Preprint Article Version 1 Preserved in Portico This version is not peer-reviewed

Spatial and Temporal Changes in Social Vulnerability to Natural Hazards in Mexico

Version 1 : Received: 8 October 2023 / Approved: 9 October 2023 / Online: 10 October 2023 (05:44:43 CEST)

A peer-reviewed article of this Preprint also exists.

León-Cruz, J.F.; Romero, D.; Rodríguez-García, H.I. Spatial and Temporal Changes in Social Vulnerability to Natural Hazards in Mexico. ISPRS Int. J. Geo-Inf. 2024, 13, 66. León-Cruz, J.F.; Romero, D.; Rodríguez-García, H.I. Spatial and Temporal Changes in Social Vulnerability to Natural Hazards in Mexico. ISPRS Int. J. Geo-Inf. 2024, 13, 66.

Abstract

The spatial and temporal changes in social vulnerability to natural hazards in Mexico are analyzed. To this end, using census data from 2000, 2010, and 2020 and a statistical method, different indices were computed, and with a GIS-based approach, patterns of social vulnerability are examined. In addition, a risk assessment test for severe weather (thunderstorms, hailstorms, and tornadoes) is made out. The results show different common social vulnerability driving factors in the three analyzed years, with root causes that have not been addressed since the beginning of the century. Likewise, a wider gap between Mexico's most and least vulnerable populations is identified. The changes in spatial patterns respond to different historical situations, such as migration, urbanization, and increased population. Also, poverty, ethnicity, and marginalization factors located in very particular regions in Mexico have remained relatively the same in the last few years. These situations have strongly influenced the spatial-temporal distribution of vulnerability in the country. The role of social vulnerability in the disaster risk to extreme events such as thunderstorms, hailstorms, and tornadoes in Mexico is fundamental to understanding changes in disaster distribution at the national level, and it is the first step to generating improvements in integrated risk management.

Keywords

social vulnerability; natural hazards; spatial analysis; risk; severe weather; Mexico

Subject

Environmental and Earth Sciences, Geography

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