Preprint Article Version 1 Preserved in Portico This version is not peer-reviewed

Machine Learning Models for Approximating Downward Short-wave Radiation Flux over the Ocean from All-sky Optical Imagery based on DASIO Dataset

Version 1 : Received: 3 January 2023 / Approved: 6 January 2023 / Online: 6 January 2023 (03:16:14 CET)

A peer-reviewed article of this Preprint also exists.

Krinitskiy, M.; Koshkina, V.; Borisov, M.; Anikin, N.; Gulev, S.; Artemeva, M. Machine Learning Models for Approximating Downward Short-Wave Radiation Flux over the Ocean from All-Sky Optical Imagery Based on DASIO Dataset. Remote Sens. 2023, 15, 1720. Krinitskiy, M.; Koshkina, V.; Borisov, M.; Anikin, N.; Gulev, S.; Artemeva, M. Machine Learning Models for Approximating Downward Short-Wave Radiation Flux over the Ocean from All-Sky Optical Imagery Based on DASIO Dataset. Remote Sens. 2023, 15, 1720.

Abstract

Downward short-wave (SW) solar radiation is the only essential energy source powering the atmospheric dynamics, ocean dynamics, biochemical processes, etc. on our planet. Clouds are the main factor limiting the SW flux over the land and the Ocean. For the accurate meteorological measurements of the SW flux one needs expensive equipment - pyranometers. For some cases where one does not need golden-standard quality of measurements, we propose estimating incoming SW radiation flux using all-sky optical RGB imagery which is assumed to incapsulate the whole information about the SW flux. We used DASIO all-sky imagery dataset with corresponding SW downward radiation flux measurements registered by an accurate pyranometer. The dataset has been collected in various regions of the World Ocean during several marine campaigns from 2014 to 2022, and it will be updated. We demonstrate the capabilities of several machine learning models in this problem, which are multilinear regression, Random Forests, Gradient Boosting and convolutional neural networks (CNN). We also applied the inverse target frequency (ITF) re-weighting of the training subset and the approach of pre-classification in order to raise the SW flux approximation quality. We found that the CNN is capable of approximating downward SW solar radiation with higher accuracy compared to existing empiric parameterizations. We also found that the ITF reweighting of the training subset increases the approximation quality substantially. The estimates of the SW radiation flux using all-sky imagery may be of particular use in case of the need for the fast radiative budgets assessment of a site.

Keywords

downward solar radiation; clouds; machine learning; deep learning; convolutional neural networks; ResNet; all-sky imagery; Random Forests; Gradient Boosting

Subject

Environmental and Earth Sciences, Atmospheric Science and Meteorology

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