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CO2 Fertilization Effect Offset the Vegetation GPP Losses of Woodland Ecosystems Due to Surface O3 Damage in China

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19 June 2025

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20 June 2025

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Abstract
Air pollution and climate change are a growing threat to terrestrial woodland ecosystems. Extensive research in China has focused on single environmental factors, such as ozone, carbon dioxide, and climate change, but the multifactor interactions are poorly known. Here, we coupled the interactions of climate change, elevated CO2 concentration, and increasing O3 into the BEPS_O3 model. The GPP simulated by the BEPS_O3 is verified at site scale by using the eddy covariance (EC) derived GPP data in China. We then investigated the impact of ozone and CO2 fertilization on woodland ecosystem gross primary production(GPP) in the context of climate change during 2001-2020 over China. The results of multi-scenario simulations indicate that the GPP of woodland ecosystems will increase by 1-5% due to elevated CO2. However, increased ozone pollution will result in a GPP loss of approximately 8-9%. In the historical climate, under the combined effects of CO2 and O3, the effect of ozone on GPP will be mitigated by CO2 to 4-7%. In most areas, the effect of ozone on woodland ecosystems is higher than that of CO2 on vegetation photosynthesis, but CO2 gradually counteracts the effect of ozone on the ecosystem. Our simulation study provides a new way of thinking about assessing the interactive responses to climate change, and advances our understanding of the interactions of global change agents over time. In addition, the comparison of individual and combined models will provide an important basis for national emission reduction strategies as well as O3 regulation and climate adaptation in different regions.
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1. Introduction

Tropospheric ozone (O3) is the most damaging air pollutant for plants (Fares et al., 2012; Wedow et al., 2021). Ozone damages ecosystem vegetation carbon sequestration, carbon allocation, nutrient supply, biodiversity and other aspects (Grulke and Heath, 2019; Li et al., 2016). As plants play a vital role in regulating the ambient environment, ozone-induced damage in plants may further accelerate environmental degradation, with severe consequences for human and ecosystem health. The few studies that have considered the effects of ozone on the carbon cycle still lack simulations of the interaction of ozone with various global change factors. As a result, we know little about the interaction of multiple global change factors on ecosystem carbon cycle.
The interaction mechanism of global change factors is very complex. Climate change affects the carbon cycle of terrestrial ecosystems directly or indirectly by changing temperature, precipitation and other factors (Hao et al., 2019; Hu et al., 2021; Liu et al., 2022; Xie et al., 2020; Xuejuan et al., 2017). CO2 fertilization not only increases the photosynthetic rate of plants but also reduces the risk of drought by reducing stomatal conductance (Jarvis, 1976; Schimel et al., 2015). Many previous studies have reported that CO2 fertilization offsets the possible negative effects of climate change (Porter et al., 2014). It is because the effect of CO2 fertilization increases the leaf intercellular concentration of carbon dioxide and stimulates the photosynthesis of plants (Haworth et al., 2023; Johansson et al., 2020). Although the fossil record and experiments showed that high concentrations of CO2 reduce stomatal pore size and total stomatal number per unit leaf area, this reduction in stomatal conductance does not affect the high intercellular CO2 concentration during vegetation photosynthesis, which is even higher than predicted by most models (Engineer et al., 2016; Azoulay Shemer et al., 2015; Keenan et al., 2013). However, emissions of CO2 are usually accompanied by O3 precursors, which have driven a rise in tropospheric ozone ([O3]) (IPCC, 2014). O3 forms reactive oxygen species (ROS) within cells, causing damage to plant tissues and reduced photosynthesis (Saxena et al., 2019; Pellegrini et al., 2019; Zapletal et al.,2018). In addition, ozone exposure altered the content of abscisic acid and K+ ions in plant stomatal cells, causing expansion pressure and abnormal signaling in plant guard cells (Calatayud et al.,2011; Paoletti and Grulke, 2005). Ozone disrupts plant photosynthesis, reduces gas exchange, induces early leaf senescence, and inhibits the growth of natural vegetation and crops (Feng et al., 2011; Fusaro et al., 2017; Hayes et al., 2021; Leung et al., 2020; Li et al., 2022; Li et al., 2022; Seltzer et al., 2020; Tai et al., 2014). It can be seen that the effects of [CO2] and [O3] on plants are very complex, although some scholars believe that the increase of [CO2] can reduce the impact of [O3] on vegetation(Tao et al., 2017).However, few models take the synergistic effects of CO2, O3 climate change and other factors into consideration in the simulation (Tai et al., 2021). Because the effects of different factors on vegetation are very complicated, it is difficult to express them by simple functions. The process-based ecosystem models considering process can help us understand the response and adaptation of vegetation under the influence of global change factors by simulating the physiological change process of vegetation and output intermediate variables (Mo et al., 2018; Feng et al., 2007). Therefore, it is necessary to consider multifactor modeling and reveal the interaction of global change factors based on the model.
In China, studies based on multiple variability factors have mostly focused on the effects of O3 and CO2 changes on crop yields (Tao et al., 2017), and research on carbon sinks in terrestrial ecosystems is lacking (Ren et al., 2007; Tian et al., 2011). (Ren et al., 2007; Ren et al., 2011) simulated the net primary productivity (NPP) and net carbon exchange (NCE) of terrestrial ecosystems in China and showed that the rise of O3 led to a 7.7% decrease in carbon storage in China and an average 4.5% decrease in national NPP. NCE (Pg C yr-1) decreases by 0.4-43.1% for different forest types, and carbon dioxide and nitrogen deposition will offset the damage to ecosystem productivity caused by ozone and climate change. With the increase in atmospheric emissions, the concentrations of CO2 and O3 are increasing. Given the response of vegetation to changing atmospheric conditions, previous findings may no longer be relevant in the current climate. It is necessary and urgent to simulate the carbon sink of terrestrial ecosystems with multifactor interactions. Revealing the interaction mechanism of multiple factors will help us understand the changing trend of terrestrial ecosystem productivity under future climate change.
In this study, we quantify the impacts of different global change factors on the ecosystem carbon cycle through the comparison of multi-scenario models, and try to find out the mechanism of their interaction. Therefore, the BEPS model was used to (1) calculate the GPP of woodland ecosystems in China under different scenarios from 2001 to 2020; (2) calculate the influence of ozone and different factors on GPP by comparing different scenarios; and (3) explore the interaction mechanism of different global change factors.

2. Materials and Methods

2.1. Model Description

The boreal ecosystem productivity simulator (BEPS) is a process-based ecosystem model with half-hourly time steps developed by Liu and (Chen et al., 1999). The model consists of an energy transfer module, carbon cycle module, water cycle module and physiological regulation module. The two-leaf enzyme kinetic terrestrial ecosystem model included a module for leaf photosynthesis and stomatal conductance calculations to simulate GPP in the BEPS model (Chen et al., 2019; Chen et al., 2012). In BEPS, the canopy-level GPP is simulated as follows (Chen et al., 1999):
G P P = A s u n L A I s u n + A s h L A I s h
where A is the leaf-level net photosynthesis rate (u mol/m2 s). The sunlit LAI (LAIsun) and shaded LAI (LAIsh) are calculated as follows (Chen et al., 1999):
L A I s u n = 2 c o s θ 1 e 0.5 Ω L / c o s θ
L A I s h = L L A I s u n
where θ is the solar zenith angle and L is the leaf area index (m2 m-2).
Following (Farquhar et al., 1982), the net carboxylation rate at the leaf level is calculated as the minimum of
A c , i = V c   m a x C c , i Г i * C c , i + K c 1 + O c , i / K o
and
A j , i = J C c , i Г i * 4 C c , i + 2 Г i *
where Ac,i and Aj,i are Rubiso-limited and RuBP-limited gross photosynthesis rates (μ mol/m2 s), respectively. Vcmax is the maximum carboxylation rate (μ mol/m2 s); J is the electron transport rate (μ mol/m2 s); Cc,i and Oc,i are the intercellular CO2 and O2 mole fractions (mol/mol, respectively); Г i * is the CO2 compensation point without dark respiration (mol/mol; Kc and Ko are Michaelis–Menten constants for CO2 and O2 (mol/mol), respectively.
To assess the effects of ozone on vegetation productivity, the photosynthesis module in the BEPS model was improved (ANAV et al., 2011; Anav et al., 2018; Oliver et al., 2018; Sitch et al., 2007).
A = A p F
where A is the photosynthetic rate affected by ozone, Ap is the original photosynthetic rate, and F represents the fractional reduction in plant production, which was calculated based on the PODy flux index. F can be expressed as:
F = 1 α P O D y
where PODy is the instantaneous leaf uptake of O3 over a vegetation-specific threshold, y, in nmol/m2 s. The fractional reduction in photosynthesis with O3 uptake by leaves is represented by the vegetation type-specific parameter, α. (Table 1), and PODy can be expressed as
P O D y = O 3 R + K O 3 g
where R is the aerodynamic and boundary layer resistance between the leaf surface and reference level (s/m), g is the leaf conductance for H2O (m/s), and kO3=1.67 is the ratio of leaf resistance for O3 to leaf resistance for water vapor. The final PODy is calculated by the two-leaf model at the leaf scale and then scaled to the canopy level. The NPP of vegetation is generally expressed as the difference between GPP and autotrophic respiration:
N P P = G P P R a
R a = R g + R h
The autotrophic respiration (Ra) of vegetation is divided into two parts: respiration for growth (Rg) and respiration for maintenance of basic metabolism (Rh). Respiration for growth (Rg) is generally considered to be 20% of GPP, and respiration for basal metabolism (Rh) is temperature dependent.

2.2. Data Sources

2.2.1. Gridded Meteorological Data

The hourly gridded reanalysis meteorological data (ERA5) were downloaded from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) (10.24381/cds.e2161bac) and included air temperature, precipitation, wind speed, humidity ratio, downward solar radiation and ozone concentration. ERA5 is based on the Integrated Forecasting System (IFS) Cy41r2, which was operational in 2016. ERA5 thus benefits from a decade of developments in model physics, core dynamics and data assimilation (Hersbach et al., 2020). In addition to a significantly enhanced horizontal resolution of 31 km, compared to 80 km for ERA-Interim, ERA5 has hourly output throughout and an uncertainty estimate from an ensemble (3-hourly at half the horizontal resolution) (Bell et al., 2021). The gridded meteorological data are at 0.25° spatial resolution, and they were resampled to 0.1° spatial resolution in this study by bilinear interpolation.

2.2.2. China-Wide LAI Map

The LAI data were retrieved from the GLOBMAP leaf area index (LAI) dataset (Version 3), which can be downloaded from the Zenodo website (https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.4700264) (Liu et al., 2012). The GLOBMAP LAI was a consistent long-term global LAI product (1981–2020) derived by quantitative fusion of Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) and historical Advanced Very High Resolution Radiometer (AVHRR) data. The GLOBMAP LAI dataset has been validated with field measurements, which have an error of 0.81 LAI on average (Liu et al., 2012). The LAI data were resampled from 8 km to 0.1° spatial resolution in this study.

2.2.3. Land Cover Map

The land cover map was obtained from the National Earth System Science Data Center (http://www.geodata.cn/) by (Bo et al., 2014). The vegetation cover of China has been divided into 38 types, and we reclassified the land cover map into seven vegetation types, including evergreen needleleaf forest (ENF), deciduous needleleaf forest (DNF), deciduous broadleaf forest (DBF), evergreen broadleaf forest (EBF), mixed forest (MIX) and shrub (Fig. 1). Considering the differences in the sensitivity of temperate and subtropical plants to ozone, we distinguished between subtropical and temperate vegetation. In this study, we did not consider the change in land use, so only the land cover map drawn in 2000 was used.

2.2.4. Site Verification

Three flux sites were used to validate the GPP simulated by the BEPS_O3 model. The three stations are HaiBei Station (shrub-HBG), Changbaishan Station (conifer-CBS) and Dinghushan Station (hardleaf -DHS). GPP data for all three sites came from ChinaFlux. Figure 1 shows the locations of the three sites, and Table 1 shows the basic information about the three sites.

2.3. Simulation Protocol

The validated BEPS_O3 model was applied to simulate the interaction effects of climate change, [CO2] and [O3] on the GPP of woodland ecosystems during 2001-2020. Through model simulation experiments, the interactive effects of [CO2] and [O3] on the woodland ecosystem GPP under the background of historical climate change were studied. The relative effects of climate change, [CO2] and [O3] on the woodland ecosystem GPP were also clarified. As a model simulation experiment scheme (Table 2), (E1) studied productivity under historical climate change conditions. Model simulation Experiment 2 (E2) studied productivity under historical climate, [O3] and [CO2] conditions. Model simulation Experiment 3 (E3) studied productivity under historical O3 and climatic conditions. Model simulation Experiment 4 (E4) examined productivity under historical climatic conditions and CO2 conditions.
By comparing E1 and E2, the comprehensive effects of past climate change, carbon dioxide and ozone on vegetation can be obtained. The combined effects of ozone and climate change on vegetation can be obtained by comparing E1 and E3. The combined effects of carbon dioxide fertilization and climate change on vegetation can be obtained by comparing E1 and E4. The separate effects of ozone on vegetation can be determined by comparing E2 and E4.
In scenarios E1 and E3, we used the fixed CO2 concentration in 2001 as the CO2 input data of the model.

2.4. Causality Analysis-SURD

The SURD analysis method was used for the simulation results. SURD is a component that decomposes causal relationships into collaborative relationships, uniqueness, and redundancy(Martínez-Sánchez et al., 2024). SURD quantifies causality as the increments of redundant(R), unique(U), and synergistic(S) information gained about future events from past observations. It is conducive to exploring the influence process of factors such as ozone-meteorological factors and carbon dioxide on the productivity of the woodland ecosystem over a long time series.
The original SURD component was only used for analyzing the site. The SURD component was compiled based on Python to be used for temporal causal analysis of region-scale raster data. The time series of each meteorological variable is constructed in a single grid to analyze the causal relationship between GPP. In result presentation, since each variable will generate R, U and S causal relationships with other variables, fully presenting the causal relationships of the data is a huge and complex process.
This study focuses on demonstrating the causal relationship between O3 and CO2 and GPP. Firstlly, obtain the causal relationship analysis of all variables through SURD; Secondly, split into R, U and S relationships; Thirdly, extract the variable combinations with the maximum values in R, U and S respectively to determine whether the ids corresponding to CO2 and O3 exist among them. If ids exist, pass out the values. The causal relationship of the specified variable is presented through filtering, eliminating the complex process of plotting and data filtering.

3. Result

3.1. Site Verification of the GPP Simulated by the BEPS_O3 Model

For information about parameter acquisition and parameter verification, see the supplementary materials section. Based on limited site data, we verify the GPP simulated by the BEPS_O3 model at the site scale. Validation results are mainly from previous studies (Wang et al., 2023). We obtained GPP observational flux data from ChinaFlux at HaiBei Station (shrub-HBG), Changbaishan Station (conifer-CBS) and Dinghushan Station (hardleaf -DHS) to verify the simulation results of the model (Figure S1, Figure S2). The results of GPP simulated by BEPS_O3 are similar to GPP simulated by BEPS model at site scale, but still show a slight improvement. Especially in summer, it restrains the overestimation of GPP. At Haibei Station (HBG), BEPS_O3 decreased the slope from 1.26 to 1.05, R2 increased by 0.02, and RMSE decreased by 0.26. Although both models underestimated GPP at Dinghushan Station (DHS), BEPS_O3 reduced the intercept from 2.3 to 1.2. The improvement at Changbaishan (CBS) was demonstrated by a decrease in slope and 0.01 increase in R2. The BEPS_O3 model shows good correlation with GPP at the site scale and can reflect the seasonal variation in GPP.

3.2. Individual and Synergistic Effects of Climate Change, CO2 and O3

Daytime ozone concentrations have maintained a gradual increasing trend over the past two decades (we averaged the ozone concentrations for all periods with radiation greater than 50 w/m2 per hour step per day for each grid to find the annual average time distribution of ozone concentrations) (Figure S3). The average ozone concentration in the study area increased from 62 ppb in the 2001s (2001-2010) to 65 ppb in the 2010s (2010-2020). The Qinghai-Tibet Plateau and northern regions showed the largest increase in ozone concentration, with the eastern coastal region increasing by approximately 6% and the southwestern region by approximately 2%. Changes in atmospheric CO2 concentrations are derived from IPCC historical CO2 concentration data, with mean CO2 concentrations increasing from 371 ppm in 2000 to 412 ppm in 2020 (Figure S4). Under the historical climate change scenario, compared with the 2001s the average daily temperature in the 2010s will generally increase by 0.5-2 ℃, and the radiation will change by -2.5-3%, relative humidity by -1-3.8%, and precipitation by -40-50% (Figure S5).
In the historical climate change scenario, excluding the effects of [O3] and [CO2], climate change will lead to a -10-20% change in forest GPP. The forest GPP showed a downward trend in some subtropical regions, while the other regions showed an increase in GPP. Under historical climate conditions, the GPP loss caused by single [O3] is approximately 0-22%, and the synergistic effect of [O3] and [CO2] is relatively small, approximately 0-18%, which is 2-4% smaller than the effect of single [O3] in the study area (Figure 2c, d). With the increase in ozone concentration, the GPP loss under the influence of single [O3] was 1.9-13.2% in the 2001s and 1.9-11.9% in the 2010s (Figure S6). The GPP loss under the synergistic action of [O3] and [CO2] is 3.1-17% and 3.2-15%, respectively. CO2 mitigated the effect of O3 to a certain extent. The effect of O3 on the ecosystem may be greater than the GPP gain of the forest ecosystem caused by CO2 fertilization (Figure. S7).
As the BEPS_O3 model is a process model driven by remote sensing data, the leaf area index (LAI), as input data, includes the promoting effect of climate change and some carbon dioxide fertilization on vegetation (Chen et al., 2007; Li et al., 2018). Therefore, we cannot obtain the impact of climate change on GPP by comparing the 2001s and 2010s GPP. However, it is still possible to calculate the synergistic effects of climate change and other factors on vegetation. The synergistic effect of [O3] and climate change will lead to more severe GPP reductions across the study area, with average annual GPP losses in the 2010s higher than those in the 2001s (0.9% and 1%). [CO2] and climate change significantly increased forest GPP by 1% and 5%, respectively. Under the synergistic effect of [O3], [CO2] and climate change, the effect of [O3] offset the enhancement of [CO2] on photosynthesis and still led to the decline in GPP, but the elevated [CO2] mitigated the loss of GPP caused by [O3] to a large extent (Figure 3).
Overall, although the GPP loss rate caused by ozone pollution from 2001-2020 decreased, the GPP loss amount showed an increasing trend. This may be due to the overall increase in the total amount of GPP between 2001 and 2020.In terms of regional variation, GPP changes caused by [O3] and [CO2] are controlled by climate. Subtropical regions are rich in temperature and precipitation, and vegetation is mainly limited to [CO2] and [O3]. The single effect of [O3] and [CO2] has a great influence in regions with abundant precipitation and high temperature. The stomatal conductance of vegetation in northern China is limited by temperature and precipitation, and ozone uptake is low. Thus, the synergistic effect of [O3] and [CO2] still shows an increase in GPP (Launiainen et al., 2022).

4. Discussion

4.1. The Synergistic Effect of O3 and CO2

Based on the previous statistical results, we found that there is a significant difference between [CO2] and [O3] on woodland GPP singly and in combination. Woodland GPP showed a significant upward trend under the synergistic action of climate and [CO2]. This is because the promotion of vegetation photosynthesis by [CO2] increases forest GPP, and this effect continues to increase with increasing CO2 (Sun 2019; Piao 2013; Zhu, 2017). The effect of CO2 fertilization increases GPP by 1-5% over 20 years, which is close to the results of Piao et al. (2013) based on multiple model comparisons. In contrast, observations based on global carbon flux sites (0.138 ± 0.007% ppm−1; percentile per rising ppm of CO2) were slightly higher than those in our study (Ueyama et al., 2020). This may be because the input LAI recorded the increase in vegetation leaf area caused by the CO2 fertilization effect.
Without considering the elevated [CO2], the GPP loss caused by [O3] and climate change showed a slow increasing trend, while the loss rate showed a slow decrease. This is consistent with the findings of Sitch (2007) and Oliver (2018). O3 concentrations have increased over the past 20 years, but mainly in temperate regions of China. Woodland in temperate areas may be stressed by drought, O3 and other factors at the same time, and the decrease in stomatal conductance caused by drought stress may limit ozone uptake by vegetation (Otu-Larbi et al., 2020; Ren et al., 2007).
In contrast, the synergistic effect of [CO2] and [O3] on GPP decreased more slowly. After 2006, the loss of GPP caused by [O3] alone exceeded the loss of GPP caused by the synergistic action of [O3] and [CO2] (Figure 4). Therefore, we compared the mean ozone uptake by vegetation stomata under single [O3] and [CO2+O3] scenarios (Figure S10a). With the increase in CO2 concentration, ozone uptake by vegetation stomata gradually decreased (Figure S8b). This indicates that the synergistic effect of [CO2] and [O3] may cause a decrease in canopy conductance and prevent O3 uptake by vegetation stomata (Engineer et al., 2016; Keenan et al., 2013; Tao et al., 2017). Field observation experiments have proven the adaptability of vegetation photosynthesis to the increase in CO2, and the change in stomatal conductance cannot affect the intercellular CO2 concentration of vegetation, but the adaptation of stomata to [CO2] has not been found (Ainsworth and Long, 2005; Azoulay Shemer et al., 2015). This result is supported by Oliver et al. (2018), whose estimates of GPP in European ecosystems demonstrate that elevated [CO2] offsets [O3] damage to GPP. The studies of Tao (2017) and Tai (2021) on crop yield also reached a similar conclusion. Although the damage of [O3] on ecosystem GPP was greater than the gain of the CO2 fertilization effect on the ecosystem, CO2 gradually weakened the effect of ozone.
The results of causal analysis also well reveal the synergistic effect of O3 and CO2, as shown in Figure 5. Most forest areas show a synergistic effect of O3 and CO2, some areas show a redundant effect of CO2 and O3, and only a few grids show uniqueness. This indicates that among the combination of meteorological factors that have the greatest impact on GPP, CO2 and O3 play a major role. Although subtropical regions are affected by ozone pollution, the better water and heat conditions result in the fact that the impact of ozone on GPP is not obvious. Therefore, the redundant effects of O3 and CO2 on GPP are mainly concentrated in subtropical regions. With the changes of water and heat conditions, O3 and CO2 show obvious synergistic regulatory effects in temperate regions.

4.2. Discussion on the Synergistic Mechanism of O3 and CO2

The effect of CO2 fertilization was mainly caused by the higher affinity of Rubisco for CO2. Because lacking of the CO2 concentration mechanism C3 plant cells, more photorespiration products were invested in the production of Rubisco (Tcherkez et al., 2006; Ainsworth and Rogers, 2007), as [CO2] rises, control of Asat by Rubisco (Vcmax) decreases and control by the capacity for RubP regeneration (Jmax) increases (Long et al., 2006). Rubisco is usually fully active and carbamylated at current [CO2] under steady-state high light conditions (Portis, 2003; VON Caemmerer, 2003). As [CO2] increases, carbon fixation increases; there is an increasing demand for ATP (required for RubP regeneration), and control of photosynthesis shifts from being limited by Rubisco to being limited by the capacity for RubP regeneration (Long and Drake 1992; von Caemmerer and Quick 2000). Succinctly, when the supply of photosynthate from chloroplasts exceeds the capacity for export and utilization by sink tissue, the imbalance in supply and demand is sensed in mesophyll cells by a mechanism that possibly involves hexokinase acting as a flux sensor (Ainsworth and Rogers, 2007; Long et al., 2004). It further leads to the decrease of stomatal conductance and the saturation of photosynthesis. However, the CO2 concentration in most areas is not enough to reach the maximum limit of Rubisco, so the increase of CO2 decreases the stomatal conductance while still enhancing the photosynthesis of vegetation.
Generally, the increase of O3 decreased the content of Rubisco enzyme and nitrogen per unit area. It led to the decrease of Vcmax and Jmax and affect the change of stomatal conductance of vegetation (Goumenaki et al., 2010). The decrease in stomatal conductance of plants leads to a decrease in ozone absorption, preventing plants from being further affected by ozone. recently, some studies have shown that mesophyll conductance may be more significant than stomatal conductance. Ma (2022) et al., based on fumigation experiments, found that ozone significantly reduced the mesophyll conductance of four woody plants, but did not significantly reduce the stomatal conductance of all species. Therefore, the decrease of mesophyll conductance of ozone-controlled plants may be the main reason for the decrease of photosynthesis. However, the reciprocal mesophyll conductance (gm) of CO2 resistance during its propagation from cellular interstitium to photosynthetic carboxylation site is similar to stomatal conductance (Flexas et al.,2008; Flexas et al.,2012). We believe that ozone reduces mesophyll conductance while reducing stomatal conductance, thus reducing the propagation resistance of CO2 in cells. Though, this explanation lacks more solid physiological evidence, it gives us a very important implication that ignoring the Vcmax and Jmax estimated by gm will accumulate the negative effect of O3 on gm on its effect on photosynthetic biochemical capacity (Ma et al.,2022). In addition, gm is a key parameter of photosynthesis models, and its inclusion in vegetation models can significantly improve the simulation accuracy of carbon and water fluxes (Knauer et al., 2019).
A number of studies have indicated that using well-validated ecophysiological mechanism models to assess surface-atmosphere feedbacks is a better and more relevant approach (Anav et al., 2012; Anav et al., 2018; Tao et al., 2017), although it is challenging and requires further development. In addition, we also emphasize the careful consideration of model coupling using environmental factor feedback. For example, Oliver et al. (2018) showed that although CO2 fertilization effects are ubiquitous in global terrestrial ecosystems, the protective effect of CO2 on O3 damage to all species at all growth stages cannot be assumed under a wide range of environmental conditions. In addition, in our study, the leaf area index, as the input data, greatly affects the carbon allocation of vegetation, which leads to the possible underestimation of the model when responding to climate change. To further improve the modeling system, we need to continue to refine the species parameter base of the model and refine the physiological process of surface-atmosphere feedback by collecting more observational experiments.

5. Conclusion

In this study, climate change, CO2 and O3 are integrated into the ecological process model. The single and combined effects of [CO2] and [O3] on the GPP of woodland ecosystems in China under historical climate change scenarios were investigated by model setting. Our results suggest that CO2 fertilization is widespread and increasing in woodland ecosystems in China. While ozone damage may currently outweigh the gains of carbon dioxide to forest productivity, rising carbon dioxide and climate change are gradually reducing ozone damage to woodland. Particularly in boreal forest areas, where ozone concentrations are low, there has been a significant increase in GPP. However, simply reducing carbon dioxide emissions could still cause a sustained increase in O3 damage. This study demonstrates the superiority of ecological process models for assessing the interactive responses to climate change. The importance of considering multiple factors in simulation research is emphasized. In addition, the comparison of individual and combined models will provide an important basis for national emission reduction strategies as well as O3 regulation and climate adaptation in different regions.

Supplementary Materials

The following supporting information can be downloaded at the website of this paper posted on Preprints.org.

CRediT

Qinyi Wang: Conceptualization, Software, Writing - Original draft preparation; Shaoqiang Wang: Writing - Review and Editing, Supervision, Project administration; Zhenhai Liu: Software, Validation, Data Curation; Shiliang Chen: Validation, Data Curation; Tingyu Li: Validation, Data Curation; Bin Chen: Review and Editing; Yuelin Li: Data Curation; Mei Huang: Writing - Review and Editing, Supervision, Project administration; Leigang Sun: Data Curation.

Acknowledgments

This study used eddy covariance data acquired and shared by ChinaFLUX, AsiaFlux and FLUXNET. The GLOBMAP-V3 LAI datasets and SoilGrids dataset are provided by Yang Liu and Tomislav Hengl. We greatly offer our profound appreciation to all the providers of the freely available data. This research was supported by Science and Technology Planning Project of Hebei Academy of Sciences (25103) and China University of Geosciences Fund (2019004).

Declaration of Competing Interest

The authors declare that they have no known competing financial interests or personal relationships that could have appeared to influence the work reported in this paper.

Open Research

The BEPS model (site scale) for the coupled ozone module used in this article can be downloaded at the following link. DOI: 10.6084/m9.figshare.25476388. Meteorological data are collected from ERA5_Land. DOI: 10.24381/cds.e2161bac. LAI dataset products can be downloaded from this link. https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.4700264. Due to the confidentiality of some data acquisition, observation flux data need to be obtained through the ChinaFlux website. Here are the links for data retrieval and application. http://www.chinaflux.org/general/index.aspx?nodeid=25.

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Figure 1. Land cover map and the climate zones. Seven vegetation types are described in the figure: evergreen coniferous forest (ENF), deciduous coniferous forest (DNF), deciduous broad-leaved forest (DBF), evergreen broad-leaved forest (EBF), mixed forest (Mix), and shrub (Shrub). Because of the difference in ozone sensitivity between northern and southern vegetation, we divided China into two regions: (I) subtropical zone (SUB), (II) temperate zone and Qinghai-Tibet Plateau.
Figure 1. Land cover map and the climate zones. Seven vegetation types are described in the figure: evergreen coniferous forest (ENF), deciduous coniferous forest (DNF), deciduous broad-leaved forest (DBF), evergreen broad-leaved forest (EBF), mixed forest (Mix), and shrub (Shrub). Because of the difference in ozone sensitivity between northern and southern vegetation, we divided China into two regions: (I) subtropical zone (SUB), (II) temperate zone and Qinghai-Tibet Plateau.
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Figure 2. Variation range of GPP in woodland ecosystems under different experimental models. a) The effect of [CO2] on GPP; b) The synergistic effect of [O3] and [CO2] on GPP; c) The effect of [O3] on GPP under the background of [CO2]; d) The effect of [O3] on GPP alone.
Figure 2. Variation range of GPP in woodland ecosystems under different experimental models. a) The effect of [CO2] on GPP; b) The synergistic effect of [O3] and [CO2] on GPP; c) The effect of [O3] on GPP under the background of [CO2]; d) The effect of [O3] on GPP alone.
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Figure 3. Single and combined effects of [CO2] and [O3] on the GPP of woodland ecosystems compared to climate change conditions. We divided woodland ecosystem GPP into two phases, 2001s (2001-2010) and 2010s (2010-2020), to show the trend of elevated [CO2] and [O3] over time scales.
Figure 3. Single and combined effects of [CO2] and [O3] on the GPP of woodland ecosystems compared to climate change conditions. We divided woodland ecosystem GPP into two phases, 2001s (2001-2010) and 2010s (2010-2020), to show the trend of elevated [CO2] and [O3] over time scales.
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Figure 4. Compared with the GPP in woodland ecosystems under climatic background, the interannual variation in GPP under the effects of single [O3] (red line) and the interannual variation in GPP under the combined effects of [O3] and [CO2] (yellow line). With the increase of CO2 concentration, the loss amount and loss rate of GPP gradually decrease in the yellow line.
Figure 4. Compared with the GPP in woodland ecosystems under climatic background, the interannual variation in GPP under the effects of single [O3] (red line) and the interannual variation in GPP under the combined effects of [O3] and [CO2] (yellow line). With the increase of CO2 concentration, the loss amount and loss rate of GPP gradually decrease in the yellow line.
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Figure 5. The SURD analysis results containing the two meteorological factors of CO2 and O3 simultaneously. Here, a) represents which of R, U, and S the maximum value in each grid belongs to. b), c), and d) respectively represent the grids of the maximum values of R, U, and S of the variable ids of CO2 and O3.
Figure 5. The SURD analysis results containing the two meteorological factors of CO2 and O3 simultaneously. Here, a) represents which of R, U, and S the maximum value in each grid belongs to. b), c), and d) respectively represent the grids of the maximum values of R, U, and S of the variable ids of CO2 and O3.
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Table 1. Basic information about three forest sites.
Table 1. Basic information about three forest sites.
Site name Site coordinates vegetation type Year of observation GPP
HaiBei 101.25N,37.6E Shrub 2009-2010
Changbaishan 128.1N,42.4E Conifer 2009-2010
Dinghushan 112.5N,23.5E Hardleaf 2016/2010
Table 2. Model simulation experiment protocol to investigate the interactive effects of climate change, [CO2] and [O3] on woodland GPP in 2001-2020.
Table 2. Model simulation experiment protocol to investigate the interactive effects of climate change, [CO2] and [O3] on woodland GPP in 2001-2020.
Experiment no. Climate History_O3 History_CO2
E1
E2
E3
E4
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