Towards Predictability of Dominant Cognitive Biases: Intersection of Cultural, Generational, and Psychological Models

Cognitive biases are evolutionarily adaptive mental shortcuts rooted in automatic processing, yet their expression varies widely across individuals due to differences in personality structure, cultural communication patterns, and generational socialization. Drawing on research in behavioral psychology, cognitive science, organizational behavior, and cross-cultural communication, this paper presents an integrated framework for predicting dominant cognitive biases by combining three complementary models: Kahler’s process communication model, Lewis’s cultural communication model, and Strauss and Howe’ generational cohort theory. The study outlines the design of an 11-item instrument grounded in these frameworks and evaluates its preliminary validity, reliability and perceived accuracy. By identifying how psychological, cultural, and temporal factors shape bias tendencies, the model offers insight into how individuals interpret organizational purpose, challenge assumptions, and adapt their decision-making in uncertain environments. This predictive approach also supports talent mapping, and the formation of cognitively diverse teams, which strengthen strategic adaptability, and contribute to more effective and inclusive organizational practices.