Wu, L.-Y.; Liu, F.-M.; Weng, S.-S.; Lin, W.-C. EL V.2 Model for Predicting Food Safety Risks at Taiwan Border Using the Voting-Based Ensemble Method. Foods2023, 12, 2118.
Wu, L.-Y.; Liu, F.-M.; Weng, S.-S.; Lin, W.-C. EL V.2 Model for Predicting Food Safety Risks at Taiwan Border Using the Voting-Based Ensemble Method. Foods 2023, 12, 2118.
Wu, L.-Y.; Liu, F.-M.; Weng, S.-S.; Lin, W.-C. EL V.2 Model for Predicting Food Safety Risks at Taiwan Border Using the Voting-Based Ensemble Method. Foods2023, 12, 2118.
Wu, L.-Y.; Liu, F.-M.; Weng, S.-S.; Lin, W.-C. EL V.2 Model for Predicting Food Safety Risks at Taiwan Border Using the Voting-Based Ensemble Method. Foods 2023, 12, 2118.
Abstract
: Border management serves as a crucial control checkpoint for governments to regulate the quality and safety of imported food. In 2020, the ensemble learning prediction model EL V.1 was introduced to Taiwan's border food management. This model primarily assesses the risk of imported food by combining five algorithms to determine whether quality sampling should be performed on imported food at the border. In this study, a second-generation ensemble learning prediction model, EL V.2, was developed based on seven algorithms to enhance the "detection rate of unqualified cases" and improve the robustness of the model. The chi-square test was employed to compare the efficacy of "pre-launch (2019) random sampling inspection" and "post-launch (2020–2022) model prediction sampling inspection". For cases recommended for inspection by the ensemble learning model and subsequently inspected, the unqualified rates were 5.10%, 6.36%, and 4.39% in 2020, 2021, and 2022, respectively, which were significantly higher (p=0.000***) compared with the random sampling rate of 2.09% in 2019. The prediction indices established by the confusion matrix were used to further evaluate the prediction effects of EL V.1 and EL V.2, and the EL V.2 model exhibited superior predictive performance compared with EL V.1, and both models outperformed random sampling.
Copyright:
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