Version 1
: Received: 14 June 2020 / Approved: 16 June 2020 / Online: 16 June 2020 (07:42:04 CEST)
How to cite:
Gammaitoni, L.; Neri, I. Role of Fluctuations in COVID-19 Epidemic Resurgence after the Lockdown. Preprints2020, 2020060197. https://doi.org/10.20944/preprints202006.0197.v1
Gammaitoni, L.; Neri, I. Role of Fluctuations in COVID-19 Epidemic Resurgence after the Lockdown. Preprints 2020, 2020060197. https://doi.org/10.20944/preprints202006.0197.v1
Gammaitoni, L.; Neri, I. Role of Fluctuations in COVID-19 Epidemic Resurgence after the Lockdown. Preprints2020, 2020060197. https://doi.org/10.20944/preprints202006.0197.v1
APA Style
Gammaitoni, L., & Neri, I. (2020). Role of Fluctuations in COVID-19 Epidemic Resurgence after the Lockdown. Preprints. https://doi.org/10.20944/preprints202006.0197.v1
Chicago/Turabian Style
Gammaitoni, L. and Igor Neri. 2020 "Role of Fluctuations in COVID-19 Epidemic Resurgence after the Lockdown" Preprints. https://doi.org/10.20944/preprints202006.0197.v1
Abstract
Most popular statistical models in epidemic evolution focus on the dynamics of average relevant quantities and overlooks the role of small fluctuations on the model parameters. Models for Covid-19 are no exception. In this paper we show that the role of time-correlated fluctuations, far from being negligible, can in fact determine the spreading of an epidemic and, most importantly, the resurgence of the exponential diffusion in the presence of time-limited episodes in promiscuity behaviours.
Copyright:
This is an open access article distributed under the Creative Commons Attribution License which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.
