Article
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Covid-19 Seroprevalence - Do the Results Advance the Aims?
Version 1
: Received: 25 August 2020 / Approved: 27 August 2020 / Online: 27 August 2020 (12:47:12 CEST)
How to cite: Almogy, G. Covid-19 Seroprevalence - Do the Results Advance the Aims?. Preprints.org 2020, 2020080622. https://doi.org/10.20944/preprints202008.0622.v1. Almogy, G. Covid-19 Seroprevalence - Do the Results Advance the Aims?. Preprints.org 2020, 2020080622. https://doi.org/10.20944/preprints202008.0622.v1.
Abstract
Seroprevalence studies suggest that the number of PCR-confirmed COVID-19 cases is significantly smaller than the true number of infections. I study logintidual seroprevalence data from 7 sites across the US, from early April 2020 to June 27. I show that not only COVID-19 seroprevalence does not seem to increase over time, there is no clear association between the number of cases reported during a period and the change in seroprevalence during the same time. I conclude that as they are, seroprevalence studies can only be used in the qualitative sense and distinguish between populations with no COVID-19 exposure, to those populations where the virus had already started spreading.
Keywords
Serology; Seroprevalence; Humoral response; COVID-19; serosurvey; epidemiology
Subject
Biology and Life Sciences, Biochemistry and Molecular Biology
Copyright: This is an open access article distributed under the Creative Commons Attribution License which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.
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