Submitted:
03 May 2025
Posted:
06 May 2025
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Abstract
Keywords:
1. Introduction
1.1. Background and Rationale
- Do opinion leaders still play a central role in mediating media effects?
- How have digital affordances, such as algorithmic gatekeeping and platform architectures, restructured information flows?
- What adaptations or alternative models are necessary to understand influence in the digital age?
1.2. Objectives and Structure
- Synthesize empirical research from 2005–2025 assessing the TSF theory in digital environments.
- Analyze the changing nature of opinion leadership and the structure of influence in digital media.
- Examine the application and testing of TSF in specific domains: politics, health, marketing, and misinformation.
- Critically evaluate the limitations of TSF and review complementary or alternative models.
- Provide a nuanced discussion and recommendations for future research.
2. The Original Two-Step Flow Theory and Early Critiques
2.1. Foundations of TSF
2.2. Early Critiques of TSF
- Oversimplification: Critics argued that communication flows are more complex than a simple two-step process, often involving multi-step, one-step, or networked flows (Robinson, 1976; Troldahl, 1966; Van den Ban, 1964).
- Fluidity of Opinion Leadership: The leader-follower dichotomy was seen as artificial and context-dependent; individuals could be leaders in one domain and followers in another (Lin, 1971).
- Underestimation of Direct Media Effects: The model was critiqued for downplaying the direct effects of media, especially in agenda-setting and awareness (McCombs & Shaw, 1972).
- Active Audiences: The portrayal of opinion followers as passive recipients was challenged by research emphasizing audience agency and independent interpretation (Bauer, 1964).
3. The Two-Step Flow Theory in the Digital Media Ecosystem
3.1. The Evolution of Opinion Leadership
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3.1.1. Traditional Opinion Leaders in Digital Spaces
3.1.2. The Rise of Digital Influencers
3.1.3. Networked and Algorithmic Leadership
3.2. Transformation of Influence Pathways
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3.2.1. Multi-Step and Networked Flows
3.2.2. One-Step and Direct Flows
3.2.3. Networked Flow and the Strength of Weak Ties
3.2.4. Echo Chambers and Filter Bubbles
3.3. Platform Architecture and Affordances
- Visibility and Social Metrics: Likes, shares, and follower counts provide visible social cues, amplifying perceived influence (Haim et al., 2018; van Dijck, 2013).
- Sharing Mechanisms: Features like retweets and shares accelerate diffusion and facilitate viral cascades (Guille et al., 2013; Kwak et al., 2010).
- Algorithmic Gatekeeping: Algorithms prioritize content based on engagement and user history, often amplifying certain voices while marginalizing others (Cotter et al., 2022).
- Context Collapse: Blurring of social contexts means messages intended for one group may reach unintended audiences, complicating targeted influence (Marwick & boyd, 2011).
4. Application and Testing of TSF in Digital Contexts
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4.1. Political Communication
4.2. Health Communication
4.3. Marketing and Consumer Behavior
4.4. Misinformation and Disinformation
5. Critiques, Limitations, and Alternative Models
5.1. Critiques and Limitations of TSF in the Digital Age
- Oversimplification: The linear, two-step model is inadequate for describing multi-directional, networked, and algorithmically mediated information flows (Bennett & Segerberg, 2012; Castells, 2009).
- Fluid and Ephemeral Leadership: Online opinion leadership is highly contextual, transient, and often driven by algorithmic visibility rather than inherent expertise (boyd, 2010; Turcotte et al., 2015).
- Active Audiences and Direct Media Effects: Digital audiences actively seek, interpret, remix, and produce content, challenging the notion of passive followers and mediated influence (Jenkins, 2006; Livingstone, 2004).
- Algorithmic Mediation: TSF does not account for the powerful role of platform algorithms in shaping exposure, visibility, and influence (Bucher, 2017; Gillespie, 2014; Noble, 2018).
- Beyond Persuasion: Digital communication serves functions beyond persuasion, including community-building, identity expression, and deliberation, which are not addressed by TSF (Baym, 2010; Papacharissi, 2010).
- Online-Offline Nexus: Influence operates across digital and offline contexts, with complex feedback loops not captured by the original model (Couldry & Hepp, 2017; Wellman, 2001).
- Trust and Authenticity: The basis of trust in digital opinion leadership (parasocial relationships, algorithmic amplification) differs from face-to-face trust envisioned in TSF (Dubois et al., 2020; Marwick, 2015).
5.2. Alternative and Complementary Models
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- Networked Influence Models: These models employ network science to analyze how structure and individual attributes interact to facilitate diffusion and cascades (Aral & Walker, 2012; Bakshy et al., 2012; Watts & Dodds, 2007).
- Diffusion of Innovations: Rogers’ (2003) diffusion model offers a process-oriented perspective, describing how innovations spread through social systems, involving multiple adopter categories and communication channels.
- Social Identity Model of Deindividuation Effects (SIDE): This framework explains how group identity and anonymity shape behavior and influence in digital environments (Postmes et al., 1998; Spears & Lea, 1994).
- Algorithmic Influence Frameworks: These models explore how algorithms mediate content exposure, confer visibility, and interact with social dynamics (Bucher, 2017; Cotter et al., 2022; Gillespie, 2014).
- Logic of Connective Action: Bennett and Segerberg (2012) propose that large-scale digital mobilization often bypasses traditional leaders via personalized, networked communication flows.
- Hybrid Models: Recent scholarship advocates for integrating TSF, network analysis, diffusion theory, and algorithmic studies to capture the interplay of social, structural, and technological factors (Hilbert et al., 2017; Weeks et al., 2017).
6. Synthesis and Future Research Directions
6.1. Synthesis of Findings
- Fragmentation and diversification of opinion leadership.
- Complex, multi-step, and networked information flows.
- Centrality of platform affordances and algorithmic gatekeeping.
- Contextual variation across issues, platforms, and cultural settings.
- The need for hybrid, integrative models that reflect the interplay of human, social, and technological factors.
6.2. Future Research Directions
- Integrated Models: Develop robust models integrating human agency, network structure, platform architecture, and content characteristics (Hilbert et al., 2017).
- Algorithmic Mediation: Investigate the role of algorithms as mediators, including their effects on opinion leadership, trust, and public perception (Bucher, 2017; Noble, 2018; Yeo et al., 2021).
- Cross-Platform Dynamics: Analyze how influence flows across multiple platforms and how platform ecosystems collectively shape public discourse (Chadwick et al., 2021).
- Longitudinal Analysis: Conduct longitudinal studies to understand the evolution of influence networks and the dynamics of opinion leadership over time (Aral & Dhillon, 2018).
- Online-Offline Interactions: Further explore the interplay between online and offline influence, including the translation of digital authority to real-world impact (Couldry & Hepp, 2017; Vaccari & Valeriani, 2016).
- Nuanced Leadership Typologies: Examine the diversity, motivations, and mechanisms of digital opinion leadership, moving beyond monolithic conceptions of "influencers" (Abidin, 2016; Dubois et al., 2020).
- Comparative and Global Research: Expand research beyond Western contexts to explore the applicability of TSF and related models globally (Valeriani & Vaccari, 2018).
- Influence in Malign Contexts: Investigate the role of human and algorithmic mediation in the spread of misinformation, hate speech, and polarization, developing targeted interventions (Benkler et al., 2018; Johnson et al., 2020).
7. Discussion
7.1. Enduring Relevance and Evolution of TSF
7.2. Limitations and Gaps
- The active role of audiences as content creators, remixers, and selective consumers (Bruns, 2008; Jenkins, 2006).
- The algorithmic mediation of visibility, reach, and influence (Bucher, 2017; Gillespie, 2014).
- The diversity of communication goals in digital environments, including community-building and identity work (Baym, 2010; Papacharissi, 2010).
- The interplay between online and offline influence.
- The ethical and societal implications of algorithmic and influencer-mediated communication.
7.3. Integrating TSF with Contemporary Models
8. Recommendations
- Adopt Hybrid Theoretical Frameworks: Combine TSF with network, diffusion, and algorithmic models to capture the complexity of digital influence.
- Prioritize Empirical Network Analysis: Employ network metrics and longitudinal data to empirically identify opinion leaders and influence pathways.
- Investigate Algorithmic Mediation: Critically examine how platform algorithms confer or diminish influence and shape public discourse.
- Embrace Cross-Platform and Cross-Cultural Research: Study influence diffusion across multiple platforms and diverse cultural settings.
- Examine Ethical Implications: Address the ethical challenges posed by algorithmic amplification, influencer marketing, and the spread of misinformation.
- Promote Digital and Algorithmic Literacy: Enhance public understanding of algorithmic curation to foster critical media consumption.
- Develop Interventions for Malign Influence: Design targeted interventions to mitigate the spread of misinformation, hate speech, and polarization.
- Foster Interdisciplinary Collaboration: Engage scholars from communication, sociology, computer science, psychology, and policy studies to develop integrative models.
9. Conclusion
Funding
Institutional Review Board Statement
Transparency
Competing Interests
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