Preprint Review Version 1 Preserved in Portico This version is not peer-reviewed

COVID-19 Pandemic Burden on Global Economy: A Paradigm Shift

Version 1 : Received: 26 May 2020 / Approved: 28 May 2020 / Online: 28 May 2020 (13:31:57 CEST)
Version 2 : Received: 29 May 2020 / Approved: 29 May 2020 / Online: 29 May 2020 (12:27:24 CEST)

How to cite: Zaman, K.T.; Islam, H.; Khan, A.N.; Shweta, D.S.; Rahman, A.; Masud, J.; Araf, Y.; Sarkar, B.; Ullah, M.A. COVID-19 Pandemic Burden on Global Economy: A Paradigm Shift. Preprints 2020, 2020050461 (doi: 10.20944/preprints202005.0461.v1). Zaman, K.T.; Islam, H.; Khan, A.N.; Shweta, D.S.; Rahman, A.; Masud, J.; Araf, Y.; Sarkar, B.; Ullah, M.A. COVID-19 Pandemic Burden on Global Economy: A Paradigm Shift. Preprints 2020, 2020050461 (doi: 10.20944/preprints202005.0461.v1).

Abstract

The pandemic caused by SARS-CoV-2 virus obstructed the Chinese economy and has expanded to the rest of the world at a rapid pace affecting at least 215 countries, areas and territories. The advancement of the disease and its economic repercussions is profoundly ambiguous, making it challenging for policymakers to formulate suitable microeconomic and macroeconomic policy responses. The scenarios in this paper illustrate how an outbreak could significantly affect the global economy in the short run. It has been estimated that each additional month of crisis would cost from about 2.5-3% of the global GDP and that the GDP growth would take a blow, reaching about 3-6%, depending on the country. Scenarios also suggest that GDP can drop by more than 10% and even exceed 15% in some countries. Via addressing the economic consequence of COVID-19 in different industries and countries, the paper presents assessments of the likely global economic costs of COVID-19 and the GDP growth of different countries. Economies will be negatively affected because of the high number of jobs at risk. Countries highly dependent on foreign trade are more negatively affected. Given that disease and its economic influence are highly unpredictable in numerous aspects, the global economy at the moment is the most critically threatened in history.

Subject Areas

COVID-19; Economy; GDP; Global; Impact; Market; Pandemic

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