) Normal Inner Raceway Ball Outer Raceway Center
0 1797 - 7 mils 7 mils 7 mils
1 1772 - 7 mils 7 mils 7 mils
2 1750 - 7 mils 7 mils 7 mils
3 1730 - 7 mils 7 mils 7 mils
For this case, a diagnostic model was established as shown in Figure 3, and the detailed structural parameters are given in Table 2. It have four 67 layer residual nerve network, for each load condition, an independent model is employed for training and diagnostic reasoning. Finally, the diagnostic condition assessment and diagnostic category assessment are conducted based on the ER rule.

3.2. Model Training and Result Analysis

In this subsection, the model conducted 2500-round iterative training, and the training results are shown in Figure 4 and Figure 5. Wherein, Figure 4 shows the correct rate change of resnet-67 model-1∼4 separately on the corresponding training set and test set. It can be seen from the change curve that the model has a high accuracy on the corresponding training set and test set, and there is no obvious over-fitting phenomenon.
Figure 5 shows the loss value change of resnet-67 model-1∼4 separately on the corresponding training set, according to the change curve of loss value, it can be seen that model has the ability of rapid optimization.
Figure 6 shows the diagnostic reasoning of model on the test set. It can be seen that the model has a high identification accuracy for all diagnostic category under four working conditions.

3.3. Experimental Comparison

To evaluate the model’s performance, this subsection presents the traditional model based on the BP neural network [31], RBF neural network [32], and SVM [33]. The correct rate on test set between the proposed model and other models are shown in Figure 7 and summarized in Table 3.
The former presents the model diagnostic reasoning, while the latter displays the correct rates on the training set and test set. It is evident that the proposed model achieves a higher correct rate than both the BP network, RBF network and SVM models. These comparisons demonstrate the superior performance of the model.

4. Conclusions

To tackle the challenges of mechanical micro-fault diagnosis under variable operating conditions, this paper introduces a multi-residual neural network and evidential reasoning rule-based fault diagnosis model. Firstly, the multi-residual neural network architecture are utilized to extract micro-fault features and conduct diagnostic reasoning. Secondly, based on cross-entropy loss between predicted probability distributions and target probability distributions, the loss value is used to measure the relative credibility among the models and serves as belief degree for diagnostic condition assessment. Further, evidential reasoning rule is utilized to fuse the predicted probability distributions based on the weights which obtained from model belief degree.
Case studies have demonstrated that compared to traditional machine learning algorithms, the proposed model achieves higher diagnostic accuracy and result reliability for micro-fault issues under varying operational conditions.
The contributions of this study can be summarized as follows:
1.
Multi-residual neural network structure was proposed to deep extract and classify the micro faults based on the spectrum diagram;
2.
Diagnostic condition assessment and diagnostic category assessment mechanism were conducted by using ER Rule based on the models’ relative credibility.

Author Contributions

Conceptualization, A.Z. and G.H.; methodology, A.Z. and G.H.; software, A.Z.; validation, A.Z.; formal analysis, A.Z. and L.T.; investigation, L.T.; resources, A.Z. and L.T.; data curation, L.T.; writing—original draft preparation, A.Z.; writing—review and editing, G.H.; visualization, L.T.; supervision, G.H.; project administration, G.H.; funding acquisition, G.H. All authors have read and agreed to the published version of the manuscript.

Funding

This work is supported partly by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant No. 62273113), the Central Guiding Local Science and Technology Development fund project (Grant No. 2024ZYZX4027).

Institutional Review Board Statement

Not applicable.

Informed Consent Statement

Not applicable.

Data Availability Statement

The data that support the findings of this study were derived from the following resources available in the public domain: [Case Western Reserve University Bearing Data Center Website, URLs:https://engineering.case.edu/bearingdatacenter/welcome].

Conflicts of Interest

The authors declare no conflicts of interest.

Abbreviations

The following abbreviations are used in this manuscript:
ER Rule Evidence Reasoning Rule
ResNet Residual Network
STFT Short-Time Fourier Transform
BP Back Propagation network
RBF Radial Basis Function network
SVM Support Vector Machine
ES Expert System
UKF Unscented Kalman Filter
CFMDAS Car Failure and Malfunction Diagnosis Assistance System
OLA Online Approximator
ANN Artificial Neural Network
EMD Empirical Mode Decomposition
CWRU Case Western Reserve University
HP horsepower
RPM Revolutions Per Minute

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Figure 1. Residual module.
Figure 1. Residual module.
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Figure 2. Defect spectrum.
Figure 2. Defect spectrum.
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Figure 3. The structure of diagnostic model based on resnet network and ER rule.
Figure 3. The structure of diagnostic model based on resnet network and ER rule.
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Figure 4. The correct rate of the resnet67 model -1∼4.
Figure 4. The correct rate of the resnet67 model -1∼4.
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Figure 5. The loss value of the resnet67 model-1∼4.
Figure 5. The loss value of the resnet67 model-1∼4.
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Figure 6. The diagnostic reasoning of diagnostic model on the test set.
Figure 6. The diagnostic reasoning of diagnostic model on the test set.
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Figure 7. The diagnostic reasoning of multi-resnet67-ER rule model and other models.
Figure 7. The diagnostic reasoning of multi-resnet67-ER rule model and other models.
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Table 2. The parameters of the diagnostic model.
Table 2. The parameters of the diagnostic model.
Residual Unit Output Size Network Layer Parameters Unit Number Sub-Model NUMBER
- 112×112 7×7 conv, 64/2 1 4
- 56×56 3×3 max pool, 64/2 1
unit_1 56×56 1×1, 64; 3×1, 64; 1×3, 64; 1×1, 256 2
unit_1 56×56 1×1, 64; 3×1, 64; 1×3, 64/2; 1×1, 256 1
unit_2 28×28 1×1, 128; 3×1, 128; 1×3, 128; 1×1, 512 3
unit_2 28×28 1×1, 128; 3×1, 128; 1×3, 128/2; 1×1, 512 1
unit_3 14×14 1×1, 256; 3×1, 256; 1×3, 256; 1×1, 1024 5
unit_3 14×14 1×1, 256; 3×1, 256; 1×3, 256/2; 1×1, 1024 1
unit_4 7×7 1×1, 512; 3×1, 512; 1×3, 512; 1×1, 2048 2
unit_4 7×7 1×1, 512; 3×1, 512; 1×3, 512/2; 1×1, 2048 1
1×7×2 1×1 7×7 mean pool, 2048 1
1×7×2 - 4 fc, Softmax 1
ER Rule 1
Table 3. The correct rate of the model in the training set and test set.
Table 3. The correct rate of the model in the training set and test set.
Model Training Set Test Set
Multi-resnet-67+ER Rule 0.9916 0.9734
Wavelet packet+ BP 0.9772 0.9646
Wavelet packet+ RBF 0.9706 0.9553
Wavelet packet +SVM 0.9634 0.9521
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