3. Methodology of the study
This paper adopts the hierarchical analysis method to analyze the evaluation index system of brownfield governance risk for local governments in China. Hierarchical analysis is a decision analysis method that decomposes a complex problem into multiple levels and factors, and arrives at a comprehensive assessment result by comparing and judging the relative importance of each factor. The specific steps are as follows:
(i) Establish a hierarchical model
According to the assessment index system, the problem is divided into three levels: the target level, the criterion level and the index level, and the hierarchical structure model is constructed, as shown in
Figure 1. The target level is the highest, indicating the purpose of the assessment; the criterion level is the middle level, indicating the important factors affecting the assessment results; and the index level is the lowest, indicating the specific assessment indexes. Based on this, the construction of the evaluation index system for brownfield governance risk of local governments in China can be realized through three levels: the first level is the target level (A), i.e., the predetermined goal or the ideal result; the second level is the criterion level (B), which contains the intermediate links involved in achieving the goal, including the criteria and sub-criteria to be considered; and the third level is the indicator level (C), i.e. the specific elements under the criteria considered for the achievement of the objective.
The evaluation index system is shown in
Table 1.
(1) Target level A: i.e., the predetermined goal or ideal result. In this paper, the goal is to reasonably evaluate the government's brownfield governance risk, which is required to take into account both environmental protection and human health 45.
(2) Criterion level B: This layer includes five aspects: land contamination status 46, land use planning 47, level of governance technology 4849, implementation of policies and regulations, and socio-economic development.
(3) Index level C: Including the degree of soil pollution, the degree of groundwater pollution, the degree of air pollution, the emission of toxic and hazardous substances, the type of land use, the intensity of land use, the maturity of the treatment technology, the scope of application of the treatment technology, the degree of improvement of the policies and regulations, the strength of the implementation of the policies and regulations, the effectiveness of brownfield reuse, and the satisfaction of the public.
(ii) Constructing a judgment matrix
For each factor in the same hierarchy, a judgment matrix is constructed by comparing the other factors two by two through the expert survey method and the Delphi method. The judgment matrix indicates the relative importance of the factors. In this paper, the judgment matrix is constructed using the 1-9 scale method, and the meanings of the specific scales are as follows:
For each factor in the same hierarchy, a judgment matrix was constructed by comparing the other factors two by two through the expert survey method and the Delphi method. The judgment matrix indicates the relative importance of the factors.
According to the Environmental Protection Law of the People's Republic of China, the Water Pollution Prevention and Control Law of the People's Republic of China, the Air Pollution Prevention and Control Law of the People's Republic of China, the Regulations on the Management of Pollution Prevention and Control in Protected Areas of Drinking Water Sources, the Law of the People's Republic of China on Environmental Protection Against Solid Waste, the Law of the People's Republic of China on the Prevention and Control of Radioactive Pollution, the Interim Measures for Reporting Accidents of Environmental Pollution and Damage, the regulations on the prevention and control of environmental pollution caused by solid waste and the survey reports on polluted sites in each province of China, and the basic data materials on brownfield sites in China obtained by relying on the business status of enterprises, the statistics of inefficient sites, and the information of the list of industrial heritage due to the lack of authoritative and effective brownfield site databases at the state level, we invited a number of experts in the field of environmental economics and administrative management to give scores for the values of the various levels, and then constructed the judgement matrix as follows taking the average value:
(1) Target level judgment matrix
(2) Criterion level judgment matrix
Table 3.
Criterion level judgment matrix.
Table 3.
Criterion level judgment matrix.
| |
Land Pollution Status |
Land use planning |
Governance Technology Level |
Implementation of Policies and Regulations |
Socio-economic development |
| Land Pollution Status |
1 |
1/2 |
3 |
2 |
2 |
| Land use planning |
2 |
1 |
2 |
3 |
3 |
| Governance Technology Level |
1/3 |
1/2 |
1 |
1/2 |
1/2 |
| Implementation of Policies and Regulations |
1/2 |
1/3 |
2 |
1 |
1 |
| Socio-economic development |
1/2 |
1/3 |
2 |
1 |
1 |
(3) Judgment matrix of the index level (taking the land pollution status as an example)
Table 4.
Index level judgment matrix of soil pollution status.
Table 4.
Index level judgment matrix of soil pollution status.
| |
Level of soil contamination |
Level of groundwater contamination |
Air Pollution |
Toxic and Harmful Substance Emissions |
| Level of soil contamination |
1 |
3 |
2 |
4 |
| Level of groundwater contamination |
1/3 |
1 |
1/2 |
2 |
| Air Pollution |
1/2 |
2 |
1 |
3 |
| Toxic and Harmful Substance Emissions |
1/4 |
1/2 |
1/3 |
1 |
1. Hierarchical single ranking
For each judgment matrix, calculate the importance weight of each factor and perform hierarchical single sorting. Specific methods include the sum method, the root method, the eigenvector method and so on. In this paper, the sum method is used for calculation.
(1) The results of the single ranking of the target level: environmental protection (0.75), Health of mankind (0.25)
(2) Sorting results of criterion level list: land pollution status (0.36), land use planning (0.28), level of treatment technology (0.18), implementation of policies and regulations (0.09), socio-economic development (0.09)
(3) Sorting results of index level (taking land pollution as an example): soil pollution level (0.46), groundwater pollution level (0.26), air pollution level (0.20), toxic and harmful substance emission (0.08).
2. Consistency test
As there may be subjectivity and inconsistency when experts construct the judgment matrix, it is necessary to carry out consistency tests on the judgement matrix. The specific method includes calculating the consistency index CI and the consistency ratio CR. When CR is less than 0.1, the judgment matrix is considered to have satisfactory consistency; otherwise, the judgment matrix needs to be corrected.
The formula for calculating the consistency index CI is:
CI = (λmax - n) / (n - 1)
Of which, λmax is the maximum eigenvalue of the judgment matrix and n is the order of the judgment matrix.
The formula for the consistency ratio CR is:
CR = CI / RI
of which RI is the average random consistency index, as shown in
Table 5.
(1) Consistency test of target level judgment matrix:
λmax = 2, CI = (2 - 2) / (2 - 1) = 0, CR = 0 / 0 = 0 < 0.1, passes the consistency test.
(2) Criterion level judgment matrix consistency test:
λmax = 5.076, CI = (5.076 - 5) / (5 - 1) = 0.019, CR = 0.019 / 1.12 = 0.017 < 0.1, passes consistency test.
(3) Index level judgment matrix consistency test (taking land pollution status as an example):
λmax = 4.023, CI = (4.023 - 4) / (4 - 1) = 0.008, CR = 0.008 / 0.9 = 0.009 < 0.1, passes the consistency test.
3. Hierarchical total ranking results
Hierarchical total sorting is based on the results of hierarchical single sorting, each level of factors according to its degree of influence on the previous level of factors weighted sum, resulting in the level of factors on the total goal weight. This process is done layer by layer from the highest level to the lowest level.
(1) Total ranking of the criterion level on the objective level
Based on the results of the single ranking of the criterion level, the weights of the factors of the criterion layer for the target layer can be obtained:
By weighting and summing the weights of the factors in the guideline layer with the weights of the target layer, the total ranking weights of the guideline layer on the target layer can be obtained: land pollution status (0.32), land use planning (0.24), level of governance technology (0.15), implementation of policies and regulations (0.09), and socio-economic development (0.09).
(2) Total ranking of indicator layer to the target layer
According to the results of the single sorting of the indicator layer, the weight of each factor of the indicator layer for the guideline layer it belongs to can be obtained. By weighting and summing the weights of each factor of the indicator layer with the weights of the criterion layer to which it belongs, the total ranking weight of the indicator layer on the target layer can be obtained. Taking the land pollution status as an example, the total ranking weights of the factors in the indicator layer under it are calculated as follows:
Degree of soil pollution: 0.46 × 0.36 = 0.17
Degree of groundwater pollution: 0.26 × 0.36 = 0.10
Air pollution level: 0.20 × 0.36 = 0.07
Toxic and hazardous substance emission: 0.08 × 0.36 = 0.03
Adding up the total ranking weights of the factors of each indicator layer, we can get the total ranking weight of the factors of the indicator layer under the state of land pollution to the target layer: 0.17 + 0.10 + 0.07 + 0.03 = 0.37.
According to the same method, we can calculate the total ranking weights of the factors of the indicator layer under other guideline layers to the target layer. The total ranking weights of the indicator layer on the target layer are finally obtained as follows:
Table 7.
Total ranking weights of indicator layer to target layer.
Table 7.
Total ranking weights of indicator layer to target layer.
| Indicator layer to target layer |
weighting |
| Soil contamination level |
0.17 |
| Groundwater pollution level |
0.14 |
| Air pollution |
0.12 |
| Toxic and Harmful Substances Emission |
0.12 |
| Land use type |
0.12 |
| Intensity of land use |
0.14 |
| Maturity of treatment technology |
0.14 |
| Scope of application of treatment technology |
0.14 |
| Perfection of policies and regulations |
0.14 |
| Enforcement Strength of Policies and Regulations |
0.14 |
| Benefits of Brownfield Reuse |
0.14 |
| Public Satisfaction |
0.14 |
In summary, through the study of the hierarchical analysis method of the security index system of brownfield governance for local governments in China, the total ranking weights of each level of factors for the target level can be obtained. These results can provide references and lessons for local governments in brownfield governance and help to assess the security of brownfield governance.