Preprint Article Version 1 Preserved in Portico This version is not peer-reviewed

Visualizing Numerical Features: A Novel Approach to Airport Delay Prediction

Version 1 : Received: 20 October 2023 / Approved: 23 October 2023 / Online: 23 October 2023 (09:57:22 CEST)

How to cite: Yuan, L.; Jin, J.; Chen, H.; Zhang, L.; Zeng, Y. Visualizing Numerical Features: A Novel Approach to Airport Delay Prediction. Preprints 2023, 2023101386. https://doi.org/10.20944/preprints202310.1386.v1 Yuan, L.; Jin, J.; Chen, H.; Zhang, L.; Zeng, Y. Visualizing Numerical Features: A Novel Approach to Airport Delay Prediction. Preprints 2023, 2023101386. https://doi.org/10.20944/preprints202310.1386.v1

Abstract

Accurate prediction of the degree of airport delays under the influence of convective weather is crucial for collaborative traffic management implementation and improving the efficiency of airport operations. However, existing studies usually only consider numerical-type quantitative features of weather-affected traffic in their models, and lack the introduction of spatial information to comprehensively portray the traffic operation scenarios under the influence of weather. In order to overcome this problem, this paper firstly designs a new image representation of weather-affected air traffic, and constructs a multi-channel traffic and weather scene image (MTWSI) by populating the airspace two-dimensional grid with traffic and meteorological information to represent the overall traffic operation situation in the terminal area under the influence of convective weather; then, a deep convolutional neural network-based airport delay prediction model ( ADLCNN), which takes MTWSI images as input and uses a specific CNN model to extract the deep features that affect traffic operation in it to input into the subsequent classification algorithm to predict the flight delay level; finally, a series of comparative experiments are carried out on the operational data of Guangzhou Baiyun Airport, and the experimental validation shows that, compared with the traditional machine learning methods, the proposed CNN-based airport delay prediction The experimental validation shows that the proposed CNN-based airport delay prediction model has satisfactory prediction performance compared with the traditional machine learning methods, which also proves that the proposed MTWSI method can more comprehensively respond to the real traffic conditions.

Keywords

airport delay prediction; convective weather; image recognition; deep convolutional neural network; taxonomic imbalance

Subject

Engineering, Transportation Science and Technology

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