3. Long-Term Psychological Consequences in Ukraine
While the immediate psychological toll of war is often visible in symptoms of acute stress, the long-term consequences for civilians exposed to protracted conflict are far more insidious and enduring. In Ukraine, where civilians have lived under direct or ambient threat for over two years since Russia’s full-scale invasion, the mental health burden is now shifting from short-term distress toward chronic, often disabling psychiatric conditions. These include post-traumatic stress disorder (PTSD), major depressive disorder (MDD), complex PTSD (C-PTSD), prolonged grief disorder, and a wide range of trauma-related somatic complaints. Emerging research suggests that these conditions are not limited to individuals directly injured or displaced, but are manifesting throughout the population, among survivors, caregivers, first responders, and children, often in intersecting and compounding ways.
As of late 2024, the Ukrainian Ministry of Health and WHO estimate that over 15 million people will require psychological assistance during and after the war (WHO & Ministry of Health of Ukraine, 2023). This includes not only acute treatment but long-term mental healthcare infrastructure capable of addressing trauma’s complex aftermath. However, the gap between need and capacity remains stark. Many regions still lack psychiatric staff, trained counselors, or functional community mental health services. This shortage is especially dangerous given the well-documented evolution of war-related psychological symptoms: if left untreated, acute stress reactions often crystallize into long-term disorders that impair emotional regulation, cognitive functioning, interpersonal relationships, and occupational capacity (Charlson et al., 2019; Javanbakht, 2024).
Among the most concerning trends is the growing prevalence of complex PTSD (C-PTSD), particularly among internally displaced persons and civilians living under repeated bombardment. Unlike classic PTSD, C-PTSD involves prolonged exposure to trauma without possibility of escape or safe recovery. It is characterized by pervasive emotional dysregulation, deep-rooted mistrust, chronic emptiness, and a disrupted sense of self. Mental health professionals working in Dnipro and Khmelnytskyi have reported growing numbers of patients with such symptoms, especially those who experienced siege conditions, repeated displacement, or loss of family members. Many describe intrusive memories not only of specific events but of entire periods of their lives being saturated with terror, uncertainty, and moral confusion.
Children, once again, face particularly alarming risks. Psychologists emphasize that trauma in early developmental periods often leads to long-term cognitive, emotional, and behavioral impairments if not properly addressed. UNICEF (2023) reports that many Ukrainian children exposed to chronic stress since 2022 are exhibiting signs of developmental delay, learning difficulties, and impaired emotional regulation. These effects are intensified by disrupted education, lack of routine, and parental unavailability, either due to absence, mental health issues, or war-related death. As Bayer (2024) notes, “infrastructure collapse is not only physical, it severs the intergenerational transmission of stability, predictability, and trust” (p. 430). For many children in Ukraine, the long-term consequences of trauma are being shaped as much by broken institutions as by violent events themselves.
In addition to psychiatric disorders, war-exposed civilians are also exhibiting long-term somatic expressions of trauma: chronic pain, fatigue, gastrointestinal disorders, and immune dysregulation. This mind-body overlap is well documented in the trauma literature, where unresolved psychological injury manifests through persistent physical symptoms in the absence of clear organic pathology (Frie & Fuchs, 2024). In rural clinics across Ukraine, general practitioners are seeing a surge in such presentations, which often go unrecognized as trauma-related, leading to misdiagnosis or overmedication. Without psychosocial integration, these conditions risk becoming entrenched in primary care without ever being properly treated.
Long-term mental harm is not simply a clinical trajectory, it is also a political and structural phenomenon. As Solomon and Bayer (2023) argue, war trauma is compounded by inequity, legal invisibility, and institutional neglect. “When civilian trauma is not acknowledged, addressed, or compensated by the state,” they write, “it lingers in legal and social silence, transforming into intergenerational harm and political alienation” (p. 541). This is particularly relevant for groups already marginalized before the war: ethnic minorities, people with disabilities, LGBTQ+ civilians, and residents of underdeveloped regions. For these groups, the lack of targeted mental health intervention not only prolongs suffering, but reinforces existing patterns of social exclusion.
In occupied or formerly occupied regions, long-term trauma is often compounded by experiences of humiliation, betrayal, and moral injury. Civilians forced to collaborate, remain silent, or witness atrocities under duress may suffer from guilt, shame, and deep identity disruption long after hostilities end. These experiences resist simple clinical categorization, yet they form a central component of post-war mental health needs. As Ukrainian society confronts its post-war identity, such invisible wounds will need to be integrated into narratives of recovery and justice.
Another long-term consequence lies in the intergenerational transmission of trauma. Children of war survivors often exhibit increased rates of anxiety, hypervigilance, and emotional dysregulation, even in the absence of direct trauma exposure. These patterns, well-documented in post-Holocaust and post-genocide populations, are beginning to emerge in Ukraine as families attempt to rebuild amidst loss, uncertainty, and chronic dysregulation (Yehuda & Lehrner, 2018). Without sustained mental health support in schools and communities, trauma will become a durable feature of Ukraine’s social fabric, not just a legacy of war, but a condition of peacetime.
In sum, the long-term psychological effects of the war in Ukraine are broad, multilayered, and deeply embedded in the country’s social, institutional, and developmental fabric. They extend beyond PTSD to include complex trauma, social isolation, somatic illness, and the silent transmission of suffering between generations. Any effective response will require not only clinical resources, but a justice-oriented public health framework that acknowledges the social stratification of trauma and provides targeted, sustained support for the most affected populations. As Bayer (2024) aptly concludes, “trauma may begin with violence, but it is sustained by the structures that fail to repair it” (p. 437).