Submitted:
17 November 2024
Posted:
19 November 2024
You are already at the latest version
Abstract
Keywords:
1. Introduction
2. Materials and Methods
2.1. European Regions Analysis
2.2. Statistical Analysis
- “DTP3t” represents the DTP3 vaccination coverage in year t.
- Year is the year of the calendar.
- “Pandemic “is a dummy variable, taking 1 for the Covid-19 pandemic years (2020–2023) and 0 for pre-pandemic years.
2.3. Software and Tools
3. Results





4. Discussion
4.1. Limitations
4.2. Country by Country Analysis
4.1.1. Albania
4.1.2. Austria
4.1.3. Belgium
4.1.4. Bosnia and Herzegovina
4.1.5. Bulgaria
4.1.6. Croatia
4.1.7. Cyprus
4.1.8. Czech Republic
4.1.9. Estonia
4.1.10. Ireland
4.1.11. Italy
4.1.12. Latvia
4.1.13. Lithuania
4.1.14. Moldova
4.1.15. Montenegro
4.1.16. Netherlands
4.1.17. North Macedonia
4.1.18. Norway
4.1.19. Poland
4.1.20. Romania
4.1.21. Serbia
4.1.22. Slovenia
4.1.23. Spain
4.1.24. Sweden
4.1.25. Switzerland
4.1.25. Türkiye
4.1.26. Ukraine
4.1.27. United Kingdom
4.3. Strategies for Enhancing DTP3 Vaccination Coverage in Europe Amidst and Beyond COVID-19 Challenges
5. Conclusions
Author Contributions
Funding
Institutional Review Board Statement
Data Availability Statement
Conflicts of Interest
References
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| Region | Number of Joint Points (Jointpoints) | APC Total Period | APC1 | APC2 | APC3 | APC4 | APC5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Europe | 0 | 0.03 | - | - | - | - | - |
| North | 3 (2008, 2011, 2016) | 0,11* | 0,18* | 0,65* | 0,02 | -0,31* | - |
| South | 4 (2002, 2009, 2018, 2021) | -0.02 | 2.05* | 0.12* | -0.06 | -0.81* | 0.50 |
| East | 0 | 0.11 | - | - | - | - | - |
| West | 4 (2002, 2008, 2011, 2020) | -0,12 | 1,17* | 0,06 | 0,41 | -0,37* | 0,03 |
| Country | Number of Joint Points (Jointpoints) | APC Total Period | APC1 | APC2 | APC3 | APC4 | APC5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Albania | 2 (2011, 2019) | 0.04 | 0.18* | -0.01 | -0.50* | ||
| Andorra | 0 | 0.06 | |||||
| Austria | 3 (2009, 2014, 2017) | 0.19 | 0.1 | 3.0* | -3.8* | -0.5 | |
| Belarus | 2 (2003, 2006) | 0.50 | -13.3* | 11.6* | -0.2 | ||
| Belgium | 4 (2003, 2006, 2014, 2019) | 0.12 | -0.15 | 1.12* | 0.14* | -0.37* | 0.24* |
| Bosnia | 4 (2005, 2010, 2017, 2021) | 0.96 | -0.74 | 4.30* | 0.34 | -2.41* | 3.87* |
| Bulgaria | 1 | -0.21* | 0.76 | -0.31* | |||
| Croatia | 1 (2008) | -0.12 | 0.41* | -0.34* | |||
| Cyprus | 1 (2011) | -0.10 | -0.14 | 0.31* | |||
| Czechia | 1 (2011) | -0.15 | 0.14 | -0.41* | |||
| Denmark | 3 (2004, 2007, 2018) | 0.13 | -0.38 | -2.88* | 0.91* | -0.06 | |
| Estonia | 1 (2007) | -0.21* | 0.33* | -0.37* | |||
| Finland | 2 (2014, 2017) | -0.46* | 0.06 | -3.11* | 0.17 | ||
| France | 4 (2003, 2006, 2013, 2016) | -0.09* | 0.04 | 0.58 | 0.02 | -1.00 | -0.00 |
| Germany | 3 (2003, 2010, 2017) | -0.21* | 2.18* | -0.05 | -0.76* | 0.02 | |
| Greece | 2 (2003, 2007) | 0.33 | 1.71* | 1.36 | -0.00 | ||
| Hungary | 0 | 0.00 | 0.27 | -2.55* | 0.18 | ||
| Iceland | 2 (2009, 2012) | -0.30* | 0.27 | -2.55* | 0.18 | ||
| Ireland | 4 (2002, 2005, 2013, 2021) | 0.40* | -1.49* | 2.95* | 0.69* | -0.28* | |
| Italy | 1 (2003) | 0.09 | 2.85* | -0.08 | |||
| Latvia | 1 (2011) | -0.01 | -0.55* | 0.46* | |||
| Lithuania | 1 (2009) | -0.21* | 0.14 | -0.40* | |||
| Luxembourg | 0 | 0.01 | |||||
| Malta | 3 (2005, 2008, 2012) | 0.60 | -0.77 | -9.17* | 9.46* | -0.06 | |
| Monaco | 0 | 0.00 | |||||
| Montenegro | 1 (2011) | -0.91* | 0.94* | -1.43* | |||
| Netherlands | 0 | 0.29 | |||||
| North Macedonia | 1 (2013) | -0.48* | 0.21 | -1.47* | |||
| Norway | 0 | 0.29 | |||||
| Poland | 2 (2013, 2020) | -0.23* | 0.06 | -0.76* | -0.03 | ||
| Portugal | 0 | 0.14 | |||||
| Republic of Moldova | 0 | -0.50 | |||||
| Romania | 0 | -0.83 | |||||
| Russian Federation | 2 (2007, 2011) | 0.01 | 0.36* | -0.32* | 0.00 | ||
| San Marino | 1 (2015) | -0.40* | -0.92* | 0.90* | |||
| Serbia | 0 | -0.02 | |||||
| Slovakia | 3 (2012, 2015, 2021) | -0.15 | 0.00 | -1.10* | 0.23* | -0.50* | |
| Slovenia | 1 (2008) | -0.16 | 0.86* | -0.57* | |||
| Spain | 1 (2012, 2016) | -0.16* | 1.24 | -0.07 | -0.61 | ||
| Sweden | 1 (2021) | -0.14* | -0.09* | -1.94* | |||
| Switzerland | 3 (2003, 2012, 2021) | 0.16* | -0.01 | 0.36* | 0.00 | -0.45* | |
| Türkiye | 2 (2003, 2006) | 0.89* | -6.17* | 9.35* | 0.18 | ||
| Ukraine | 3 (2012, 2015, 2018) | -2.63 | -3.75 | -35.32* | 56.47* | ||
| United Kingdom | 2 (2008, 2012) | 0.11* | 0.18 | 0.91* | -0.34* | ||
| * Annual Percent Change (APC) p < 0.05 |
| 2019 | 2023 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Country | DTP3 (%) | Births (n) | DTP3 (%) | Births (n) | Change in DTP3 (%) | p † |
| Albania | 99 | 29773 | 97 | 28538 | -2 | <0.001 |
| Andorra | 99 | 590 | 98 | 569 | -1 | ns |
| Austria | 85 | 84744 | 84 | 84132 | -1 | <0.001 |
| Belarus | 98 | 93218 | 98 | 86154 | 0 | ns |
| Belgium | 97 | 116136 | 98 | 116823 | 1 | <0.001 |
| Bosnia and Herzegovina |
73 | 29754 | 73 | 26279 | 0 | ns |
| Bulgaria | 93 | 61637 | 92 | 55495 | -1 | <0.001 |
| Croatia | 94 | 36700 | 93 | 33537 | -1 | <0.001 |
| Cyprus | 95 | 13237 | 95 | 12348 | 0 | ns |
| Czechia | 97 | 109738 | 94 | 99736 | -3 | <0.001 |
| Denmark | 97 | 60455 | 97 | 65003 | 0 | ns |
| Estonia | 91 | 14158 | 90 | 13102 | -1 | 0.005 |
| Finland | 91 | 45790 | 91 | 47143 | 0 | ns |
| France | 96 | 701300 | 96 | 671363 | 0 | ns |
| Germany | 91 | 771867 | 91 | 755129 | 0 | ns |
| Greece | 99 | 81148 | 99 | 76080 | 0 | ns |
| Hungary | 99 | 92375 | 99 | 104762 | 0 | ns |
| Iceland | 92 | 4402 | 92 | 4553 | 0 | ns |
| Ireland | 94 | 60463 | 89 | 56728 | -5 | <0.001 |
| Italy | 96 | 418113 | 95 | 406243 | -1 | <0.001 |
| Latvia | 99 | 18693 | 98 | 15996 | -1 | <0.001 |
| Lithuania | 92 | 28075 | 90 | 25605 | -1 | <0.001 |
| Luxembourg | 99 | 6167 | 99 | 6724 | -2 | ns |
| Malta | 98 | 4318 | 98 | 4863 | 0 | ns |
| Monaco | 99 | 331 | 99 | 323 | 0 | ns |
| Montenegro | 85 | 7429 | 81 | 6773 | 0 | <0.001 |
| Netherlands (Kingdom of the) | 94 | 169827 | 92 | 182435 | -2 | <0.001 |
| North Macedonia | 92 | 20447 | 86 | 19769 | -6 | <0.001 |
| Norway | 97 | 54384 | 96 | 54464 | -1 | <0.001 |
| Poland | 95 | 382527 | 94 | 423741 | -1 | <0.001 |
| Portugal | 99 | 85439 | 99 | 79465 | 0 | ns |
| Republic of Moldova |
91 | 40266 | 87 | 49667 | -4 | <0.001 |
| Romania | 88 | 203903 | 78 | 214232 | -10 | <0.001 |
| Russian Federation |
97 | 1486730 | 97 | 1375609 | 0 | ns |
| San Marino | 88 | 209 | 91 | 199 | 3 | ns |
| Serbia | 97 | 69672 | 93 | 65195 | -4 | <0.001 |
| Slovakia | 97 | 57020 | 96 | 62451 | -1 | <0.001 |
| Slovenia | 95 | 19865 | 89 | 18520 | -6 | <0.001 |
| Spain | 95 | 354681 | 93 | 351908 | -2 | <0.001 |
| Sweden | 98 | 114109 | 94 | 113685 | -4 | <0.001 |
| Switzerland | 96 | 85930 | 95 | 86100 | -1 | <0.001 |
| Türkiye | 99 | 1303201 | 99 | 1214053 | 0 | ns |
| Ukraine | 80 | 353538 | 83 | 184455 | 3 | <0.001 |
| United Kingdom | 93 | 709079 | 92 | 677708 | -1 | <0.001 |
| Region | Intercept | Year | Pandemic |
|---|---|---|---|
| Europe | 26,77 | 0,0336 | -0,1530 |
| North Europe | -252,76 | 0,1724*** | -2,2187*** |
| South Europe | -84,61 | 0,0896* | -2,6746*** |
| Eastern Europe | -65,71 | 0,0791 | 0,5507 |
| Western Europe | 59,61 | 0,0179 | -1,8149* |
| Nation | Intercept | Year | Pandemic | Interaction |
| Albania | -31.2673 | 0.0645 | -1.6521** | N/A |
| Andorra | -252.7788 | 0.1742 | -0.8535 | N/A- |
| Austria | -677.9055 | 0.3806 | -6.8187 | N/A- |
| Belarus | -23.6828 | 0.0602 | -0.2919 | N/A- |
| Belgium | 145.8932 | -0.0237 | -0.3228 | N/A- |
| Croatia | 687.9301 | -0.2946*** | 0.4016 | N/A- |
| Cyprus | 270.5469 | -0.0860 | -1.6544† | N/A- |
| Czechia | 569.6045 | -0.2344*** | -0.9975 | N/A- |
| Denmark | -1253.2089 | 0.6688*** | -1.8051 | N/A- |
| Estonia | 634.5661 | -0.2688*** | -0.9021* | N/A- |
| Finland | 1455.1928 | -0.6753*** | 0.1131 | N/A- |
| France | 643.1797 | -0.2710*** | 0.5816 | N/A |
| Germany | 1058.9201 | -0.4796*** | 1.5304* | N/A- |
| Greece | 42.6651 | 0.0280† | -0.1802 | N/A- |
| Hungary | 99.0000 | 0.0000*** | 0.0000 | N/A- |
| Iceland | 1317.9547 | -0.6086*** | 4.5846** | N/A- |
| Ireland | -247.6943 | 0.1699 | -3.2433* | -1.8087** |
| Italy | 355.2488 | -0.1290* | 0.0899 | N/A |
| Latvia | -494.0307 | 0.2925† | -0.7037 | N/A- |
| Lithuania | 591.5722 | -0.2473** | -1.3813 | N/A- |
| Luxembourg | 99.0000 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | N/A- |
| Malta | -3965.2956 | 2.0150*** | -9.8854 | N/A- |
| Monaco | 99.0000 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | N/A- |
| Montenegro | 1272.4608 | -0.5871** | -3.6447† | N/A- |
| Netherlands (Kingdom of the) | 667.1475 | -0.2839*** | 0.1977 | N/A- |
| North Macedonia | 527.0100 | -0.2151*** | -8.5288*** | N/A- |
| Norway | -368.5200 | 0.2301*** | 0.1076 | N/A- |
| Poland | 695.2581 | -0.2968*** | -1.3290† | N/A- |
| Portugal | -222.5545 | 0.1591*** | -0.1465 | N/A |
| Republic of Moldova | 432.4086 | -0.1699 | -1.9710 | N/A- |
| Romania | 1960.9631 | -0.9290*** | 1.0756 | N/A- |
| Russian Federation | 270.4040 | -0.0860*** | 0.4885* | N/A- |
| San Marino | 789.8433 | -0.3484* | 4.9212* | N/A- |
| Serbia | 179.9877 | -0.0430 | -0.0415 | N/A- |
| Slovakia | 669.0760 | -0.2839*** | 1.5191* | N/A- |
| Slovenia | 679.7028 | -0.2903* | -3.0657* | N/A- |
| Spain | 321.4823 | -0.1118* | -2.4221** | N/A- |
| Sweden | 253.5922 | -0.0774† | -1.3389† | -1.2494*** |
| Switzerland | -190.1452 | 0.1419*** | -1.0274** | -0.4516* |
| Türkiye | -587.3172 | 0.3398** | -1.8081 | N/A |
| Ukraine | 6563.0914 | -3.2301* | 45.3210* | N/A- |
| United Kingdom | -170.2197 | 0.1312† | -2.4664** | N/A- |
| Country | Segmented | Chi-Square | JoinPoint |
| Albania | - | - | - |
| Austria | - | - | |
| Belgium | + | + | |
| Bosnia | + | ||
| Bulgaria | - | ||
| Croatia | - | ||
| Cyprus | - | ||
| Czechia | - | ||
| Estonia | - | - | |
| Ireland | - | - | - |
| Italy | - | ||
| Latvia | |||
| Lithuania | - | - | |
| Moldavia | - | - | |
| Montenegro | - | - | |
| Netherland | - | ||
| North Macedonia | - | - | |
| Norway | - | ||
| Poland | - | - | - |
| Romania | - | ||
| Serbia | - | ||
| Slovakia | - | - | |
| Slovenia | - | - | |
| Spain | - | - | |
| Sweden | - | - | - |
| Switzerland | - | - | - |
| Türkiye | - | ||
| Ukraine | + | ||
| United Kingdom | - | - |
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