Preprint Article Version 1 Preserved in Portico This version is not peer-reviewed

Analyzing a SEIR-Type Mathematical Model of SARS-COVID-19 Using Piecewise Fractional Order Operators

Version 1 : Received: 25 June 2023 / Approved: 26 June 2023 / Online: 26 June 2023 (09:46:57 CEST)

A peer-reviewed article of this Preprint also exists.

Alharthi, N.H.; Jeelani, M.B. Analyzing a SEIR-Type Mathematical Model of SARS-COVID-19 Using Piecewise Fractional Order Operators. AIMS Mathematics 2023, 8, 27009–27032, doi:10.3934/math.20231382. Alharthi, N.H.; Jeelani, M.B. Analyzing a SEIR-Type Mathematical Model of SARS-COVID-19 Using Piecewise Fractional Order Operators. AIMS Mathematics 2023, 8, 27009–27032, doi:10.3934/math.20231382.

Abstract

The continuing public health issue known as COVID-19 (the 2019 Novel Corona virus infection) has a global emphasis. Despite (or perhaps because of) the fact that there are significant gaps in our understanding of COVID-19 epidemiology, transmission dynamics, research methods, and management breakout poses a new kind of global hazard. The good news is that there is currently enough knowledge about the epidemic process to allow for the creation of mathematical forecasting models. We modify a conventional SEIR epidemic model to the unique dynamic compartments and epidemic features of COVID 19 as it spreads in a population with a diverse age structure. Although many US states and other nations around the world followed lockdown and reopening processes, we perform some analysis on using some techniques of the epidemic course. A new perspective of fractional calculus known as piecewise derivatives of fractional order is used to study the proposed model. Sufficient conditions are established to show the existence theory. In addition, a numerical scheme based on Newton’s polynomials is established to simulate the approximate solutions of the proposed model by using various fractional orders. Some real data results are also shown with comparison of the numerical results.

Keywords

Dynamical system; Piecewise derivative; Newton polynomials; Fractional order iterative method

Subject

Computer Science and Mathematics, Mathematical and Computational Biology

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