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Bacteria-Bacteriophage Cycles Facilitate Cholera Outbreak Cycles: An Indirect Susceptible - Infected - Bacteria - Phage (Isibp) Model-Based Mathematical Study

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Submitted:

15 February 2021

Posted:

17 February 2021

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Abstract
Cholera is an acute enteric infectious disease caused by the Gram-negative bacterium Vibrio Cholerae. Despite a huge body of research, the precise nature of its transmission dynamics has yet to be fully elucidated. Mathematical models can be useful to better understand how an infectious agent can spread and be properly controlled. We develop a compartmental model describing a Human population, a bacterial population as well as a phage population. We show that there might be eight equilibrium points; one of which is a disease free equilibrium point. We carry out numerical simulations and sensitivity analyses and we show that the presence of phage can reduce the number of infectious individuals. Moreover, we discuss the main implications in terms of public health management and control strategies.
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Copyright: This open access article is published under a Creative Commons CC BY 4.0 license, which permit the free download, distribution, and reuse, provided that the author and preprint are cited in any reuse.

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