4. Results and Discussions
As we mentioned in the previous chapter, the analysis was carried out based on the questionnaire answered by 232 respondents, their profile being described according to the table below:
Table 1.
Respondent profile.
Table 1.
Respondent profile.
| |
|
Frequency |
Percent |
| Parties |
Buyer |
167 |
72.0 |
| Seller |
60 |
25.9 |
| Other |
5 |
2.2 |
| Level of knowledge |
Very low |
75 |
32.3 |
| Low |
59 |
25.4 |
| Medium |
74 |
31.9 |
| High |
19 |
8.2 |
| |
Very high |
5 |
2.2 |
| Signing before PPA |
Yes |
55 |
23.7 |
| No |
177 |
76.3 |
| Monthly energy consumption |
0-50 MWh |
98 |
42.2 |
| 50-100 MWh |
59 |
25.4 |
| 100-500 MWh |
64 |
27.6 |
| >500 MWh |
11 |
4.7 |
From the analysis of the Table 2, it can be seen that most of the respondents have the quality of buyer within the PPA with a percentage of 72%, while only 60 respondents have the quality of seller, with a total percentage of 25.9%. In terms of level of knowledge, it can be seen that the majority of respondents are people who have very low (32,3%), low (25,4%), medium (31,9%) level of knowledge, while the difference up to 100% is divided as follows: high level of knowledge, 8,2 % and very high only 2.2%. Regarding the aspects related to the situation of signing before PPAs, it can be observed that 55 (23,7%) respondents have signed before PPAs, while the rest of 177 (76,3%) haven’t entered by now in such contractual relations. Correlating the aspects indicated in points 2 and 3 in the table presented above, we can see that even if 10.5% of the respondents have so far signed a PPA, it can still be observed that almost half of the respondents (42,3%) have an average, high or very high level of knowledge, which shows a fear of entering into a PPA, on the one hand, but also an urgency on the part of the state to take the necessary measures to encourage the entry into such commercial relationships. Last but not least, the analysis of the respondents' profile must also be correlated with the monthly energy consumption, where it can be seen that compared to the companies represented by the respondents, it appears that they are small and medium industrial consumers, having a monthly consumption of less than 500 MWh and adding up a total percentage of 95.3%.
The rank and effect ratio are based on the highest percentage answer of each individual factor compared with the rest. For example, if for one factor we have an answer that collected 70% of the respondents and for another factor the highest percentage is 30%, from the global impact on PPAs the first factor has 70% and the second 30%.
The low level of development of these contracts can be seen from the analysis of the answers given by the respondents, the key factors analysed in this article having an impact on signing PPAs as shown in
Table 3.
From the analysis of the percentages shown in same table no. 3 we can observe that the first place is equally occupied by the previous signing by the respondents of PPAs, respectively by the level of the PPAs market, which leads us to the obvious conclusion that both the signing of these contracts and their market level have a significant contribution to the development and promotion of PPAs. In second place, with a percentage of 16% is the attitude of the respondents towards PPAs. Analysing this percentage by referring to the results obtained and described in the previous chapter, we can see that the effect of this factor on the signing of PPAs is a beneficial one, the attitude of the respondents being favourable (65% of the buyers are in favour of such contracts) and open towards these contracts. The third place is occupied by the factor representing the involvement of the state, the percentage allocated to it being, as can be seen, 14%. Thus, it is clear that the level of state involvement plays an important role in the promotion and development of PPAs, being on the podium in the analysis of the impact that key factors play on the signing of these contracts. The other factors, even if they have an impact on signing a PPA, their effect is not a defining one, taking into consideration that 54% of the choice of signing a PPA is taken based on the first 3 factors.
Table 4.
The method of calculating the impact that the key factors have on the signing of the PPAs.
Table 4.
The method of calculating the impact that the key factors have on the signing of the PPAs.
| Factor |
Highest % |
% of global impact (Tf) |
| Signing before PPAs |
76.3 |
19% |
| Level of PPA market |
75.4 |
19% |
| Attitude |
62.9 |
16% |
| State’s implication |
55.6 |
14% |
| Field of activity |
50 |
13% |
| Monthly consumption |
42.2 |
11% |
| Level of knowledge |
32.3 |
8% |
| Global Impact (Tf) |
394.7 |
100% |
Additionally, it should be mentioned that the results of the questionnaire were analysed from two perspectives: the perspective of the buyer and the perspective of the seller and presented in the graphic illustrations in
Figure 2,
Figure 3,
Figure 4,
Figure 5 and
Figure 6.
From the analysis of the diagram above, we can see that with regard to the level of knowledge between the two parties (buyer and seller), the values are quite similar: we are thus talking about a percentage of only 10% (in the case of the seller) who owns a high level of knowledge (7%) and very high (3%), respectively about a percentage of 10% in the case of the buyer divided slightly differently 8% - high level of knowledge and 2% - very high level of knowledge. At the opposite pole, we are talking about a lack of knowledge about PPA, where it is found that more than half of the interviewees have a low or very low level of knowledge: in the case of the seller, we have a total percentage of 57% (30% very low, 27% low ), so that in the case of the buyer, let's talk about a percentage of 60% divided in this way: 26% have a low level of knowledge, respectively 34% have a very low level of knowledge. All these results are somehow concerning, because a very low level of knowledge can be proven both in terms of the buyer and in terms of the seller, even though according to Lei&Sandborn (2018), PPAs have gone from strength to strength, because at the end of 2014, the total number of farms that signed PPA reached 363 and the total capacity 32,641MW. Analysing all the above-mentioned aspects, we can observe that in Romania there is a very low level of knowledge regarding the existence of the PPA, regardless of whether we are talking about buyers or sellers. Thus, we can ask ourselves how a field can be developed, when very few people who work within it know what PPA means or at least have heard of it, even less the persons who do not have information and who are not involved in the area of energy? On the other hand, the low and very low level of knowledge, where more than half of the respondents do not have information and do not know about the existence of the PPA, must be analysed by comparison with the involvement of the state, the only one able to make all efforts to find out the level at which the PPA is located in Romania, respectively to find out its degree of development, being, at the same time, the only one that has the opportunity to take all the necessary measures to help develop and subsequently implement this type of contract.
Figure 5.
The attitude. Source: authors’ elaboration on sample data.
Figure 5.
The attitude. Source: authors’ elaboration on sample data.
Regarding the attitude, we can see that the results are some gratifying, more than half of the respondents being in favour of concluding such contracts. Thus, we are talking about a percentage of 56% in the case of sellers, respectively about a percentage of 65% in the case of buyers, the latter percentage proving, without a doubt, that the respondents who are buyers have a much more open attitude towards for the signing of the PPAs, respectively for the purchase of energy from renewable energy sources. On the 2nd place are the respondents who consider that they would opt for such a contract, but the purchased energy does not necessarily have to be from renewable energy sources, which means that they did not accurately understand the true role and true meaning of a PPA as an instrument that enable the meet of the related sustainability goals. Thus, although both sides have a positive attitude regarding the conclusion of PPAs, we can see that this attitude is based on the misunderstanding of the true role of this mechanism, which is a useful tool for the promotion and development of the use of energy from renewable sources and not just a simple contract through which electricity is purchased.
Regarding the above-mentioned aspects, the experts found the distribution interesting, showing on one hand the importance of PPAs, and on the other hand, the urgency on taking the needed actions towards the developing of such contracts. But now a question mark arises: what made the respondents have such a positive attitude towards PPAs, as long as we can see from the answers revealed in
Figure 2 that the level of knowledge among the respondents is low, more than half of them having less knowledge of PPAs? But regardless of the reasons that were the basis of the answers, the situation is a gratifying one, and the fact that such a large number of the interviewed people consider these contracts to be beneficial can only be encouraging that in the near future they can even be implemented.
Figure 6.
State’s implication. Source: authors’ elaboration on sample data
Figure 6.
State’s implication. Source: authors’ elaboration on sample data
According to the respondents, the state's level of involvement is visible, but it is not sufficient, and it is clearly necessary to take more measures to promote and develop this mechanism. Comparatively analysing the results both in terms of buyers and sellers, we can find that the percentage in terms of the second category is much higher, 67% of them considering that although the involvement of the state is positive, it is it is clear that there is a need to create more facilities to support renewable energy producers. According to the opinion of experts these results should be correlated with the results given to the attitude question (
Figure 5), from where can be seen that although the respondents are in favour of these contracts and they have a positive attitude towards them, the involvement of the state is at the beginner level. As far as we can see, even if 76% of the respondents (from the seller category), respectively 51% from (the buyer category) consider that the state is involved, but this involvement is not sufficient, needing much more support and much more allocation of time and resources, we are, however, talking about a percentage of 25% (seller) and 35% (buyer) - quite high percentages - which show that the involvement of the state is very low. Thus, corroborating the result mentioned above, with the low and very low level of knowledge of the respondents, we can clearly state that the measures taken at the state level are insufficient, the more involvement of the legislator being not only necessary, but also urgent, this, of course, if the development of the PPA mechanism is desired, which represents a step forward towards the transition to green energy. As a conclusion from these results, we can say that the state, although it took certain measures, besides the fact that they were not sufficient (and here we refer to both categories), they were also too few from the moment. It can be seen that our conclusion is also in line with the opinion of Ben Belgacem et al (2023), who consider that more regulation is needed in the field of renewable energy, as there are many financial constraints for developing countries. Thus, governments need to encourage the use of renewable energy resources and ensure that there are regulations in place to guarantee that the transition to green energy is done in a responsible and sustainable manner.
Figure 7.
The level of PPA market in Romania. Source: authors’ elaboration on sample data
Figure 7.
The level of PPA market in Romania. Source: authors’ elaboration on sample data
The results show, in an almost overwhelming majority, that the level of development of PPAs in Romania is very low, 78% of the respondents who have the status of sellers, respectively 78% of the respondents who have the status of buyers, having this opinion. Moreover, if we add the percentage of those who consider the market to be undeveloped (10% in the case of sellers, respectively 19% in the case of buyers), we can see that almost unanimously we are talking about a very low level of the PPA market in Romania, which draws attention to the urgent need to take the necessary measures regarding the impetuous obligation of the state to proceed with the promotion and development of this mechanism on the territory of our country. Noting the very small percentages regarding the respondents' appreciation of the existence of a developed and highly developed market (12% in the case of sellers, respectively 6% in the case of buyers) only reinforces the idea presented in the previous paragraph regarding the urgency of taking measures at the state level that to provide for the creation and development of as many facilities as possible granted to both categories of parties in a PPA. At the same time, the adoption of new technologies, including the increase in productivity, will know an efficient increase. (Nowak, Kokocinska, 2024). In this moment, a short comparison between attitude and the level of PPA market must be made: So, regarding the attitude, even if we can see that this is a positive one, more than half of the respondents from both the buyer's side (65%) and the seller's side (56%) being open to concluding PPAs, this situation must be analysed in relation to the development level of the PPAs market, where, as we can see, the situation is different, the results being weaker. In this sense, it can be observed that 75% of the respondents who have the quality of buyers and 78% of the respondents who have the quality of sellers consider that the market is an undeveloped market, while 10% of the sellers and 19% of the buyers appreciate that the level of the market is an underdeveloped one, which means a total percentage of 88% (seller) and 96% (buyer) who are of the opinion that the PPA market in Romania is a poorly developed one. A fast conclusion that can be drawn from this analysis demonstrates the urgency and necessity of the measures to be taken by the state. Despite the information presented above, in this present moment we can see an attempt to recover the energy market in Romania, which appears to be a competitive and dynamic one and although it does not appear to be a mature market like the other western European markets, it is evolving quickly and gives a sign of increased competitiveness (SeeNews, 2023). As far as it is known, PPAs are an effective and viable tool that, according to specialized authors, offer long-term sustainability and safety. Even though according to PWC (2016) and Yashar (2021) for buyers the insecurity of the amount of energy produced by renewable energy producers can bring both economic and technological difficulty. Also Taghizadeh - Hesary et al. (2021) proved that PPAs represents a sustainable and green tool in that they offer long- term security and investment financing opportunity. In accordance with the opinion of Taghizadeh - Hesary et al. (2021) mentioned above, there are also the assessments of Mendicino et. al. (2019) according to which PPAs have the possibility to increase the growth of renewables.This is also the reason why the corporate PPA market (in which large, industrial, electricity-consuming companies increasingly wish to conclude contracts with energy producers from renewable energy sources) is increasingly developed at the European level.
Table 5.
Buyer’s Correlation matrix (Spearman’s rho correlation).
Table 5.
Buyer’s Correlation matrix (Spearman’s rho correlation).
Regarding the buyer, Spearman’s rank correlations, as illustrated in Table 2, show that the higher the level of knowledge, the greater the respondents' experience in the field of signing and implementing PPAs. Results revealed a statistically relatively strong relationship between the level of knowledge and the experience that respondents have regarding the PPAs field (correlation coefficient 0.458). This result proves the importance of the level of knowledge being as high as possible: thus, the higher the level of knowledge regarding PPA, that means that the more the respondents are involved or the more information is brought to their attention regarding this type of contracts, thus their experience increases, which inevitably implies a development of this field. This emphasizes that the first hypothesis is partially correct as long as we can see a correlation between the experience and the level of knowledge, but the second part of the first hypothesis proved to be false, like shown below:
| ANOVAa |
| Model |
Sum of Squares |
df |
Mean Square |
F |
Sig. |
| 1 |
Regression |
9.863 |
2 |
4.931 |
6.671 |
.002b
|
| Residual |
121.227 |
164 |
.739 |
|
|
| Total |
131.090 |
166 |
|
|
|
| 2 |
Regression |
8.498 |
1 |
8.498 |
11.438 |
<.001c
|
| Residual |
122.592 |
165 |
.743 |
|
|
| Total |
131.090 |
166 |
|
|
|
| a. Dependent Variable: attitude |
| b. Predictors: (Constant), experience, level of knowledge |
| c. Predictors: (Constant), level of knowledge |
Source: authors’ elaboration on sample data.
| Coefficientsa |
| Model |
Unstandardized Coefficients |
Standardized Coefficients |
t |
Sig. |
95.0% Confidence Interval for B |
| B |
Std. Error |
Beta |
Lower Bound |
Upper Bound |
| 1 |
(Constant) |
2.883 |
.166 |
|
17.386 |
<.001 |
2.555 |
3.210 |
| Level of knowledge |
.174 |
.071 |
.205 |
2.460 |
.015 |
.034 |
.314 |
| Experience |
.087 |
.064 |
.113 |
1.359 |
.176 |
-.039 |
.212 |
| 2 |
(Constant) |
2.967 |
.154 |
|
19.259 |
<.001 |
2.663 |
3.272 |
| Level of knowledge |
.216 |
.064 |
.255 |
3.382 |
<.001 |
.090 |
.342 |
a. Dependent Variable: attitude Source: authors’ elaboration on sample data
|
Source: authors’ elaboration on sample data.
At the same time, we can see a significant correlation between the field in which the company works and the experience (0.565). This demonstrates that working in the energy field or having some responsibilities involving energy field has a major impact on the experience of the respondents and therefore the possibility of entering or not entering into contractual relations within the PPA.
Regarding the involvement of the state, it is to be noticed that there is no clear correlation between it and the other analysed factors which shows that the hypothesis 2 is not confirmed.
The analysis of the correlations in SPSS through the Spearman method, also revealed that there is no correlation between the attitude towards PPAs and the level of knowledge (correlation coefficient 0.235) and between the monthly energy consume and the attitude, where the correlation coefficient is 0.072, which leads us to the idea that hypothesis 4 is false.
Regarding the Spearman’s rho correlations from the seller’s point of view, when we analyse the results showed in the
Table 6, we can definitely see that there is no correlation between the variables taken into consideration, the correlation coefficient in all the cases being very low, situation that does nothing but prove that all our hypotheses are not confirmed.
Nevertheless, regarding the first hypothesis it is to be noticed that there is a low correlation between experience and level of knowledge (0.305) and also between the level of knowledge and attitude (0.348), which proves that the first part of Hypothesis is false. But, taking into consideration that more than half (56%) of the respondents are willing to sign PPAs, we can assume that even if the level of knowledge nor experience are at low levels, sellers can see the benefits of signing PPAs. To check the second part of the Hypothesis, multiple linear Regression was performed using SPSS. Results are presented below:
| ANOVAa |
| Model |
Sum of Squares |
df |
Mean Square |
F |
Sig. |
| 1 |
Regression |
6.814 |
2 |
3.407 |
4.100 |
.022b
|
| Residual |
47.369 |
57 |
.831 |
|
|
| Total |
54.183 |
59 |
|
|
|
| 2 |
Regression |
6.803 |
1 |
6.803 |
8.328 |
.005c
|
| Residual |
47.380 |
58 |
.817 |
|
|
| Total |
54.183 |
59 |
|
|
|
| a. Dependent Variable: attitude |
| b. Predictors: (Constant), experience, level of knowledge |
| c. Predictors: (Constant), level of knowledge |
Source: authors’ elaboration on sample data.
| Coefficientsa |
| Model |
Unstandardized Coefficients |
Standardized Coefficients |
t |
Sig. |
95.0% Confidence Interval for B |
| B |
Std. Error |
Beta |
Lower Bound |
Upper Bound |
| 1 |
(Constant) |
2.582 |
.316 |
|
8.177 |
<.001 |
1.950 |
3.214 |
| Level of knowledge |
.321 |
.118 |
.359 |
2.732 |
.008 |
.086 |
.557 |
| Experience |
-.012 |
.106 |
-.015 |
-.113 |
.911 |
-.223 |
.199 |
| 2 |
(Constant) |
2.565 |
.275 |
|
9.330 |
<.001 |
2.015 |
3.115 |
| Level of knowledge |
.317 |
.110 |
.354 |
2.886 |
.005 |
.097 |
.537 |
| a. Dependent Variable: attitude |
Source: authors’ elaboration on sample data.
Analysing the results of regression, even if Sig. has a good value (under 0.05) we can see that this regression is applicable to a small number of respondents, Residuals meaning 47.38 out of 54.183 of Sum of Squares.
Regarding the second hypothesis, as we have showed before, it can be considered false, both form the buyer’s and seller’s point of view, by analysing correlations between development of PPA market and involvement of State, where the coefficient is 0.094 for buyer and 0.230 for seller. From our point of view, this can be interpreted in two ways:
- -
There are other factors, from private sector, that affects the PPA market, which can be easily explained by the fact that when we are talking about energy from renewable resources the most of energy is produced by private sector (except Hydro).
- -
PPA Market in Romania is very low developed (proved also by
Figure 4) so the respondents cannot find the best way to increase the development, putting this situation partially on the State’s shoulders, asking for more support from its side (67% for seller and 51% for buyer).
The third hypothesis will have a common analysis for both the buyer and the seller and to prove this using SPSS a simple linear regression was performed taking Experience as dependent variable and Parties as independent variable. The result is presented below
:
| Model Summary |
| Model |
R |
R Square |
Adjusted R Square |
Std. Error of the Estimate |
Change Statistics |
| R Square Change |
F Change |
df1 |
df2 |
Sig. F Change |
| 1 |
.137a
|
.019 |
.015 |
1.168 |
.019 |
4.425 |
1 |
230 |
.037 |
| a. Predictors: (Constant), Parties |
Source: authors’ elaboration on sample data.
| Correlations |
| |
parties |
experience |
| Parties |
Pearson Correlation |
1 |
.137*
|
| Sig. (2-tailed) |
|
.037 |
| N |
232 |
232 |
| Experience |
Pearson Correlation |
.137*
|
1 |
| Sig. (2-tailed) |
.037 |
|
| N |
232 |
232 |
| *. Correlation is significant at the 0.05 level (2-tailed). |
Source: authors’ elaboration on sample data.
Nonparametric Correlations
| Correlations |
| |
Parties |
Experience |
| Kendall's tau |
Parties |
Correlation Coefficient |
1.000 |
.119*
|
| Sig. (2-tailed) |
. |
.047 |
| N |
232 |
232 |
| Experience |
Correlation Coefficient |
.119*
|
1.000 |
| Sig. (2-tailed) |
.047 |
. |
| N |
232 |
232 |
| Spearman's rho |
Parties |
Correlation Coefficient |
1.000 |
.131*
|
| Sig. (2-tailed) |
. |
.047 |
| N |
232 |
232 |
| Experience |
Correlation Coefficient |
.131*
|
1.000 |
| Sig. (2-tailed) |
.047 |
. |
| N |
232 |
232 |
| *. Correlation is significant at the 0.05 level (2-tailed). |
Source: authors’ elaboration on sample data.
Looking at Model Summary of this regression and also correlations matrix performed using Parametric (Pearson) and nonparametric (Kendall’s tau and Speraman’s rho) bivariate correlations, it is obvious that there is no connection between Experience and Party, so we can say that Hypothesis 3 is confirmed. Sadly, one of the conclusions of this analysis can be that both parties present in Romanian PPA Market have low interest on PPA, so that the Experience is based on individuals, not Companies/Parties.
Although the last hypothesis is not confirmed there being no correlation between monthly consume and attitude where the correlation coefficient is 0.214, taking into consideration that the attitude is in the favour of PPAs (more than 55% in both cases according to
Figure 2) we can conclude that PPAs are beneficial for all parties, independent of monthly consume.