Submitted:
19 June 2024
Posted:
20 June 2024
You are already at the latest version
Abstract
Keywords:
1. Introduction
2. Multi-Feature Correlation Analysis and Data Processing
2.1. Source of Data
2.2. Correlation Coefficient Analysis Method
2.3. Multi-Feature Filtering And Data Processing
2.3.1. Steady-State Condition Multi-Feature Filtering and Data Processing
| Feature Parameters | Symbol | Unit |
|---|---|---|
| Stack output voltage | V | |
| Inlet temperature of hydrogen | ℃ | |
| Outlet temperature of hydrogen | ℃ | |
| Inlet temperature of air | ℃ | |
| Outlet temperature of air | ℃ | |
| Inlet temperature of coolant | ℃ | |
| Outlet temperature of coolant | ℃ | |
| Inlet pressure of hydrogen | Mbar | |
| Outlet pressure of hydrogen | Mbar | |
| Inlet pressure of air | Mbar | |
| Outlet pressure of air | Mbar | |
| Inlet flow rate of hydrogen | L/min | |
| Outlet flow rate of hydrogen | L/min | |
| Inlet flow rate of air | L/min | |
| Outlet flow rate of air | L/min | |
| Flow rate of coolant | L/min | |
| Air humidity | % |
2.3.2. Dynamic Cycling Condition Multi-Feature Filtering and Data Processing
3. Design of Life Prediction Model
| Name of Algorithm | Advantage | Drawback | Usage Scenario |
|---|---|---|---|
| Recurrent Neural Network (RNN) | Wide range of applications with internal memory mechanism. | Difficult to parallelize training; prone to gradient vanishing or gradient explosion; computationally inefficient. | Short-to-medium time series |
| Convolutional Neural Network (CNN) | It is good at capturing local features and can be computed in parallel with strong robustness and generalization ability. | The number of parameters is large, and the convolution operation may lead to information loss. | Spatial data |
| Long Short-Term Memory Network (LSTM) | Use gating mechanism for easier convergence, stable training and flexible structure. | The model is large and the computational complexity is high and not easy to interpret. | Memorizing long time series |
| Temporal Convolutional Network (TCN) | Parallel computation capable; stable gradient propagation; good at capturing long-term dependencies. | Input sequences need to be formulated with a fixed length and are sensitive to sequence ordering. | Long time series |
| Gated Recurrent Unit (GRU) | The structure is simple, with fewer gating mechanisms, less computational effort, and higher accuracy when the dataset is small. | Weak memory, may not be able to capture long-term dependencies, weak processing of complex sequences. | Simple long time series |
3.1. Design of Single-Feature Models
3.2. Design of Multi-Feature Models
4. Multi-Operating Condition Life Prediction for PEMFCs
4.1. Life Prediction for Steady-State Operating Condition
4.2. Life Prediction for Dynamic Cycling Condition
5. Result and Discussion
5.1. Analysis of Life Prediction Results for Steady-State Operating Condition
- TCN-GRU (three-feature) has the highest prediction accuracy, with the RMSE value of 3.27×10-3 and the R2 value of 0.965 at 80% of the training set ratio, almost perfectly fitting the original data, which is significantly better than the other two prediction models. It indicates that for the multi-feature fusion prediction model’s anti-overfitting and generalization ability is better than RNN and LSTM models, and it is more suitable for the prediction of long time series and data with multiple parameters
- TCN-GRU (three-feature) prediction results are better than TCN-GRU (dual-feature), compared with the RMSE value reduced by at least 3.82%, and even reduced by 23.6% in the training set ratio of 80%, which indicates that in the long time series prediction, the more features involved in the fusion of the prediction of the more the model’s ability to resist the abnormal data points or noise, and the better the stability of the model;
- Comparing the TCN-GRU multi-feature fusion prediction results horizontally, with the increase of the training set, the RMSE value of TCN-GRU (three-feature) decreases by 12.3% and 26.02% in turn, and the R2 value improves by 1.18% and 2.33%, and the prediction effect gets better with the increase of the training set, which proves the multi-feature fusion prediction model can meet the requirements of the PEMFC life prediction.
5.2. Analysis of Life Prediction Results for Dynamic Cycling Condition
- TCN-GRU (three-feature) has the highest prediction accuracy, which is slightly better than TCN-GRU (dual-feature). Comparing the RMSE values, the TCN-GRU (three-feature) model reduces at least 6.79% compared to the CNN-LSTM model, which indicates that the multi-feature fusion prediction model is more resistant to noise and has better robustness in the long time series prediction of dynamic cycling conditions;
- Comparing the R2 values, it can be found that the fitting ability of the TCN-GRU multi-feature fusion prediction model has a disconnected improvement compared with the traditional deep learning network. It further shows that a single deep learning network cannot meet the requirements of time series prediction with large data volume, and it is necessary to flexibly combine multiple algorithms, give full play to the advantages of each algorithm, and reasonably build a joint model according to the data volume and data characteristics, in order to achieve better prediction results.
6. Conclusion
Author Contributions
Funding
Conflicts of Interest
References
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| Parameters | Value | Unit |
|---|---|---|
| Active area | 100 | cm2 |
| Operating temperature | 60 | ℃ |
| Pressure | 1.5 | bar |
| Relative humidity | 50 | % |
| Load current | 70 | A |
| Rated current density | 0.7 | A/cm2 |
| Parameters | Value | Unit |
|---|---|---|
| Active area | 304 | cm2 |
| Operating temperature | 80 | ℃ |
| Pressure | 2 | bar |
| Relative humidity | 80 | % |
| Feature Parameters | Symbol | Unit |
|---|---|---|
| Stack output voltage | V | |
| Stack output power | W | |
| Inlet temperature of hydrogen | ℃ | |
| Inlet temperature of air | ℃ | |
| Outlet temperature of air | ℃ | |
| Inlet temperature of coolant | ℃ | |
| Outlet temperature of coolant | ℃ | |
| Temperature difference of coolant | ℃ | |
| Inlet pressure of hydrogen | MPa | |
| Inlet pressure of air | MPa | |
| Outlet pressure of air | MPa | |
| Inlet pressure of coolant | MPa | |
| Outlet pressure of coolant | MPa | |
| Pressure difference of cathode and anode | MPa | |
| Speed of air compressor | rpm | |
| Minimum single voltage | V |
| Parameter | Value | Parameter | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Neurons | 30 | Bach size | 128 |
| Filters | 32 | Learning rate | 0.001 |
| Sizes | 3 | Dropout | 0.5 |
| Dilations | 2 | Epoch | 30 |
| Name of Model | RMSE(x10-3) | R2 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 40% | 60% | 80% | 40% | 60% | 80% | |
| RNN | 23.91 | 13.22 | 11.35 | 0.277 | 0.403 | 0.455 |
| LSTM | 12.77 | 10.51 | 10.71 | 0.541 | 0.616 | 0.647 |
| TCN-GRU (dual-feature) | 5.24 | 5.67 | 4.28 | 0.908 | 0.924 | 0.938 |
| TCN-GRU (three-feature) | 5.04 | 4.42 | 3.27 | 0.932 | 0.943 | 0.965 |
| Name of Model | RMSE(x10-3) | R2 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 40% | 60% | 80% | 40% | 60% | 80% | |
| CNN-LSTM | 5.60 | 6.95 | 3.66 | 0.678 | 0.685 | 0.789 |
| TCN-GRU (dual-feature) | 5.30 | 4.23 | 2.94 | 0.866 | 0.881 | 0.887 |
| TCN-GRU (three-feature) | 5.22 | 4.04 | 2.91 | 0.885 | 0.890 | 0.924 |
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