Preprint Article Version 1 Preserved in Portico This version is not peer-reviewed

New Graph-Based and Transformers Deep Learning Models for River Dissolved Oxygen Forecasting

Version 1 : Received: 29 September 2023 / Approved: 30 September 2023 / Online: 30 September 2023 (08:15:54 CEST)

A peer-reviewed article of this Preprint also exists.

Costa Rocha, P.A.; Oliveira Santos, V.; Van Griensven Thé, J.; Gharabaghi, B. New Graph-Based and Transformer Deep Learning Models for River Dissolved Oxygen Forecasting. Environments 2023, 10, 217. Costa Rocha, P.A.; Oliveira Santos, V.; Van Griensven Thé, J.; Gharabaghi, B. New Graph-Based and Transformer Deep Learning Models for River Dissolved Oxygen Forecasting. Environments 2023, 10, 217.

Abstract

An important indicator of human-related pollution in watersheds is dissolved oxygen (DO). The DO is highly dependent on both space and time characteristics of the watershed and is directly linked to eutrophication, which impairs the development of both the aquatic fauna and flora, also negatively impacting the water quality. Aspiring to reach a more accurate and precise forecasting approach to predict levels of DO, the present work proposes new graph-based and transformer-based deep learning models. The models were trained and validated for the Credit River Watershed, and the results were compared with both benchmarking and literature-found approaches. The proposed Graph Neural Network Sample and Aggregate (GNN-SAGE) model was the best-performing approach, reaching coefficient of determination (R2) and Root Mean Squared Error (RMSE) values of 97% and 0.34 ppm, respectively. The findings from the Shapley additive explanations (SHAP) indicated that the GNN-SAGE benefited from spatiotemporal information from the surrounding stations, improving the model’s results, and that temperature is a major input attribute for determining future DO levels. The results established that the proposed GNN-SAGE model stands as a state-of-the-art solution for DO forecasting, with potential for real-time water quality applications.

Keywords

pollution; dissolved oxygen; Credit River; machine learning; graph neural networks; SHAP analysis

Subject

Computer Science and Mathematics, Artificial Intelligence and Machine Learning

Comments (0)

We encourage comments and feedback from a broad range of readers. See criteria for comments and our Diversity statement.

Leave a public comment
Send a private comment to the author(s)
* All users must log in before leaving a comment
Views 0
Downloads 0
Comments 0
Metrics 0


×
Alerts
Notify me about updates to this article or when a peer-reviewed version is published.
We use cookies on our website to ensure you get the best experience.
Read more about our cookies here.