5.1. Selecting Robustness Indicators
The effectiveness of the proposed approach heavily relies on carefully selecting the appropriate inputs and outputs to measure the efficiency of food robustness dimensions. Therefore, two selection approaches were followed in this study. First, several previous research works under the same context were reviewed, and the most relevant inputs and outputs indicators were selected. Second, several experts were consulted to assess and validate the relevance of the selected indicators to the efficiency of food robustness dimensions.
This example uses a set of 30 (25 inputs and 5 outputs) indicators of 37 food-producing countries.
Table 1 reports these indicators with their symbols and measurement units. The selected indicators were distributed over five robustness dimensions (AAEEG) based on managerial and computational considerations. The selected input-output indicators are aligned with the 17 goals of the sustainable development goals (SDGs). The matter provides governmental policymakers with data-driven in establishing the regulatory environment, investing in infrastructure and research, and allocating resources to support the development of robust and sustainable food systems.
The availability dimension consists of five input indicators and one output indicator to measure the ability of a food system to provide a sufficient and reliable food supply to society. The availability dimension consists of six input indicators and one output indicator to represent food production, distribution, infrastructure, and logistics. The accessibility dimension consists of six input indicators and one output indicator measuring the capability of individuals to access safe and sufficient food. The economic dimension consists of six input indicators and one output indicator to measure the economic outputs and externalities of the food system. The environmental dimension consists of six input indicators and one output indicator to measure the impacts of food system activities on the surrounding natural environment. Finally, the governance dimension consists of two input indicators and one output indicator describing the interactions between food production, processing, and consumption concerning the different drivers of food systems.
5.2. Developing Impact Matrix
The study employs data from various sources, including the Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO), World Bank, Organization for Economic Co-operation, and Development (OECD), Eurostat, and global economic data statistics. Using the feature scaling method, we transformed the
matrix into common scales. This step is important to ensure the indicators are uniformly represented and comparable across different dimensions. The normalized scores of the input and output indicators can be computed using Equations 3 and 4, respectively:
where (
,
) and (
,
) represent the maximum and minimum scores of the
ith input and
rth output indicators. The pairs (
and (
are predetermined constants for the range of
and
, respectively. The two pairs of constants were set at their customary values (0,1), and then Equations 3 and 4, above, were used to generate the normalized pairs
and
of
matrix. The new version of the
matrix will be referred to as
.
5.3. Weighting Robustness Dimensions
This paper uses the AHP method to generate weights for the robustness dimensions. The initial step in the AHP is the development of the pair-wise comparison matrix. This comparison is critical to the weight scores generated by the AHP. There are two different approaches, in practice, to conduct this comparison. These are indicator-based or dimension-based pair-wise approaches. The indicator-based approach follows a simple mechanism in which the stakeholders and experts compare all possible pairs of indicators and assign scores representing the relative importance of each indicator relative to the other. The dimension-based approach follows, somehow, the same mechanism, but the pairs are formed from the dimensions rather than the indicators. The stakeholders and experts will compare pairs of dimensions and assign a score representing the relative importance of each dimension relative to the other.
For the convenience of experts and stakeholders, this study follows the dimension-based approach. First, the relative importance from the governance’s perspective of the five dimensions is determined to develop the pairwise comparison matrix. Then, a group of experts and stakeholders in the relevant field provided their rating using a scale from 1/9 and 9, where 9 means “absolutely more importance) and 1/9 means “absolutely low importance” (Szabo et al., 2021; Nguyen et al., 2021).
Table 3 shows the results of the dimension-based pairwise comparison.
To continue, the relative weights (
) of each of the AAEEG dimensions are estimated and reported in
Table 4. The results show that the governance dimension (43.60%) leads the list of dimensions, followed by the economic dimension (33.90). The results also show that the rest of the dimensions (availability, Affordability, and environmental) significantly differ from these two dimensions.
Following this, we computed the CI ratio using Equation 2 to check the consistency of pairwise comparison. To calculate the weighted sum value of each dimension, let
(
k =1,2, …, 5) represents the weight of the
kth dimension (
Table 4) and
represents the priority index of the
ijth pair of dimensions (
Table 5).
Then the weighted sum value (
) of the
kth dimension is calculated using Equation 5.
The maximum eigenvalue (
max) is then calculated as follows:
The CI value is calculated using Equation 2 as follows:
Finally, we calculate the CR as follows:
The CR value at n=5 is often used as 1.12. Since the calculated CR = 0.08 is less than 0.1, we can conclude the adequacy of the pair-wise comparison matrix.
5.4. SBM-DEA Output Analysis
The SBM-DEA model was utilized to estimate the efficiency (TE) and slack (SE) scores of each dimension. The scores were collected to form the efficiency, (37,1), k), and slack, (37,1, k) lists. The TE scores measure the capacity of each DMU to utilize resources to produce outputs relative to the other DMUs. The TE scores take a value from 0 to 1, where 1 indicates an efficient DMU, and 0 indicates an inefficient DMU. The SE scores measure the amount by which each DMU can reduce inputs or increase output to enhance the efficiency relative to the other DMUs. To help decision-makers focus their efforts on a subset of DMUs that require urgent intervention, we use the quartile method to classify the inefficient DMUs into two categories (low-efficient and moderate-efficient). Simply, we define low-efficient DMUs as these countries with <Q1, while moderate-efficient DMUs are these DMUs with Q1<<Q3.
Table 6 reports the statistics of the
scores under the availability dimension. The statistics show that the availability dimension has average efficacy (
equals to 0.718. and standard deviation (
) equals to 0.228. The results also reveal that 12 of the countries have achieved the maximum efficacy score. These countries are usually referred to as Frontiers. Other DUMs, mainly 67.4% of the DMUs, have achieved efficiency scores ranging from low efficiency (9 DMUs) to moderate efficiency (16 DMUs). This percentage highlights that the majority of the countries are not effectively converting resources into sufficient food. The minimum score of the
achieved under this dimension is 42.5%, meaning that there is at least one DMUs which was unable to utilize (1- 0.425)%=57.47% of the available resources. Some factors which might have affected the
scores are the food system typology, food technology advancement, and climate change. However, the decision-makers can still improve food availability, especially for the low-efficient DMUs, by examining several input-based strategies, such as food waste management, sustainable agriculture, and diversifying food resources.
Table 7 reports the statistics of the
scores under the availability dimension. The statistics show that the accessibility dimension’s average (
=0.769) slightly outperforms the availability dimension’s average (
=0.718), meaning that the countries are more efficient in utilizing resources relevant to food accessibility than food availability. The number of countries that achieved maximum efficiency under this dimension is 13 countries.
Table 7 shows that 27.70% of the DMUs are classified as low-efficient and 37.78% as moderate-efficient DMUs. The minimum score of the
achieved under the accessibility is 45.7%, meaning that there at least one DMUs was unable to utilize (1- 0.457) % = 54.3% of the accessibility resources, which is slightly less than the same ratio under the availability dimension. Even though these two dimensions have shown almost similar efficiency scores, the decision-makers may require different improvement strategies due to the different nature of the context of these dimensions. Food availability is more focused on the food supply, such as food production, local and national food stock, and agricultural land areas. Food accessibility is more focused on the ability of individuals and society to obtain enough food, such as household income, food prices, and food market diversity.
Table 8 reports the statistics of the T
E scores under the economic dimension. The number of low-efficient DMUs under this dimension is 21 DMUs. This explains the low T
E average score (
=0.637) of the economic dimension compared with the previous two dimensions. However, 81.08% of the countries have shown from low-efficient to moderate-efficient. This percentage highlights the poor performance of the majority of the countries under this dimension. The minimum score of the
achieved under the economic is 48.8%, meaning that there at least one DMUs was unable to effectively utilize (1- 0.424) % = 57.6% of the resources, which is less than the same ratio under the two previous dimensions. Considering the high priority of this dimension (33.90%); see
Table 4, we can surely say that the economic dimension requires more decision-maker attention compared with the previous two dimensions.
Table 9 reports the statistics of the T
E scores under the environmental dimension. The average T
E score of this dimension is 0.475. This value is the lowest among all the previous dimensions. There are 17 DMUs under the low-efficient category and 10 DMUs under the moderate-efficient category, meaning that 72.97% of the countries have failed to efficiently convert environmental resources into outputs. These numbers urgent the need for these countries to adopt environmental practices to enhance food system efficiency and robustness. The minimum score of the
achieved under the environmental dimension is 7.5%. This is a very low score. However, investigating the factors beyond this low-efficiency performance requires the collaboration of food authorities and stakeholders at a country level. Some factors that deserve to be considered are inefficient sustainability farming practices, improper food system typology, and lack of food technological advancement.
Table 10 reports the statistics of the T
E scores under the governance dimension. The dimension governance, according to the AHP results, is the most important among all with a priority of 43.60%. The governance role is crucial to developing food system strategies, promoting research and development, and ensuring the implications of the food system's regulations. Despite the highest importance of the governance dimension for food system robustness, the average of its T
E scores (
=0.650) is less than the availability and accessibility dimensions, having the lowest priority. This finding emphasizes the need to find practical solutions to enhance the utilization of the governance inputs and maintain appropriate levels of food robustness and resilience.
5.5. The Efficiency of the Robustness Dimension
This section provides further analysis of the efficiency scores of the AAEEG robustness dimensions. Five impact matrices ( were developed in this study. Each matrix has a size of 37(+), where =37 is the total number of the DMUs, and (+) is the sum of input and output indicators of the kth dimension. The terms and represent the impact of the ith input indicator and the rth output indicator of the jth DMU of the kth dimension, where=1, 2, …, , =1,2, …, , and =1,2,…,5.
Ensuring an adequate sample size is crucial and depends on various factors, including the number of DMUs, inputs, and outputs. In the literature, two rules have been extensively discussed to assess the adequacy of the sample size, as proposed by Kumar & Gulati (2008). The first rule states that the sample size should be greater than or equal to the product of inputs and outputs (i.e.,
). The second rule, according to Kumar & Gulati (2008), suggests that the number of DMUs should be at least three times the sum of inputs and outputs (i.e.,
.
Table 11 reveals the adequacy of the impact matrix of the robustness dimensions involved in this study.
The weighted-SBM-DEA optimization model was then applied for all sub-matrices separately to calculate the efficiency of the DMUs. The weight of each input (
) and output (
) indicator under the
th dimensions were distributed using Equation 8 below:
To determine the aggregated efficiency performance of each dimension, we first calculate the weighted sum of the T
E under each dimension as follows:
where
is the weight of the
kth dimension calculated using AHP. The aggregated efficacy of the
th dimension (
can be computed as follows:
Figure 3 shows the distribution of the
and
for the robustness distributions. The results show that the availability dimension is the lowest (
=0.037) compared with the other dimensions. The economic and governance are the best among all the dimensions.
Two approaches are suggested in this paper to identify opportunities for efficiency improvement. These are 1) an inefficient dimensions-based approach and 2) a criterion-based approach. The first approach initially identifies the dimensions with the lowest , and then the low-efficient DMUs under this dimension are selected for efficiency improvement. The main role of the stakeholders and experts in this approach is mainly focused on prioritizing and validating the set of resource indicators (input or output) under each DMU in the low-efficient subset of DMUs. The second approach uses a specific criterion to identify the low-efficient subset of DMUS across all the dimensions, for instance, the DMUs with the highest frequency of being inefficient among all the dimensions. The slack scores of the indicators of the selected DMUs are then analyzed for better opportunities for efficiency improvement.
5.5.1. Approach One: Inefficient Dimension-Based Improvement
This approach follows a hierarchal sequence in identifying the opportunity for improvement. The dimension with the minimum sum of or is first identified. Once it is determined, the practitioner starts to investigate the DMU(s) performance under the corresponding dimension and determine the th DMU with min (). The final step involves defining the improvement strategy. However, the involvement of industry and government representatives is important to the outcome of this step.
Three distinct approaches can be applied to enhance the efficiency performance of DMUs within the system. The first is the input-oriented approach. It focuses on reducing the input while keeping the output at its current level. The second is the output-oriented approach. It focuses on increasing the output while maintaining the same level of inputs. The third is the mix-oriented approach. This approach combines the two previous approaches. The selection among these three orientations might be the intervention of decision-makers and stakeholders.
This example utilizes the input-oriented approach. The initial analysis of the
or
scores; see
Figure 3, showed that the availability dimension is the least efficient (
1.381, and
=0.037. The DMUs within the availability dimension were also analyzed, and three DMUs were identified as having better opportunities to promote their efficiency scores under the availability dimension. These are Italy, Portugal, and Netherlands.
A correlation analysis is conducted to understand how indicators are related to each other so that we can target them in a way that optimizes the robustness efficiency. From the correlation analysis of the availability dimensions, see
Table 12, it is inferred that there is a heavy positive correlation between the indicators “Land area equipped for irrigation” and “Diversity of food in stocks,” with a coefficient of 0.53. The positive correlation means that when one indicator increases, the other increases. Similarly, the indicator “Land area equipped for irrigation” also positively correlates with “Diversity of food in stocks” with a coefficient of 0.41. A negative correlation between the indicators can also be found between the indicators. The indicator “Diversity of domestic production” has two negative correlations, with the indicator being “Availability of electricity access” and the latter being “Diversity of import sources,” with a correlation coefficient of -0.78 and -0.44, respectively.
As previously mentioned, the selection of indicators should be completed in coordination with stakeholders to incorporate their demands and expertise to optimize the aggregated score. However, the investigations found that the “Land area equipped for irrigation” or IAV4 is the more valuable indicator for enhancing food system efficiency and robustness. Note that whatever the improvement approach is to be followed, the reduction of inputs or increasing output should not exceed the slack scores of the targeted indicators.
Table 13 shows the suggested improvement plan. Several strategies for enhancing robustness using the unutilized land area can be suggested and discussed with decision-makers. Some of these strategies should include but are not limited to, promoting crop diversification, implementing sustainable food production, and increasing livestock to meet demand. Since the DMUs used in this study are countries, we can say Italy has saved the most land compared with others.
The SMB-DEA is applied to determine the
and
; see
Figure 4. The results show a slight improvement in both the
and
of the availability dimension. Despite this relatively small improvement in the efficiency performance and considering the cost of land area equipped for irrigation, one should expect a significant cost reduction, especially in the European region.
However, the effectiveness of approach one may be influenced by several factors such as the number of DMUs involved in the improvement, the weight of the chosen dimension, and the percentage of input or output reduction. With this in mind, another approach is suggested in this study mainly to overcome the impact of these factors on the effectiveness of the improvement plan.
5.5.2. Approach Two: A Criterion-Based Improvement
This approach uses a specific criterion to identify the low-efficient DMUs across all the dimensions. The range of search of this approach is more comprehensive than the first approach. However, one possible challenge of using this criterion is that the number of DMUs might be significantly large. To overcome the high-dimensionality issue; this study uses a combined criterion; see Equation 11.
where
is the subset of low-efficient DMUs, and
is the number of times that a DMU is classified as efficient across all dimensions. Two main advantages of this criterion are its ability to control the number of DMUs for improvement and its coverage of all the robustness dimensions, unlike approach one.
The results showed that seven of the DMUs have revealed
scores meeting the criterion in Equation 7. To examine the impact of the second approach, an improvement plan with equal slack reduction has been suggested.
Table 14 shows the targeted dimensions and indicators.
Table 14 shows the improvement plan. The target inputs of all the DMUs involved in this plan are set at 50% of their original values. Other percentages of slack reduction might be used considering that the maximum limit of the target reduction is specified by the slack scores of each indicator.
Figure 5 illustrates the distribution of the efficiency of the robustness dimension after the improvement using the second approach. The economic, environmental, and governance-weighted averages have increased marginally. The availability dimension has shown efficiency performance similar to approach one.
The results above showed the outperformance of the second criterion compared with the criterion used in approach one. Despite this, it should be noted that setting the separation limit might affect the second approach’s performance and applicability. A deep understanding of how the separation limit may affect the selection of the indicators to be involved in the improvement plan is crucial to the second approach. However, one way to avoid this challenge is by involving experts and stakeholders with the appropriate knowledge of the food system characteristics. Another way is by modifying the criterion such only the DMUs with the highest frequency of appearing as low-efficient DMUs”.