Submitted:
22 April 2024
Posted:
23 April 2024
You are already at the latest version
Abstract
Keywords:
Introduction
Methods
Predictor Selection
Systematic Literature Search
Tropical Cyclone and Study Site Characteristics
Tree Species Characteristics
Model Development
Model Application
Results
Literature Search
Model Performance
Ratings for New Species
Tree Community Tropical Cyclone Resistance Calculator
Discussion
Conclusion
Acknowledgements
Appendix A
| LANGUAGE | SEARCH | MET CRITERIA | OBSERVATIONS | TROPICAL CYCLONES | COUNTRIES/TERRITORIES |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| English | 483 | 43 | 728 | 28 | American Samoa, Australia, Hawaii, India, Japan, Mexico, Puerto Rico, Samoa, Solomon Islands, Sri Lanka, Tonga, conterminous U.S. |
| Chinese | 97 | 9 | 199 | 8 | China |
| French | 140 | ||||
| Japanese | 3709 | 3 | 60 | 3 | Japan |
| Portuguese | 72 | ||||
| Spanish | 948 | 3* | 107 | 3 | Honduras, Mexico, Nicaragua |
| Total | 5449 | 58 | 1094 | 42 | 15 |
| North Atlantic | North Pacific | South Pacific |
|---|---|---|
| Basnet et al. 1992 | Harrington et al. 1997 | Burslem et al. 2000 |
| Batista and Platt 2003 | Bellingham et al. 1996 | Elmqvist et al. 1994 |
| Chapman et al. 2008 | Guo et al. 2020 | Franklin et al. 2004 |
| Doyle et al. 1995 | Huanglong 2002 | Webb et al. 2014 |
| Duryea et al. 2007a | Ida and Nakagoshi 1997 | |
| Duryea et al. 2007b | Lin et al. 2017 | |
| Francis 2000 | Nakamura 2021 | |
| Gao and Yu 2021 | Saito 2002 | North Indian |
| Gresham et al. 1991 | Sato et al. 2009 | Dittus 1985 |
| Harcombe et al. 2009 | Tabata et al. 2020 | Sundarapandian et al. 2014 |
| Henkel et al. 2016 | Tian et al. 2020 | |
| Howard 2012 | Wang et al. 2000 | |
| Johnsen et al. 2009 | Xu et al. 2008 | |
| Klein et al. 2020 | Xu et al. 2014 | South Indian |
| Koeser et al. 2020 | Zhang et al. 2009 | Curran et al. 2008 |
| Kribel and Ware 2014 | Zhou et al. 2018 | Metcalfe et al. 2008 |
| Middleton 2009 | ||
| Negrón-Juárez et al. 2010 | ||
| Ogle et al. 2006 | ||
| Ostertag et al. 2005 | ||
| Oswalt and Oswalt 2008 | ||
| Pascarella 1997 | ||
| Prengaman et al. 2008 | ||
| Putz and Sharitz 1991 | ||
| Rivas-Cooper 1999 | ||
| Rodriguez-Robles et al. 1990 | ||
| Rutledge et al. 2021 | ||
| Sánchez Sánchez and Islebe 1999 | ||
| Van Bloem et al. 2005 | ||
| Vandecar et al. 2011 | ||
| Vandermeer et al. 1990 | ||
| Williams Linera et al. 2021 | ||
| Xi 2005 | ||
| Zimmerman et al. 1994 | ||
| Scientific Name | Confidence | Scientific Name | Confidence | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adonidia merrillii* | na | Kruglodendron ferreum | na | |
| Alstonia rostrata | High | Jupunba macradenia | Moderate | |
| Alstonia scholaris | Low | Lagerstroemia indica | na | |
| Amyris elemifera | High | Larix kaempferi | Moderate | |
| Astronium graveolens | Moderate | Latania toddigesii* | na | |
| Bombax ceiba | High | Livistona chinensis* | na | |
| Bursera simaruba | na | Luehea candida | Low | |
| Butia capitata* | na | Maclura tinctoria | Moderate | |
| Carya floridana | na | Magnolia grandiflora | na | |
| Ceiba pentandra | High | Manilkara hexandra | High | |
| Cenostigma gaumeri | Low | Melicoccus bijugatus | Moderate | |
| Coccothrinax argentata* | na | Metasequoia glyptostroboides | Moderate | |
| Conocarpus erectus | na | Myrsine seguinii | Moderate | |
| Chrysobalanus icaco | na | Osmanthus fragrans | High | |
| Cordia sebestena | na | Paraserianthes falcataria | Moderate | |
| Cornus florida | na | Phoenix canariensis* | na | |
| Dendropanax arboreus | Low | Phoenix dactylifera* | na | |
| Diospyros ferrea | Low | Phoenix reclinata* | na | |
| Dodonaea viscosa | Moderate | Phoenix roebelenii* | na | |
| Dypsis lutescens* | na | Photinia glabra | High | |
| Elaeocarpus angustifolius | High | Podocarpus spp. | na | |
| Eugenia axillaris | na | Ptychosperma elegans* | na | |
| Eugenia confuse | na | Quercus geminata | na | |
| Eugenia foetida | na | Quercus incana | Moderate | |
| Eugenia reinwardtiana | Low | Quercus laevis | na | |
| Exostema caribaeum | Low | Quercus margarettae | High | |
| Ficus macrophylla | Moderate | Quercus myrtifolia | na | |
| Ficus racemose | High | Quercus virginiana | na | |
| Fraxinus griffithii | High | Sabal palmetto* | na | |
| Geniostoma rupestre | Low | Senna atomaria | Low | |
| Guaiacum officinale | Low | Simarouba amara | Moderate | |
| Guaiacum sanctum | na | Taxodium distichum | na | |
| Guazuma ulmifolia | Moderate | Taxodium ascendens | na | |
| Gymnanthes lucida | High | Thouinia paucidentata | Low | |
| Heliocarpus donnellsmithii | Moderate | Thouinia striata | Low | |
| Hyophorbe lagenicaulis* | na | Thrinax morrissii* | na | |
| Hyophorbe verschaffeltii* | na | Thrinax radiata* | na | |
| Ilex cassine | na | Toxicodendron succedaneum | Moderate | |
| Ilex glabra | na | Vochysia ferruginea | Moderate | |
| Ilex opaca | na | Vochysia guatemalensis | Moderate | |
| Ilex vomitoria | na |
| Scientific Name | Confidence | Scientific Name | Confidence | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Acacia crassicarpa | Moderate | Liquidambar styraciflua | na | |
| Acer floridanum | na | Litchi chinensis | na | |
| Acer palmatum | na | Lithocarpus longipedicellatus | High | |
| Acer pictum | Moderate | Lysiloma latisiliquum | na | |
| Albizia odoratissima | Moderate | Magnolia x soulangiana | na | |
| Annona glabra | na | Magnolia virginiana | na | |
| Aphananthe aspera | Low | Myrcia schiedeana | Low | |
| Artocarpus altilis | Moderate | Nageia nagi | Moderate | |
| Betula nigra | na | Nyssa aquatica | na | |
| Bischofia javanica | Low | Nyssa sylvatica | na | |
| Blastus cochinchinensis | Moderate | Ostrya virginiana | na | |
| Calophyllum antillanum | na | Pictetia aculeata | Low | |
| Calophyllum calaba | Low | Pistacia chinensis | Moderate | |
| Camellia oleifera | Moderate | Plectrocarpa arborea | Low | |
| Carpinus caroliniana | na | Pleiogynium timoriense | Low | |
| Carya aquatica | Low | Pometia pinnata | Low | |
| Carya glabra | na | Pouteria reticulata | Moderate | |
| Carya tomentosa | na | Prunus angustifolia | na | |
| Caryota mitis* | na | Quercus hemisphaerica | Low | |
| Casearia nitida | Low | Quercus michauxii | na | |
| Casearia thamnia | Low | Quercus myrsinifolia | Moderate | |
| Castanopsis fissa | Moderate | Quercus shumardii | na | |
| Castanospermum australe | Moderate | Quercus stellata | na | |
| Ceiba aesculifolia | Low | Roystonea elata* | na | |
| Cercis canadensis | na | Sassafras albidum | High | |
| Celtis sinensis | Low | Senna siamea | Moderate | |
| Chionanthus virginicus | na | Sideroxylon foetidissimum | na | |
| Chrysophyllum oliviforme | na | Simarouba glauca | na | |
| Coccoloba diversifolia | na | Swietenia mahagoni | na | |
| Coccoloba uvifera | na | Symplocos lancifolia | Low | |
| Cocos nucifera* | na | Syzygium buxifolium | Low | |
| Diospyros virginiana | na | Syzygium cumini | Moderate | |
| Dypsis decaryl* | na | Tabernaemontana arborea | Moderate | |
| Fraxinus americana | na | Terminalia tetraphylla | Low | |
| Hirtella triandra | Moderate | Trichilia trifolia | Low | |
| Inga coruscans | Moderate | Ulmus alata | na | |
| Lannea coromandelica | Moderate |
| Scientific Name | Confidence | Scientific Name | Confidence | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Acacia mangium | Moderate | Guarea guidonia | Moderate | |
| Acer negundo | na | Juniperus chinensis | Moderate | |
| Acer rubrum | na | Kigelia pinnata | na | |
| Acer saccharinum | na | Lagerstroemia speciosa | High | |
| Acronychia acidula | Low | Leucaena leucocephala | Moderate | |
| Aegle marmelos | High | Ligustrum lucidum | High | |
| Anacardium occidentale | Low | Lindera kwangtungensis | Moderate | |
| Averrhoa carambola | na | Lithocarpus glaber | Moderate | |
| Azadirachta indica | Moderate | Machilus thunbergii | Moderate | |
| Bauhinia blakeana | na | Magnolia champaca | Moderate | |
| Betula platyphylla | Moderate | Mangifera indica | na | |
| Brosimum alicastrum | Low | Matayba domingensis | Low | |
| Brosimum utile | Moderate | Melia azedarach | Low | |
| Bucidas buceras | na | Meliosma angustifolia | High | |
| Callistemon spp. | na | Miconia elata | Moderate | |
| Calophyllum inophyllum | High | Morisonia flexuosa | Moderate | |
| Calophyllum neoebudicum | Low | Morus rubra | na | |
| Carapa guianensis | Moderate | Myrcia deflexa | Low | |
| Carya texana | High | Myrica cerifera | na | |
| Casearia sylvestris | Moderate | Myristica globosa | Low | |
| Cecropia peltata | Moderate | Olea europaea | Moderate | |
| Cedrus deodara | Moderate | Ormosia krugii | Low | |
| Celtis laevigata | na | Persea borbonia | na | |
| Celtis occidentalis | na | Pinus caribaea | High | |
| Cinnamomum camphora | na | Pinus echinata | High | |
| Chimarrhis parviflora | Moderate | Pinus elliottii | na | |
| Chukrasia tabularis | High | Pinus palustris | na | |
| Cinnamomum bejolghota | Moderate | Pinus serotina | Moderate | |
| Cinnamomum burmanni | High | Pinus taeda | na | |
| Citrus japonica | Moderate | Pinus thunbergii | High | |
| Citrus spp. | na | Piscidia piscipula | Moderate | |
| Cleyera japonica | High | Platanus x hispanica | High | |
| Coccoloba tuerckheimii | Low | Platanus occidentalis | na | |
| Coccoloba uvifera | Moderate | Platycladus orientalis | High | |
| Cochlospermum vitifolium | Low | Plumeria rubra | Moderate | |
| Colubrina arborescens | High | Populus heterophylla | Moderate | |
| Cryptocarya chinensis | Moderate | Pouteria campechiana | Moderate | |
| Dacryodes excelsa | High | Prunus serotina | na | |
| Damburneya coriacea | High | Psidium guajava | Moderate | |
| Delonix regia | na | Quecus alba | na | |
| Distylium racemosum | Moderate | Quercus laurifolia | na | |
| Drypetes lateriflora | Moderate | Quercus lyrata | High | |
| Enterolobium cyclocarpum | na | Quercus phellos | na | |
| Eriobotrya japonica | na | Quercus rubra | High | |
| Erythroxylum rotundifolium | Low | Quercus velutina | High | |
| Eucalyptus cinerea | na | Rockinghamia angustifolia | Low | |
| Eucalyptus tereticornis | Moderate | Salix nigra | Moderate | |
| Eucalyptus urophylla | Low | Salix x sepulcralis | na | |
| Fagus grandifolia | High | Sarcosperma laurinum | Moderate | |
| Ficus aurea | na | Symplocos sumuntia | High | |
| Ficus benghalensis | High | Syzygium jambos | High | |
| Flacourtia rukam | Moderate | Tabebuia heterophylla | na | |
| Fraxinus mandshurica | Moderate | Talipariti tiliaceum | Low | |
| Fraxinus pennsylvanica | na | Terminalia catappa | na | |
| Fraxinus profunda | High | Toona ciliata | Moderate | |
| Garcinia madruno | Moderate | Ulmus americana | na | |
| Ginkgo biloba | Low | Ulmus rubra | Moderate | |
| Gironniera subaequalis | Moderate | Vachellia farnesiana | Moderate | |
| Guarea glabra | Moderate |
| Scientific Name | Confidence | Scientific Name | Confidence | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Acacia auriculiformis | Moderate | Laetia procera | Moderate | |
| Adina cordifolia | Low | Lepisanthes tetraphylla | Low | |
| Aglaia pinnata | High | Licania hypoleuca | Moderate | |
| Albizia julibrissin | High | Lindackeria laurina | Moderate | |
| Albizia procera | High | Liquidambar formosana | Moderate | |
| Alchornea latifolia | Low | Liriodendron tulipifera | na | |
| Aleurites moluccanus | High | Luehea alternifolia | Low | |
| Andira inermis | Moderate | Magnolia obovata | Moderate | |
| Apeiba membranacea | Low | Manilkara bidentata | Low | |
| Araucaria cunninghamii | High | Manilkara zapota | Low | |
| Araucaria heterophylla | na | Maranthes panamensis | Low | |
| Barringtonia asiatica | Moderate | Melaleuca quinquenervia | na | |
| Bridelia retusa | Low | Miconia tetrandra | Low | |
| Brosimum guianense | Moderate | Micromelum minutum | Low | |
| Brosimum lactescens | Low | Mitragyna parvifolia | Low | |
| Byrsonima crispa | Low | Morinda citrifolia | Low | |
| Byrsonima spicata | Low | Neea psychotrioides | Moderate | |
| Calophyllum brasiliense | Moderate | Ocotea leucoxylon | Low | |
| Cananga odorata | Moderate | Otoba novogranatensis | Low | |
| Carya illinoensis | na | Oxydendrum arboreum | Moderate | |
| Casearia arborea | Low | Pachira aquatica | Moderate | |
| Casearia commersoniana | Moderate | Persea americana | na | |
| Cassia fistula | na | Peltophorum pterocarpa | na | |
| Casuarina equisetifolia | na | Picea abies | High | |
| Catalpa bignonioides | Moderate | Pinus clausa | na | |
| Cespedesia spathulata | Moderate | Pinus glabra | na | |
| Chorisia speciosa | na | Pipturus argenteus | Low | |
| Cordia bicolor | Low | Planera aquatica | Moderate | |
| Cordia gerascanthus | Low | Populus x canadensis | Moderate | |
| Cordia sulcata | Low | Populus deltoides | Moderate | |
| Crescentia cujete | Moderate | Pourouma bicolor | Moderate | |
| Croton poecilanthus | Low | Protium pittieri | Low | |
| x Cupressocyparis leylandii | na | Protium stevensonii | Moderate | |
| Cupressus sempervirens | High | Prunus caroliniana | na | |
| Dimocarpus longan | High | Prunus jamasakura | Low | |
| Dipteryx oleifera | Moderate | Pseudolmedia spuria | Low | |
| Dussia macroprophyllata | Low | Psychotria asiatica | Moderate | |
| Erythrina variegata | High | Pterocarpus indicus | Moderate | |
| Eucalyptus robusta | Moderate | Pterocarpus officinalis | Moderate | |
| Eurya japonica | Moderate | Pyrus calleryana | na | |
| Fagus crenata | Moderate | Quassia amara | Moderate | |
| Ficus benjamina | na | Quercus acutissima | Moderate | |
| Ficus concinna | High | Quercus aliena | Moderate | |
| Ficus elastica | Moderate | Quercus falcata | na | |
| Ficus microcarpa | Low | Quercus laurifolia | na | |
| Ficus religiosa | Low | Quercus gilva | Moderate | |
| Ficus virens | High | Quercus glauca | Low | |
| Firmiana simplex | Moderate | Quercus nigra | na | |
| Fraxinus caroliniana | Moderate | Quercus serrata | Moderate | |
| Gliricidia sepium | Moderate | Robinia pseudoacacia | Moderate | |
| Grevillea robusta | na | Salix babylonica | Moderate | |
| Guarea bullata | Low | Sapindus mukorossi | Moderate | |
| Guarea grandifolia | Moderate | Sapium laurocerasus | Low | |
| Guarea kunthiana | Moderate | Sapium sebiferum | na | |
| Guarea pterorhachis | High | Schefflera morototoni | Low | |
| Gyrocarpus jatrophifolius | Low | Schleichera oleosa | Low | |
| Handroanthus chrysanthus | Moderate | Sloanea berteroana | Low | |
| Handroanthus impetiginosus | Moderate | Spathodea campanulata | na | |
| Heptapleurum actinophyllum | Moderate | Stereospermum colais | Moderate | |
| Heptapleurum heptaphyllum | Moderate | Styphnolobium japonicum | High | |
| Hernandia didymantha | Low | Swietenia macrophylla | Moderate | |
| Holoptelea integrifolia | Low | Syagrus romanzoffiana* | na | |
| Homalium racemosum | Low | Symphonia globulifera | Moderate | |
| Hymenaea courbaril | High | Tabebuia caraiba | na | |
| Ilex verticillata | Moderate | Tamarindus indicus | Moderate | |
| Inga laurina | Moderate | Tapirira guianensis | Moderate | |
| Inga pezizifera | Moderate | Tectona grandis | Low | |
| Inga thibaudiana | Moderate | Terminalia amazonia | Low | |
| Ipomoea wolcottiana | Low | Ulmus parvifolia | na | |
| Jacaranda mimosifolia | na | Washingtonia robusta | na | |
| Juniperus silicicola | na | Xylopia sericophylla | Low | |
| Khaya senegalensis | Moderate | Xylosma intermedia | Moderate | |
| Lacistema aggregatum | Moderate |
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| DAMAGE TYPE | DEFINITION |
|---|---|
| MORTALITY (%) | Trees considered dead. |
| ALL DAMAGE TYPES (%) | Multiple types of damage that were combined (e.g., snapped trunks and uprooted). |
| ROOT FAILURE (%) | Trees that fell over because root or root plate anchorage failed. Also described as tipped up, uprooted, or windthrow. |
| STEM FAILURE (%) | Trees with broken or snapped main stem/trunk/bole. |
| PREDICTOR | DEFINITION | SOURCES |
|---|---|---|
| ANGIOSPERM OR GYMNOSPERM | The tree type | Multiple |
| BIOME | General habitat type at study location | Olson et al., 2001 |
| DAMAGE | Proportion of species that died or were damaged during a tropical cyclone | Original source of data |
| LATITUDE | Latitude of study site | Original source of data |
| LEAF TYPE | Leaf phenological type: evergreen or deciduous/semi-deciduous | Kattge et al. 2020 |
| LEAF MASS PER UNIT AREA | Leaf mass per unit area in g/m2 | Kattge et al. 2020 |
| LONGITUDE | Longitude of study site | Original source of data |
| MAXIMUM PLANT HEIGHT | Mean height at maturity (m) | Moles et al. 2004; Kattge et al. 2020 |
| PREVIOUS TROPICAL CYCLONE | Time elapsed between the study’s focal storm and the previous tropical cyclone occurring within 50 km of the study site | IBTrACs |
| URBAN OR RURAL | General landscape setting of study | Original source of data |
| WOOD DENSITY | Mean wood density (ratio of dry wood weight to fresh volume; g/cm3) | Zanne et al. 2009; Kattge et al. 2020 |
| Sensitivity | Specificity | Positive Predictive Value | Negative Predictive Value | Balanced Accuracy | Obs. Quantity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lowest | 0.83 | 0.98 | 0.92 | 0.94 | 0.9 | 29 |
| Medium Low | 0.9 | 0.93 | 0.88 | 0.94 | 0.92 | 42 |
| Medium High | 0.95 | 0.98 | 0.9 | 0.99 | 0.96 | 20 |
| Highest | 1 | 0.99 | 0.95 | 1 | 0.99 | 20 |
| WIND RESISTANCE RATING | 2016Y | 2021Z |
|---|---|---|
| LOWEST | 11% | 6% |
| MEDIUM LOW | 17% | 17% |
| MEDIUM HIGH | 9% | 6% |
| HIGHEST | 23% | 20% |
| UNKNOWN | 40% | 51% |
| TOTAL ESTIMATED TREES | 9,234,900 | 10,401,415 |
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