Version 1
: Received: 19 November 2020 / Approved: 20 November 2020 / Online: 20 November 2020 (09:37:07 CET)
How to cite:
Keller, E.; Keller, J.; Selg, M. Mathematical Modeling of the Development of Confirmed Daily Infection Numbers in the COVID-19 Pandemic by a Special Exponential Function. Preprints2020, 2020110531. https://doi.org/10.20944/preprints202011.0531.v1
Keller, E.; Keller, J.; Selg, M. Mathematical Modeling of the Development of Confirmed Daily Infection Numbers in the COVID-19 Pandemic by a Special Exponential Function. Preprints 2020, 2020110531. https://doi.org/10.20944/preprints202011.0531.v1
Keller, E.; Keller, J.; Selg, M. Mathematical Modeling of the Development of Confirmed Daily Infection Numbers in the COVID-19 Pandemic by a Special Exponential Function. Preprints2020, 2020110531. https://doi.org/10.20944/preprints202011.0531.v1
APA Style
Keller, E., Keller, J., & Selg, M. (2020). Mathematical Modeling of the Development of Confirmed Daily Infection Numbers in the COVID-19 Pandemic by a Special Exponential Function. Preprints. https://doi.org/10.20944/preprints202011.0531.v1
Chicago/Turabian Style
Keller, E., Johannes Keller and Matthias Selg. 2020 "Mathematical Modeling of the Development of Confirmed Daily Infection Numbers in the COVID-19 Pandemic by a Special Exponential Function" Preprints. https://doi.org/10.20944/preprints202011.0531.v1
Abstract
The developments of confirmed daily Sars-CoV-2 infections can be modeled a posteriori in a comparatively simple and satisfactory way by means of a special exponential function: its exponential coefficient varies exponentially with time itself. This property enables the function to directly simulate the „daily case“ curve fragments observed for the first waves of the current epidemics in a number of counties and countries. Linear combinations of two or more of the functions allow for the modeling of the complete curves observed in the vast majority of all regions for which case number developments have been tabulated.
Keywords
COVID-19 pandemic; Sars-CoV-2; confirmed daily infections; mathematical model
Subject
Computer Science and Mathematics, Algebra and Number Theory
Copyright:
This is an open access article distributed under the Creative Commons Attribution License which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.
